Will the pound continue to fall against the Australian dollar (Dayle Littlejohn)

In the run up to the UK general election GBPAUD exchange rates remained buoyant around the mid 1.70s which was a surprise to the traders here as the pound was falling across the board against all of the major currencies. I put it down to the Australian dollar weakening due to iron prices and the slow down in China.

Once the general election exit polls were released the pound started to tumble against the Australian dollar and rates continued to fall once it was announced that Theresa May had not won an outright majority. GBPAUD exchange rates have dropped 8 cents since the election result which means if clients are converting 400,000 Australian dollars back to sterling they will receive an additional £10,800.

Looking further ahead I find it difficult to see how the pound will gain any momentum until a government has been formed. At present UK Prime Minister Theresa May is trying to form a minority government with the DUP. Many have questioned the alliance as some of the DUP policies and views seem controversial and not supported by the Conservatives.

Personally I believe a government will be formed in the upcoming days which could provide some stability for the pound. Thereafter Theresa May will turn her attention to Brexit negoations and with the election result a softer Brexit looks more likely which actually improve the pounds value as remaining a part of the single market could actually occur.

For Australian dollars sellers buying sterling, it appears China are going to continue to slow and economists are predicting iron ore prices will follow which will have a negative impact on the Australian dollar. The spike we have seen over the last 5 days may be worth taking advantage of.

If you are trading GBPAUD in the upcoming weeks, months or years and want to save money feel free to email me with the reason for your conversion (company invoice, buying a property) and the timescales you are working to and I will email you with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

 

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