Daily Archives: November 2, 2018

Retail Sales down under disappoint but AUD remains resilient, where to next for the GBP/AUD pair?

Despite some disappointing data being released in the early hours of this morning, the Aussie Dollar has remained resilient against the Pound even though its dropped off of it’s 1-month high against the US Dollar.

Retail Sales rose just 0.2% through September which was below expectations, and now there are concerns that 3rd quarter economic growth could disappoint. The GDP figure for the 3rd quarter will be released in early December so I expect economic data releases covering the Australian economies health to be followed closely. Despite the softening against the US Dollar as a result of this morning’s early release the AUD/USD rate has still strengthened by over 1.5% throughout this week.

The Aussie Dollar has also gained value vs the Pound this week although not quite to the same extent as AUD/USD. Moving forward the pair are most likely to be driven more by the Pound’s value and how its impacted by the Brexit developments. Sterling has strengthened against a raft of currencies over the past few days after a number of positive updates have been released. On Wednesday the Brexit Secretary, Dominic Raab suggested that the deal could be in place by November the 21st, which saw a spike in GBP exchange rates as hopes of the deal being wrapped up during this month had waned after talks stalled during October.

Then on Thursday morning news broke that there is a deal in principle for the UK to retain access to EU financial markets after the Brexit has taken place, and this also pushed GBP exchange rates higher which is in my opinion why the Aussie Dollars gains against the Pound this week haven’t been as substantial as the they have vs the USD.

If you’re planning on making a currency transfer involving the pairs discussed today, and would like an opinion on the rates or an update if they move dramatically, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.