GBP to AUD Exchange Rates Uncertain ahead of EU Summit 25th Nov (James Lovick)

Pound to Australian dollar exchange rates remain on the back foot as uncertainty over Brexit continues to the big driver for GBP to AUD rates. The pound is trading at just over 1.76 against the Australian dollar and whilst there has been some support this week any major improvement is likely to be limited for the pound. UK Prime Minister Theresa May is still trying to seal a deal on the political declaration for the future trading relationship between the UK and EU and a meeting last night failed to provide a breakthrough. Theresa May will now fly back to Brussels on Saturday ahead of the emergency EU summit which commences on Sunday.

The political declaration will be an important component to the deal and the specific wording of the text will help determine whether parliament will vote in favour of the deal that is almost on the table. Ultimately it will all come down to a meaningful vote in parliament on the final deal which will decide the future of the UK and the pound in the short term. It leaves a very uncertain few weeks for sterling exchange rates whilst the markets await this key vote in parliament.

The Australian dollar could come under some renewed pressure in these coming weeks as the issue of trade wars continues to impact on global markets. So far there has been no compromise for a future trade deal between the US and China as preparation are being made behind the scenes for a summit in Buenos Aires. Relations are likely to become even more tense as both Europe and China seek to argue that Donald Trump cannot continue to impose tariffs on steel and aluminium on the basis of national security.

The World Trade Organisation (WTO) will need to rule on this subject and the outcome will likely create added turmoil in the financial markets. If for example the WTO challenged the US on this point then in an extreme scenario the US could find itself breaking away from the WTO entirely. This could see a flight to safety to the US dollar leaving the Australian dollar in a risky position. Once again there is another focal point in the diary which will help direct GBP vs AUD.

For more information on Australian dollar exchange rates and how to find the optimum time to convert funds either buying or selling Australian dollars then please feel free to get in touch with me James at jll@currencies.co.uk

For more news on foreign exchange rates and to request a free no-obligation quote visit www.currencies.co.uk