Category Archives: Australian Dollar Weakness

Will GBPAUD exchange rates continue to rise?

Since the end of August the pound has been recovering against the Australian dollar and exchange rates have increased by 13 cents (8%). To put this into monetary value a £200,000 transfer into Australian dollars would achieve our clients an additional 26,000 dollars. 

In recent weeks the commentary coming from the Reserve Bank of Australian is that interest rates will remain on hold at 1.5%. There is a strong correlation between the US and Australia. Currency speculators tend to trade between the two and in recent weeks the Federal Reserve have been hinting toward hiking interest rates in December therefore I expect Australian speculators have been selling off the Aussie and buying US dollars.

The pound has also been strengthening in recent months off the back of an interest rate hike in the UK and positive news coming from Brexit negotiations. The UK Prime Minister Theresa May has hinted that the UK and EU are close to securing a deal in regards to EU citizens rights and reports are emerging that the PM is close to offering £38 billion as a divorce settlement bill.

The EU have given the UK a deadline for this Friday for clear progression to be made. Once the statements are released by the UK and EU I expect to see major volatility. Positive news that trade negotiations will start in the upcoming weeks could see GBPAUD exchnage rates rise towards 1.80.

If you are buying or selling Australian dollars in the future, I would strongly recommend getting in contact to discuss your situation. The company I work offers a proactive service to offering economic information whilst having the ability to offer award winning exchange rates. Feel free to email me with your requirements along with the timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.

Will the Pound continue to rise against the Australian Dollar? (Tom Holian)

The Pound has continued its recent positive run against the Australian Dollar and overnight it has been suggested that some senior ministers in the UK are putting pressure on the government to increase its offer to the EU to leave.

The next meeting is due to be held in December and if this happens this could take the discussions forward which is clearly a positive for the UK.

Downing Street itself has dismissed the rumours that it is looking to double the ‘divorce bill’ payment but I think we could see an offer from the UK coming fairly soon.

The next Brexit summit is due to take place on 14th-15th December and the main topic for discussion will be the Irish border which has still not yet been sorted.

The RBA released its minutes overnight and this has caused GBPAUD exchange rates to move in an upwards direction as the central bank sees ‘considerable uncertainty’ around wage pressures and therefore any interest rate change is very unlikely which has caused the Australian Dollar to weaken against Sterling.

With tomorrow’s UK Autumn Statement due for release I think we could some volatility coming in the morning so make sure you’re prepared for any market movement.

This could be rather difficult for Chancellor Philip Hammond after he was forced to scrap his previous plan of attempting to raise the level of National Insurance.

The likelihood is that he’ll aim the budget towards younger voters as this was the demographic that the Tories appear to have lost at this year’s election and this could include a big push on housing.

I think we could see some uncertainty during the announcement tomorrow but once we get past this issue I think the Pound could gain even further.

If you have a need to make a currency transfer in the coming days, weeks or months then feel free to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency compared to your bank or another currency broker.

Even a small improvement in the exchange rates can make a big difference so feel free to to email me and you may find you could save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will respond to you as soon as I can.

Best rate to buy Australian Dollars with Pounds in 6 months (Tom Holian)

The Pound has hit its best rate to buy Australian Dollars since May this year as the antipodean currencies have weakened significantly during the last week of trading.

Australian employment figures are looking very strong and typically this would see help to strengthen the Australian Dollar against the Pound but the RBA have suggested that they do not want to tamper with economic policy whilst the labour market is going well.

Indeed, some recent predictions are that we will not see an interest rate hike until earliest 2019 which is why we have seen GBPAUD exchange rates going in an upwards direction recently.

The Pound has reversed its losses from earlier on this month when it increased interest rates at the Bank of England’s meeting and I think we could see further gains ahead.

With the US Federal Reserve looking more and more likely to raise interest rates at next month’s meeting due to be held on December 13th, it appears as though global investors are moving money away from the riskier commodity based currencies which includes the NZD and AUD, which is another reason for the positive gains seen by the Pound vs the Australian Dollar.

On Tuesday the Reserve Bank of Australia will release their latest set of minutes and I think we could see further weakness for the Australian Dollar if the minutes confirm that interest rates will be kept on hold for quite some time to come.

If you are in the process of selling Australian Dollars into Sterling but don’t have the full amount of funds available at the moment it may be worth considering buying a forward contract which allows you to fix an exchange rate for a future date for a small deposit.

If you need to make a currency transfer in the coming days, weeks or months then feel free to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency compared to your bank or another currency broker.

Even a small improvement in the exchange rates can make a big difference so feel free to to email me with details of your requirement and you may find you could save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will respond to you as soon as I can.

Poor wage growth leads to Australian Dollar weakness despite better unemployment figures (Daniel Wright)

This week has been a mixed one for the Australian Dollar so far, with a fairly week start and a flatter past 24 hours.

The reason the Australian Dollar lost strength earlier in the week was due to news of slower wage growth than expected.

Wage growth yesterday came out at 0.5% against analyst’s expectations of 0.7% which is the reason why we saw Australian Dollar weakness.

Wage growth is a really important release in the current climate, if wage growth ( the increase in how much people are earning)  is a lot lower than inflation (the increase in the costs of goods and services) then you can generally expect an economy to drop off a little, as people will have less money in their pocket to spend. Bad economic data can then in turn lead to weakness for a currency, and with markets moving well in advance of an event actually happening this is why we are seeing a good opportunity to buy Australian Dollars at present.

Unemployment figures came out today and despite the fact that they actually showed an improvement, the Australian Dollar failed to make any vast improvements against most major currencies.

The rest of the week is fairly quiet but do not be fooled into thinking that the Australian Dollar will remain flat, being perceived as one of the ‘riskier’ currencies there is always the chance of movement should global attitude to risk alter.

Should you be in the position that you need to buy or sell a large amount of Australian Dollars and you would like my help along with a better exchange rate than your bank or current broker then I would love to hear from you. You can email me (Daniel Wright) personally on djw@currencies.co.uk with a brief description of what you would like to do and I will be more than happy to get in touch with you to explain how I can assist.

6 month high to buy Australian dollars with pounds!

Overnight disappointing wage growth data has seen the Australian dollar lower and taken it to a 6 month low against the pound. This is presenting the best time in 6 months to buy Australian dollars with pounds, some good news for Australian buyers. Overall the outlook for sterling remains very shaky but we could potentially see some improvements in the coming weeks if we get some clarity on the UK’s Brexit position.

If we look at the state of the pound and its more recent performance against the Australian dollar it has mainly been subject to the whims of the Brexit which has only seen the market lower. If you have a transfer to make in the coming weeks then I would suggest you look to capitalise on this improvement or to certainly be making some plans around these latest developments.

Much has been made of the status of the pound and growing concerns that the UK will ultimately raise interest rates further down the line, this has all supported the pound but sentiments can very quickly change! There is now also a belief that the UK would also get a good deal from the Brexit, personally I would be surprised to see this happen but we will have to see how things develop.

If you are looking to buy or sell the pound against the Australian dollar then making some plans in advance is a crucial part of maximising the transaction, understanding the future events that would drive exchange rates will ultimately be crucial to getting the most for your money. As well as getting the very best rates of exchange we also help with forecasting and alerts of certain market moving events and exchange rates.

For more information please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Will GBPAUD break through 1.75 by the end of the year? (Dayle Littlejohn)

Economic data in recent weeks has meant that GBPAUD exchange rates have increased by 8 cents and broken through the 1.70 barrier. The reason for the improvement is positive news coming from the UK in regards to Brexit and a dovish outlook from the Reserve Bank of Australia.

Brexit negotiations are heating up and decisions are close to being made. Friday evening Michel Barnier gave a two week deadline for the UK to make key decisions surrounding EU citizens’ rights, the Irish border, and the UK’s “divorce bill”.

The theory on the market is that if the UK and EU come to an agreement in the upcoming weeks and trade negotiations start before or just after the turn of the year, this could give sterling exchange rates a considerable boost.

The Reserve Bank of Australia have been given dovish statements of late and the recent RBA minutes last week confirmed that the RBA have no interest of raising interest rates anytime soon.

Couple this with Iron ore prices tumbling down under and some forecasters suggesting another substantial fall is on the horizon due to the slowdown in China’s construction industry you can understand why the Australian dollar is under pressure.

Looking further ahead if the Australian economy continues on the same path and the UK reach a deal with the EU so trade negotiations begin, I expect GBPAUD will break through 1.75.

Therefore if you are buying Australian dollars with sterling and are prepared to take the risk holding off may provide a better exchange rate in the weeks to come, however if you are selling Australian dollars to buy sterling now is the time to convert your currency.

For people that are converting pounds and Australian dollars for the first time, it is essential that you get the very best exchange rates. If you have used a brokerage for many years or have been referred a brokerage I strongly recommend you compare rates to make sure you get the best price possible and therefore save money. This simple exercise takes two minutes and in the past I have saved clients hundreds and in some instances thousands of pounds.

My direct email is drl@currencies.co.uk Dayle Littlejohn.

Will the Pound improve against the Australian Dollar next week? (Tom Holian)

As predicted in my previous articles the Pound has shaken off the problems against the Australian Dollar following last week’s interest rate decision which saw the GBPAUD exchange rate move in a downwards direction.

The UK economy has proved once again that it is resilient even though politically we are facing the challenge of the ongoing Brexit uncertainty.

GBPAUD exchange rates are once again moving in the right direction breaking through 1.72 on a couple of occasions already this week.

The Brexit talks appear to be moving in the right direction with Theresa May and Michel Barnier both suggesting that behind the scenes progress is being made.

The real issue surrounding Brexit is what the divorce bill will cost and when it will be paid which is one of the sticking points of the discussions.

We have a very eventful week ahead with the release of a number of different economic data due over the next few days.

UK Inflation is due out on Tuesday and this has been a big factor in the recent decision by the Bank of England to raise interest rates earlier this month. Therefore, this could also cause a lot of volatility for GBPAUD exchange rates.

Also, next week is the release of UK unemployment data and with the jobs data performing very well during 2017 I think we could see GBPAUD rates improve by the middle of next week which could provide a good opportunity to look at buying Australian Dollars with Pounds.

If you have a need to make a currency transfer in the coming days, weeks or months then feel free to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency compared to your bank or another currency broker.

Even a small improvement in the exchange rates can make a big difference so feel free to to email me with details of your requirement and you may find you could save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will respond to you as soon as I can.

UK economy growth is picking up, will GBP/AUD reach 1.75 again in the near-term future?

The Pound has picked up once again this afternoon after some better than expected economic data, this time in the form of GDP figures has boosted the markets.

This means that UK economic output in the months of July-September grew by 0.4% whereas it’s grown by 0.5% from August-October. This is of course positive news for the Pound and the Pound is now trading around the 1.7250 mark at the time of writing.

The highest the GBP/AUD rate has traded in the last year is 1.7650 so the rate is now within 4 cents of the best levels so it appears that the rate hike last week from the Bank of England has boosted sentiment surrounding the UK economy.

The think-tank that produced today’s GDP figures also believes that the Bank of England will have raised interest rates to 2% by 2021 which is a bit more bullish than the comments outlined by the BoE last week when rates were hiked, and I think that the Pound would climb quite considerably from its current levels should such a bullish monetary policy be adopted by the BoE.

The next busy day for economic data is Tuesday next week, so feel free to get in touch in the meantime if you would like to plan around this event, should you have any upcoming currency requirements.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Iron prices continue to put pressure on the Australian dollar

GBPAUD exchange rates have increased in value by 8 cents since September as the Australian dollar has been under pressure and sterling has rallied off the back of an interest rate hike and Brexit developments. To put this into monetary value a £200,000 conversion into Australian dollars now generates our clients an additional 16,000 Australian dollars.

The Australian economy relies heavily on iron ore, as iron ore makes up 16.3% of Australian exports. When iron ore prices fall this tends to have a direct impact on Australian dollar exchange rates. China is Australia main trading partner and as construction activity has been slowing in the 2nd largest economy the need for the commodity iron ore falls. Forecasters are suggesting that in the upcoming months iron ore prices will continue to fall and the price per tonne could plummet to $50.

The Australian dollar has also lost value in recent weeks as the Reserve Bank of Australia continue to give a dovish outlook in regards to interest rates. Governor Philip Lowe has insisted that monetary policy will not be changed in the foreseeable future and this was supported by the poor inflation numbers last month.

A data release to keep a close eye on for the remainder of the year is the US interest rate hike in December. If the US hike interest rates (87% chance according to forecasters) I expect a major sell off of Australian dollars which would make the Aussie cheaper to buy.

If you are buying or selling Australian dollars in the future, I would strongly recommend getting in contact to discuss your situation. The company I work offers a proactive service to offering economic information whilst having the ability to offer award winning exchange rates. Feel free to email me with your requirements along with the timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.

RBA Interest rate decison (Daniel Johnson)

RBA keep Rates on hold

During the night we saw the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate decision. Rates were kept on hold at 1.5%, this was anticipated so id did not have a significant impact on Australian dollar value. The market moves on rumor as well as fact, volatility is created when things don’t go according to the general consensus.

Interest Rate Forecast

I would expect interest rates to remain at these levels for the foreseeable future due to the situation with the Australian housing market and Chinese growth. Housing prices in Melbourne and Sydney are well above the national average due to the higher wages being offered in the cities. This is all very well, but when you have foreign investors buying the properties unconcerned with the inflated process we are starting to see a housing bubble start to emerge. A very similar situation to London, a bubble that can not afford to burst.

There is also Australia’s heavy dependence on the Chinese to purchase their raw materials. Iron ore is Australia’s primary export and as such it’s price can influence Australian Dollar value. Despite Chinese growth still being healthy it is by no means as strong as previous years which is worrying considering Australian’s heavy reliance on the Chinese. It is wise to keep an eye on both Chinese growth data and Iron ore prices if you are considering trading Aussie.

During such unpredictable times you need an experienced broker on board if you wish to maximise your return. If you have a pending currency transfer let me know the details of your trade I will endeavor to assist. There is no obligation to trade by asking for my help, I will provide a free trading strategy to suit your individual needs. If you do wish to try our service you can trade in the knowledge we are a no risk entity, as we do not speculate. Foreign Currency Direct PLC has been in business for over 16yrs and we are registered with the FCA. If you already use a provider I can perform a comparison within minutes and I am confident I will demonstrate a considerable saving. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk