Tag Archives: bank of england

GBPAUD breaks through 1.70 (Dayle Littlejohn)

In recent weeks the pound has been losing ground against the Australian dollar and exchange rates have fallen from 1.75 to 1.67. However today Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney has given Australian dollar buyers something to smile about, as UK interest rates could be hiked in the upcoming months, which would provide strength for sterling as investors look for higher returns on their investments.

The Governor announced today that the MPC will be debating interest rates in the upcoming months and a rate rise all depends on business investment, wage growth, Brexit negotiations and costs for labour.

Off the back of the positive news for the pound GBPAUD has now breached 1.70. To put this into monetary terms the 3 cent improvement this week will save clients £10,000 when purchasing 1,000,000 Australian dollars.

Looking further ahead I expect the pound to continue the upward trend for the remainder of the week and into next week as UK Prime Minister Theresa May should be able to put the election behind her when MPs vote on the queens speech later this week.

The leader of the opposition Jeremy Corbyn has stated he will try to make amendments to the Queens speech but in reality I can’t see any conservative MP voting against their own party, therefore this story should be over by this time next week.

If you are buying or selling Australian dollar in the upcoming weeks, months or years feel free to email me with the reason for your conversion (company invoice, buying a property) and the timescales you are working to and I will email you with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Will GBPAUD reach back to 1.70?

If you are holding pounds and looking to buy Australian dollars it has been a stressful period with the pound failing to spike as many had predicted on the back of the UK election. There was a belief the pound would rally to perhaps over 1.80, the Aussie having been on the back foot as Chinese data was failing to live up to expectation. Lately however the Chinese data is looking much better which, in conjunction with the pound sliding as the hung parliament divides opinion over the British pound, has seen the GBPAUD rate slip too. If you need to buy or sell Australian dollars making some plans around the next twist and turn is crucial since the current market is not pointing clearly in either direction.

We offer detailed insight and strategy to clients looking to move large volumes of currency around the world generally following property transactions or business transfers. This is because when moving such large volumes of say 50,000 GBP up to multi-millions a small difference in the exchange rate can mean a huge difference in the amount of currency you receive. Getting the timing and planning right is crucial to getting the best deals on the rates.

For clients looking towards the GBPAUD exchange rate pairing looking for better rates this week could offer some fresh opportunities with the latest fresh news over the UK’s political situation and also news relating to the Chinese economy. Since the Chinese economy is so closely linked to the Australian dollar keeping up to date with information here is crucial to getting the best rates. If you have a transfer to make this week has a number of releases which could see the GBPAUD rate move say 1 – 2 cents presenting a quick opportunity for savvy buyers and sellers!

For more information on the best rates and how to manage your exchange please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. If there is anything I can help with please don’t hesitate to contact me directly.

Pound to Aussie Dollar range-bound, but where to next? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Aussie Dollar exchange rate has been trading between 1.66 and 1.68 for a few days now, as the pair appear to have consolidated below 1.70 in the wake of the disappointing election outcome for Sterling bulls.

As of yet there is no official agreement between the Conservatives and the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) although speculation is mounting as to the amount the Conservatives will have to pay for the coalition, with some speculating amounts of up to £2bn.

Moving forward I’m expecting any news of the coalition to have a potential impact on the Pound to Aussie Dollar buying rate, which is where keeping in touch with us can really help as we’re able to act whenever there’s a big short term move.

Brexit negotiations are now also underway, which is another issue for the government to deal with along with the ongoing Grenfell Tower tragedy and the recent terrorist issues.

On the other hand the Aussie Dollar has been under pressure in recent weeks as the Chinese economy appears to be slowing, which is a negative for the value of AUD as the Australian and Chinese economies are key trading partners.

With both currencies coming pressure for different reasons, it could be that the weaker of the two that results in further price movement for the GBP/AUD pair.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

What can we expect next for GBPAUD currency rates?

Tonight is the latest RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) Meeting Minutes which will provide further insight into the latest thoughts from the RBA with regard to the relative strength or weakness of the Australian dollar. If you are looking to make a currency exchange buying or selling the pound or Australian dollar then understanding the latest news here is critical to what kind of rates you might expect in the future. In assisting my clients with the timing of any transaction as well as the best rates of exchange this release will be critical to understanding what might happen next on the rates.

The pound has clearly weakened following political uncertainty in the UK, but news from the RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) could easily change that. Generally speaking the market is predicting the outlook for the RBA to be one where they are gently leaning towards hiking interest rates although this is unlikely to be anytime soon. If you are buying Australian dollars in the future this would potentially mean the transfer becomes more expensive, if you are selling AUD to buy the pound, the rate could get better.

Timing is everything in the currency market and understanding what my or may not influence your exchange rate is key. With almost ten years of experience assisting clients looking to buy and sell the Australian dollar I am well placed to offer my clients up to date news on what will impact their exchange rate.

If you have a transfer to make buying or selling Australian dollars for pounds, it is fair to say a weaker pound could see this level slip lower into the 1.60’s. However the Queen’s speech and uncertainty over the UK election final result this week reminds us that events can quickly changes and lead to unexpected results.

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you and assisting with your transfer.

Bank of England vote causes short term spike for the Pound vs the Australian Dollar (Tom Holian)

The Bank of England have caused a big stir in the foreign exchange markets during today’s session as we have seen a 5-3 split in favour of keeping interest rates on hold.

For the last few months the split has been 7-1 but owing to rapidly rising inflation this is the reason used for the change in the voting pattern.

This vote brings with it a suggestion that interest rates in the UK may be rising sooner than expected and this has helped the Pound to make gains vs the Australian Dollar.

Inflation is now at 2.9% which is close to the highest level in 4 years and with the target set by the Bank of England for 2% this is becoming a problem for the British economy.

With UK Average Earnings falling and inflation rising this is causing the cost of living to go up which is not good news so an interest rate hike could be coming sooner.

I still think this positive jump for the Pound vs the Australian Dollar is short term as the UK has still yet to form a majority government and as yet we do not know when this may happen. When a hung parliament occurred last time it could a total of 20 days before it was sorted.

The other problem that Sterling faces is that of the Brexit negotiations which are officially due to start on Monday and the likelihood at least in the short term is that the talks will be problematic. Therefore, if you’re thinking about buying Australian Dollars it may be worth organising in the near future.

Having worked in the foreign exchange markets since 2003 for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers I am confident not only of being able to offer you better rates of exchange when buying or selling Australian Dollars but also help you with various contract types.

If you would like further information or for a free quote then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

 

Will the pound to Australian dollar rate rise or fall on the UK election?

Most reports suggest the pound is likely to rise if Theresa May wins a strong majority in the UK election on June 8th. Potentially this could see GBPAUD busting through the 1.80 level but there are of course never any guarantees with the currency markets! I am of the impression that expectations for sterling have actually been set too high and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the pound coming under pressure. I do actually feel the 1.70 level could be in focus and that after a few tricky weeks for AUD sellers the trend will now actually favour selling AUD for sterling, although of course we are unlikely to see a return to quite the same rates as we had earlier in the year.

The polls currently show Labour winning many more seats than previously expected which would see the Tory majority increase but not perhaps by as much as many believed some weeks ago. The general impression is of course a Tory and Theresa May win but, with the market pricing in a larger Tory win than expected the risk to me is to the downside, ie sterling could fall.

If you have a transfer to consider in the future then making some plans around this historic event is clear wise. We are here to help with an exchange rate I am positive will save you money over other options but also offer support and information for any transfer you might be planning. Understanding how the banks operate and the processes involved to transfer funds can save you lots of time and hassle.

My name is Jonathan Watson and I have worked as a specialist currency broker for close to ten years. If you need to move money overseas I am very confident a conversation with me will help provide some insight and could well save you thousands through a better rate and information on when to execute any transaction.

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me directly by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk briefly outlining your position and preferably providing a contact number to discuss your position through thoroughly.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing form you.

Pound to Aussie Dollar rate continues to fall over UK economic outlook concerns, will the downward trend continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Aussie Dollar exchange rate fell into the 1.73’s earlier today as the downward pressure upon the Pound continued.

Despite still trading in the 1.70’s the GBP/AUD pair has fallen from its 8-month high as the currency is falling against all major currency pairs, with the drop against some currencies being steeper than others with GBP/EUR’s fall down to a 5-week low bring one of the standout movers.

The main reason for the softening to Sterling’s value can be attributed to the Inflation rate within the UK and its knock on effects.

The rate of Inflation has risen to its highest level since September 2013 and this is significant as it’s come at a time when UK wage growth is stagnating. Inflation is growing at a higher rate than wage growth which is likely to negatively impact consumer spending within the UK, which is an important aspect of the UK economy.

This situation looks gloomy for the Pound moving forward as the Bank of England has ruled out a rate hike in the short term future, especially with a general election just around the corner.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see the GBP/AUD rate dip below 1.70 in the short term future, unless there’s a reversal in the steep rise of living costs within the UK.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will sour Brexit negotiations continue to weigh on the Pound? (Joseph Wright)

So far this week we’ve seen a very typical pattern of trading for the Pound against the Aussie Dollar.

Political uncertainty has been the main driver of price fluctuations for GBP exchange rates for the past year as the Brexit vote, and subsequent discussions surrounding the process of leaving the EU have continuously weighed on the Pound’s value.

At the same time Sterling has been boosted by impressive economic data during this time which has supported the Pound, so it will be interesting to see which of the two factors have the strongest bearing on GBP/AUD over time.

This week we’ve seen the same pattern continue as the Pound softened earlier this week as over the weekend the tensions between the UK and EU surfaced after the European Commission’s President Jean Claude Juncker commented that UK Prime Minister Theresa May ‘is living in another galaxy’ regarding Brexit negotiations.

Despite the Pound falling in the wake of these comments the currency has since taken a turn for the better as yesterday mornings UK Manufacturing data release came out at its highest level in 3 years. This data showed that sentiment within the UK’s manufacturing sector is going strong at the moment which has been aided by the weaker Pound.

Moving forward I expect data out of the UK to be watched closely as investors will be keen to see how the UK is performing during this crucial two-year period of negotiations.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Pound to Aussie Dollar rate hits a new 2017 high as inflation data disappoints, will the trend continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has hit a new high against the Aussie Dollar today, as the pair have hit 1.7220 at one stage during today’s trading session.

The upward movement for the Pound begun early mostly due to Aussie Dollar weakness, as in the early hours of this morning the Australian inflation data came out worse than expected on both an annual and monthly basis albeit not drastically.

At the same time Sterling has performed well across the board during today’s trading session and at the time of writing the currency is up against all major currency pairs.

There has been talk of the Australian economy slowing in recent months, and with the US Fed Reserve now likely to continue to raise interest rates throughout the year I think the Aussie may end up trading quite considerably lower against the Pound as the year progresses. An increasing interest rate in the US could be bad news for the Australian Dollar as its likely that investors would rather hold their funds in the US due to the higher level of security it offers.

Limited demand for the Aussie Dollar is the reason I think we could see the GBP to AUD rate improve as the year goes on, but I do think that if the conservatives in the UK don’t win the election in June we could see another sell-off for the Pound.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and the Aussie Dollar, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

For how long will the GBPAUD rate remain above 1.70?

The pound to Australian dollar rate has risen above 1.70 which is presenting an excellent short term opportunity for clients with an Australian dollar buying requirement in the future. Sterling is potentially about to hit a brick wall with the UK elections but more worrying might be the likelihood of an interest rate cut in Australia. Next week is the RBA Interest Rate decision which could see a much weaker Aussie dollar so if you have Aussies to sell next week might be something to avoid!

I am expecting a very busy period in the next two weeks on GBPAUD exchange rates as investors get close to understanding just what the RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) plan in the future for their interest rates. Whilst unlikely they will actually make a cut there is a real chance the RBA will be looking to see a weaker Australian dollar and if there remain concerns over the economy, particularly jobs, the RBA will want to cut sooner than later.

Overall levels to buy Australian dollars are now much higher than many believed a few weeks ago. The shock announcement of the snap UK General Election has seen the pound rise but this is unlikely to last too long. Typically a General Election leads to market uncertainty which can see a currency weaker. I have worked in this industry for almost ten years and this will be the third General Election I have seen. The last two both saw a weaker pound in the run-up to the vote which might be an opportunity for clients selling Australian dollars to buy the pound.

If you have a transaction in the coming weeks and months then making some plans sooner rather than later is the best way to navigate the uncertainty and volatility we are likely to experience. For more information at no cost or obligation please do feel free to get in touch to get an overview of the market and all of your options. Please email jmw@currencies.co.uk to learn more about the market and all of your options.