Tag Archives: best UK exchange rates

GBP/AUD When to move? (Daniel Johnson)

Is there still a rate hike still on the cards form the BOE?

We have seen Sterling fall in value against the Aussie of late following poor retail and inflation data. There was a host of positive data before this including a significant increase in average wage growth and unemployment hitting a 43yr low. We also have a transitional Brexit deal all but agreed with the UK being granted single market access until full exit from the European Union.

It was almost nailed on there would be a rate hike from the Bank of England (BOE) in May. Inflation slowed however, falling below average wage growth and retail sales was predicted to come in at -0.5% in at arrived at a shocking -1.2%. Mark Carney spoke on the BBC following the retail figures and said there is the possibility of monetary policy change, but did not mention May. The markets were fairly stagnant following the data release, but Carney’s words or lack of them caused Sterling to weaken against the majority of major currencies.

Despite this a rate hike is already factored into current levels, if the hike occurs do not expect a huge movement in the pound’s favour, the market moves on rumour as well as fact. The danger is if there is no hike. The pound will lose significant value. It is always worth keeping an eye on Carney’s speech after the rate decision as any hint at a change in monetary policy can cause volatility.

I am of the opinion Sterling is chronically undervalued ant that we are only seeing current levels due to the uncertainty surrounding Brexit. AUD has been considered an investors choice due to it’s high levels of interest, but now with the USD promising higher returns and further rate hikes combined with it’s reputation as a safe haven currency it is almost a no brainer to move to the  US Dollar. I doubt the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will raise rates until 2019 at the earliest.

There is also the ongoing trade war with the US and China. The new tariffs could hit Chinese growth which will in turn hit the Aussie as Australia is heavily reliant on China purchasing it’s raw materials, particularly iron ore.

I personally think short to medium term  GBP/AUD will be stuck between buoyancy levels of 1.80-85.

If you are an AUD buyer and have to move short term, aim to move in the 1.84s.

AUD sellers, I would not hang on for significant gains as I feel the Aussie is fragile. Aim for 1.82 on Interbank.

If you have a currency requirement I would be happy to assist. If you wish to maximise your return it is important to be in touch with an experienced broker. If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavour to produce a trading strategy to suit your needs. If you have a currency provider in place I am willing to perform a live comparison and I am confident I will be able to demonstrate a considerable saving. It will only take  a couple of minutes and could be well worth your while.

You can trade in safety knowing your trading with Foreign Currency Direct PLC, a company  trading for over 16 years. Our accounts are published online at companies house and we are FCA registered.

If you would like my help I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk. I look forward to hearing from you.

What can we expect in the future from GBPAUD exchange rates?

GBPAUD exchange rates have been improving lately reaching some of the best rates to buy Australian dollars with pounds since the Referendum in June 2016. This is very good news for any clients looking to make an international transfer in the future as the last few months have generally been difficult for the pound. The good news may well continue further but with plenty of potential for the pound to struggle clients buying Australian dollars with pounds should I believe be thinking very carefully about what they are aiming for.

The Australian dollar has weakened as a consequence of a much stronger US dollar which is seeing investors transfer their holdings in Australian dollars through to the US dollar. With higher base interest rates than Australia the US dollar has become a much more attractive currency to hold and the previous arguments for holding onto the Australian dollar diminish.

The RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) is likely to be very much on course to be raising interest rates down the line but with the UK and also the US likely to be raising interest rates before the RBA, the prospect for the Aussie to weaken further seems high. Expectations for the GBPAUD rate are in my opinion that it will rise further so if you are looking for any transfers in the future and wish for updates on what is likely to happen, please contact myself, Jonathan Watson, directly.

Please email jmw@currencies.co.uk for more information and thank you for getting in touch.

Pound to Australian Dollar rate trading at annual high, will the pair now climb higher? (Joseph Wright)

The exchange rate for changing Pounds into Aussie Dollars has traded within half-a-cent from its annual high today, as the almost hit 1.85 again during today’s trading session.

As many of our regular readers will be aware, sentiment surrounding the Pound has improved quite considerably recently after roughly a month ago the UK and EU Brexit negotiators came to an agreement regarding the Brexit transitional deal. This was a topic that limited the Pound’s value prior tot he agreement, as there were concerns that there would be a Hard Brexit which most likely would’ve resulted in a weaker Pound due to the shock to the UK economy.

Now that there is likely to be an interest rate hike from the Bank of England next month, sentiment is improving as the UK economy is showing signs of picking up, even if the Brexit has slowed the economy somewhat.

Moving forward, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Pound climb from its current levels as I think AUD will continue to lose value throughout the year. Now that the Fed Reserve has begun hiking interest rates in the US, AUD is likely to lose some of its attractiveness as it will no longer be offering one of the highest interest rates within the developed world. At the same time trade tensions between the US and China are likely to limit upside for AUD in my opinion.

There are expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia will increase interest rates to 1.75% at the end of this year, although up until this stage the RBA has been skeptical due to the overheating property market down under, particularly on the East coast. With the RBA being weary of the effects this could have on the Australian economy, I think they will leave it late before making an amendment.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

GBP/AUD – Is there the chance for further gains for the Pound? (Daniel Johnson)

Are we now witnessing new Buoyancy levels on GBP/AUD?

Sterling has advanced considerably against the Aussie of late due to several contributing factors. UK retail sales was impressive, figures sat at – 0.2% and were predicted to land at 0.4%. They came in at 0.8%. We also saw UK average wage growth move closer to parity with inflation which is a  sign of a very healthy economy.

There was already the strong possibility of an interest  rate hike from the Bank of England (BOE), but these date means it is almost a certainty.

It has also been confirmed the UK will have access to the single market during the Brexit transitional period  which will relieve a great number of UK firms.

On the back of this GBP/AUD went as high as 1.85, but quickly retracted. I am of the opinion this will be a new resistance point on GBP/AUD so if you are an AUD buyer and you have to move short term I would consider moving in the 1.84s.

The Aussie is losing its attraction to it’s investors due to the US now offering higher returns and future rate hikes. I am of the opinion the hike by the Federal Reserve however are already factored into current levels.

Be sure to keep an eye on Australia’s primary export, Iron Ore. china is the main purchaser and the current trade war with the US could well influence AUD value.

If you have a pending currency transfer let me know the details of your trade I will endeavour to assist. There is no obligation to trade by asking for my help, I will provide a free trading strategy to suit your individual needs. If you do wish to try our service you can trade in the knowledge we are a no risk entity, as we do not speculate. Foreign Currency Direct PLC has been in business for over 16yrs and we are registered with the FCA. If you already use a provider I can perform a comparison within minutes and I am confident I will demonstrate a considerable saving. I can be contacted at dcj@currencies.co.uk.

Aussie Dollar boosted after positive Retail Sales data, where to next for AUD exchange rates? (Joseph Wright)

The Aussie Dollar has received a boost overnight after some positive economic data.

After disappointing in recent months Australian Retail Sales down under have rebounded and impressed during February. Retail Sales rose by 0.6% during the month after slumping in January and December.

Improving sales along with inflation are increasing the chances of a rate hike from the RBA, up from its record lows which is where interest rates currently sit.

The Pound has reached new annual highs against the Aussie Dollar in recent weeks after the Brexit transitional agreement has been arranged between the UK-EU negotiators. This positive news for the UK benefited the Pound along with increasing likelihood of a rate hike in May.

Now that the US Dollar offers a higher return than the Aussie Dollar, it’s not surprising to see the Aussie Dollar lose value as investors move deposits from AUD into the USD. Before the recent rate hikes from the FED Reserve bank in the US AUD had offered one of the highest returns in the developed world, but now that AUD is losing this competitive edge we’re seeing the currency lose value.

Early tomorrow morning there will be the release of Australian Import and Export data along with Trade Balance figures. If you’re planning a currency transfer involving AUD it can be worth setting up target rates in case the best trade levels are available in the early hours when we’re not in the office.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will GBPAUD remain above 1.80?

The pound to Australian dollar rate is looking like it might rise further in the future so for clients looking to sell AUD for pounds a quick move is probably sensible. With the levels now safely above 1.80 fr over a week the prospect for it to dip back below 1.80 seems unlikely. Overall the expectation for clients who will need to buy pounds with Aussies is that moving sooner will probably be best.

We learned this week that the pound should find more favour against the Australian dollar on the back of improved expectations relating to the prospect of interest rate rises. The GBPAUD rate was dealt a double whammy when the US raised interest rates but also confirmed extra buoyancy in future hikes which has kept the AUD weaker against both currencies.

We learned very recently that the RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) will be looking less likely to raise interest rates in the future, this has seen the Australian currency weaker. Interest rates are a major barometer of what will happen to a currency in the future, the expectations that the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England will raise interest rates ahead of the RBA is putting the Aussie on the back foot.

The next stages of progress will be made in the coming weeks, any surprise twists and turns on Brexit could unsettle the pound GBPAUD rate but the overall impression looks more positive. If you have a transfer buying or selling pounds and Australian dollars making plans ahead of any spike is the best course of action.

If you have a transfer and wish for some expert information and assistance on the currency markets, please don’t hesitate to get in touch with me directly on jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing back from you.

Predictions of a higher GBP/AUD rate mount as Brexit transitional deal hopes grow (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Australian Dollar exchange rate climbed during today’s trading session, with the pair now trading almost at the very top of the current trend.

The mid-market level for the pair hasn’t breached 1.80 in some time but the pair are currently trading in the 1.78’s, meaning that for those planning on making a GBP to AUD transfer are looking at attractive levels considering recent trading levels. I would add that the lower end of the trend is 1.60 so hopefully you can see my reasoning as to why the current levels are around the top of the market.

There are hopes that the Pound will climb further, and this week the Brexit Secretary, David Davis said that the UK ‘can live with’ a shorter transitional period which has boosted the Pound’s value along with the likelihood of UK interest rates climbing sooner than many had expected.

Analysts at Lloyd’s Bank have recently upgraded their forecasts for the Pound to Aussie Dollar rate this year. They had previously expected to see the pair trade at 1.72 at the inter-bank level although the changing tones from the Bank of England and the Reserve Bank of Australia has changed their minds, with them upgrading their views on the Pound’s potential.

There isn’t any major economic data coming out of the UK or Australia this week, so I expect the pair to be driven by politics for the remainder of the week.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Key factors impacting Australian dollar exchange rates this week

So far its been a varied week for the Australian dollar against sterling and the US dollar, and therefore there has been opportunity for people buying Australian dollars and selling. When the market is up and down like it is at the moment, a contract that we offer is a limit order which allows clients to set a rate and if we can buy at that rate our computer systems do it for you. If you are buying or selling Australian dollars and want to find out more my direct email is drl@currencies.co.uk.

Below are a few reasons to why the Australian dollar has faced a varied week so far.  

US President Donald Trump and ‘trade wars’ is continuing to put pressure on the currency market and investors are retreating to assets they see as safe, therefore we are seeing unusual movements. At times we have seen investor flows out of the US dollar and into the Australian dollar, which isn’t the ‘norm’ however investors are heading to the Aussies for high returns of interest.

China released their latest industrial output numbers on Wednesday which impressed and many forecasters are suggesting a slight rise in commodity prices due to the demand from China in the upcoming months. This gave the Australian dollar a boost.

Over in the UK, the Chancellor of the Chequer Philip Hammond confirmed growth forecasts had been increased from 1.4% to 1.5% and the deficit predictions were far hawkish than at the last budget. No surprises this caused the pound to make gains against the Australian dollar.

If you are Australian dollars this week, month or year I would recommend emailing me with the the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and your timescales and I will response with the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage, I would strongly recommend you compare rates as I am confident I will be able to offer you additional savings with your transfer. All you need to do is email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

 

RBA keep Rates on hold (Daniel Johnson)

Reluctance to change Monetary Policy could cause AUD weakness.

In the early hours we saw the Reserve Bank of Australian (RBA) Interest Rate Decision. Rates remained unchanged at 1.5%, which was no surprise considering current economic conditions down under. Retail Sales data came in just before the decision and was some way below expectations. There was predicted to be a rise from – 0.5% to 0.4%, but there was only an increase to 0.1% which caused the Aussie to suffer.

The Australian Dollar has been a favourite with investors due to its offer of relatively high returns, however the US Dollar now seems to be gaining preference as it offers the same returns and is also considered a safe haven currency.

The Federal Reserve also has a far more aggressive forecast in terms of hiking rates and  it has been rumoured we could see as many as three more hikes in 2018 which does not bode well for the Australian Dollar.

Living costs in high wage growth areas are causing Australians to spend there hard earned money on necessities rather than luxury goods and services. There needs to be an increase in average wage growth before a rate hike can be justified. I am doubtful of any rate hikes by the RBA until 2019.

If you have a currency requirement I will be happy to assist. If you let me know the details of your trade I will endeavor to produce a free trading strategy. During a period of such uncertainty it is important to be in touch with an experienced broker if you wish to maximize your return. We have tools at our disposal to make sure you do not miss out if there is a spike in your favour.

If you already have a currency provider in place. Drop me an email with what you are being offered and I am very confident I will be able to demonstrate a significant saving. It will only take you two minutes and I am sure it will be worth your while.

You can trade in safety knowing you are with a Foreign Currency Direct PLC, a firm trading for over 16yrs and FCA registered.

If you would like my help feel free to email me at dcj@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading.

 

Still waiting for GBPAUD to hit 1.80!

Well readers forgive me for my optimism, I have been banging the 1.80 drum for some weeks now. It just proves how tricky the markets are to predict. I still feel there is a very good shot to hit it and I still believe we will hit this at some point in the coming weeks, next week’s RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) decision could be important.

Critical too will be the outcome from Theresa May’s speech tomorrow which could easily see the pound higher. Personally, I feel the market will either not react much or will possibly move lower on any news. I believe much of the good news and sentiment over Brexit has been priced in already and today was a perfect example of how quickly the mood can change.

Whilst I remain upbeat for the 1.80 we are still at a very good level compared to the 1.60’s and even 1.50’s some client have had to endue in recent years. If you are aiming to buy Australian dollars at 1.80 please let me know via my personal email jmw@currencies.co.uk and I can set you up an alert so you don’t miss the price.

The outlook for the GBPAUD pairing in March will also need to contend with the developments on US interest rates which would see the US dollar stronger and potentially the Aussie weaker. There is a real correlation between the two currencies and clients looking to buy or sell AUD should be aware of the potential for this element to trigger movement and volatility.

For more information at no cost or obligation please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you in the future.