Tag Archives: buy Australian Dollars

Brexit chaos continues as Conservative MP’s trigger a vote of no confidence in PM May, will this put pressure on GBP/AUD?

This morning it’s been announced that a vote of no-confidence has been triggered by the Conservative Party after Sir Graham Brady, the Chairman of the 1922 Committee confirmed that he has received at least 48 letters of no-confidence from Conservative MP’s.

The Chairman of the 1922 Committee isn’t required to announce how many letters he’s received but we do know that it’s at least 48 as this number constitutes 15% of the Tory members. Since the news broke the Pound has actually remained unchanged and this is probably because the vote will take place this evening between 6.00 pm and 8.00 pm so until shortly afterwards we won’t know the outcome and therefore, the next steps for Brexit.

Since the announcement which was around 7.45 am this morning, there have been a number of Conservative MP’s that have outlined their plans to support May, with the general consensus that a change in leadership this far into the Brexit process would be chaotic. If there are a number of votes against against her though, there is a chance she may resign even if she’s not obliged to owing to the lack of support from her own political party.

May has already given a speech outside Downing Street this morning whereby she’s highlighted that if she’s replaced a new leader would have to delay Brexit, as they wouldn’t have enough time to renegotiate the withdrawal agreement.

With regards to the Pound to Aussie Dollar exchange rate I would expect to see the next potential market movement to come after the vote this evening, with the result expected to be released shortly after the vote.

AUD exchange rates have been influenced over the past week and a half by the concerns that the US-China trade war tensions could resurface, as China is Australia’s main trading partner. Those of our readers planning a GBP/AUD trade should follow this matter as it’s the main driver of AUD value at the moment.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Australian dollar Falls after Chinese Arrest by US Authorities (James Lovick)

Despite the Brexit uncertainty ahead of a crucial parliamentary vote next week the pound to Australian dollar exchange rate has recovered after the CFO of a Chinese Telecoms giant Huawei was arrested in Canada by US authorities after allegedly breaching US Iranian sanctions. There was recent optimism for a cooling of trade tensions after the G20 summit last weekend following a positive talks between US President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping.

A 90 day pause on future trade tariffs was agreed to try and find a way forward which in fact helped strengthen the Australian dollar. This new political upset could make the negotiations difficult especially if there is an escalation of events. Rates for GBP to AUD have now moved higher to 1.7650 for the pair.

Those looking to buy Australian dollars with pounds should be braced for major volatility around the time of the meaningful vote to be held in parliament on the terms of the withdrawal agreement and political declaration. It is looking highly unlikely that she will win the vote and the markets are now speculating as to how many votes she loses by. If she lost by under 100 the feeling is that this would be manageable and she could possibly go to Brussels in the hope of finding a solution to the Irish backstop. However there is talk that the number could be more like 200 which could see the Prime Minster go at this crucial stage at the end of the Brexit process.

Some Conservative members are suggesting delaying the vote to find a solution and to ovoid what could be a fatal defeat for Theresa May. The outcome of this vote will almost certainly dictate the future direction for the pound and clients would be wise to plan around this event. The volatility to follow could be similar to that seen after the Brexit referendum in 2016. Should a deal eventually be reached between Britain and the EU then there could be major gains for the pound and a good opportunity for buying Australian dollars. The risk of a no deal scenario though cannot be ruled out and is probably looking the more likely of the two options.

I have been helping clients move their funds to and from Australia at excellent rates of exchange for fifteen years. For more information and guidance timing your exchange around these events please feel free to contact me James at jll@currencies.co.uk

Brexit Impact papers push Sterling lower against the Australian Dollar

After a strong start to the trading session yesterday, Sterling exchange rates have seen their fortunes reverse since yesterday afternoon when Brexit Impact papers were released by both the Government as well as the Bank of England.

Both releases suggested that the UK will be worse off by carrying out the Brexit with the BoE outlining a number of worse case scenarios for the UK economy in the case of a no-deal Brexit. Their report outlined the potential for the Pound to lose 25% of its value against both the Euro and the US Dollar which would put Sterling below parity vs both of these key currencies. Property market falls of 30% were also contained within this worst case scenario Brexit report as well as unemployment potentially rising to 7.5% and since this report we’ve seen a sell-off of the Pound’s value which has accelerated this morning.

After almost reaching 1.77 yesterday we’ve seen the pair drop below 1.75 this morning which goes to show how much the currency has been impacted by these reports. It’s also worth noting that the Australian Dollar has lost value recently owing to the sharp drop in the value of iron ore which is a key export of the Australia’s. Iron ore prices have dropped by 9% this week which represents the largest drop in over a year. The rhetoric between US President Donald Trump and Chinese leaders has also ramped up with concerns of a global slowdown owing to the trade war once again impacting currencies such as AUD’s.

Economic data releases are light for the remainder of the week between the UK and Australia so it’s likely that Brexit talks will remain the main driver of currency fluctuations.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Aussie Dollar comes under pressure as US-China tensions resurface, and fears of a global slowdown take hold

The Australian Dollar has come under pressure in early trading today, although the fall has a lot further to go to wipe out the gains made by AUD over the past month and a half. Against the US Dollar the currency has lost over 1% over the past 24-hours as investors have piled into safe haven currencies and taken funds out of riskier currencies such as the Aussie.

Over in the US the Federal Reserve Bank has indicated plans for a less aggressive monetary policy next year than the markets had previously anticipated, and signs of a global slowdown with stock markets still selling off is concerning financial markets hence the sell-off.

AUD exchange rates haven’t been helped by comments out of the White House yesterday either. In the lead up to the G20 meeting next week there have been hopes of a truce between US President Donald Trump, and Chinese President Xi Jinping, but yesterday as the White House said Beijing has failed to alter its ‘unfair’ practices. As China is such a key trading partner of Australia’s this is negative news for AUD which perhaps explains yesterday’s sell-off of the Aussie Dollar.

There are no economic data releases out of Australia this week, so I expect the GBP/AUD rate to continue to be driven by Brexit related updates which are coming through thick and fast at the moment. UK PM, Theresa May will be in Brussels today to discuss the Brexit agreement text with EU leaders for the first time since the text was announced last week.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

Is now the time to sell Australian dollars and buy Pounds?

Its been a roller coaster ride for Pound v Australian dollar exchange rates over the last month. GBPAUD exchange rates have ranged from 1.8750 to 1.78 a 5.3% fluctuation. To put this into monetary value, a well timed transfer could have generated clients an additional 19,000 dollars on a £200,000 transfer.

Brexit related news has been the main driver and at present GBPAUD exchange rates are back on the rise as the EU have hinted that they are willing to offer Theresa May an ‘independent mechanism’ deal. The news comes before Theresa May meets with her cabinet today to give an overview of current negotiations.

The independent mechanism review will be the hot topic as the UK and EU try to come up with a way to keep the borders open in Ireland,. However rumors have emerged surrounding Brexiteers including her own Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab, that his resignation will come if within the deal the UK cannot leave the EU on demand.

The upcoming weeks are going to shape GBPAUD exchange rates for years to come. At the moment the pound is on the frontfoot as a deal is looking more likely, however clients converting GBPAUD should expect the unexpected. My personal view is that a deal will be struck next month at the European Council meeting on the 13-14th and therefore the pound will make considerable gains against the Australian dollar.

For people that are new to currency exchange and are planning a transfer involving the Pound v Australian dollar, now is the time to get in touch even if you are not needing the currency until next year. As a company we can keep you updated with regular economic information and events which can help you prepare for your transfer.

However for people that are converting Australian dollars into Pounds, quite simply I believe now is the time. If a deal is struck we could see GBPAUD head back towards Pre Brexit levels. If you would like more information in regards to Australian dollar exchange rates or would like more information on the rates that we can offer feel free to email me on drl@currencies.co.uk.

 

 

Australian Dollar strength vs the Pound but is it just short term?

Despite some very positive gains for the Pound against a number of major currencies Sterling failed to make any real advances vs the Australian Dollar.

Weaker than expected Australian Retail Sales would have typically weakened the Australian Dollar vs the Pound but this was not the case.

The Australian Dollar could even continue its recent rally against the Pound as it appears as though US President Donald Trump is gearing up for talks with the Chinese President about stopping the current Trade Wars which has been taken as good news for commodity based currencies including the Australian Dollar.

As we head in to next week the Reserve Bank of Australia will be meeting to announce their latest interest rate decision and I fully expect interest rates to be kept on hold but it will be the comments made as to whether we’ll see any suggestion of a rate hike coming in the future.

The RBA are in a tricky position as house prices in both Melbourne and Sydney have been falling recently so any interest rate hike could cause more problems for the economy so I think the tone may be rather cautious and this could see the Australian Dollar shows signs of weakness against the Pound following the announcement made on Tuesday.

Clearly the Brexit remains the over-riding factor in determining what may happen for the Pound against the Australian Dollar and with claims made by Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab that a deal could be reached by 21st November if there is any truth behind this story could we see the Pound make gains vs the Australian Dollar later on this month?

If you have a currency requirement involving Australian Dollars and would like to save money on exchange rates compared to using your own bank then contact me directly for a free quote and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

Could we see further gains for AUD? (Daniel Johnson)

GBP/AUD – We have seen gains for the Australian Dollar against sterling of late, however I think this is more down to current situation with Brexit rather than positive news on the Australian economy. I believe Sterling would be making advances against the Aussie were it not for the debacle that is Brexit.

GBP/AUD currently just sits above 1.80, testing what has been a key resistance point in the past 12 months. I am of the belief we could see further Aussie gains as Brexit talks intensify. If I had to make a call on what I think will occur, it will be that talks will go the eleventh hour and a deal will be agreed. The last date at which a deal can be agreed will be the EU summit in mid-December, I would expect there to be a significant Sterling rally, but keep in mind that if a deal is agreed it will have to be voted through by the House of Commons in January, if it gets the OK expect GBP to gain further ground.

Although December is the EU summit where I expect a deal to be agreed. If I was an Aussie seller I would be wary, if a deal is coming close to fruition it will be in the press and the markets will react, the market moves on rumour as well as fact. Keep in mind pre-Brexit GBP/AUD sat above 2.20. There are dangers for the Aussie due to the Chines – US trade war. Australia’s heavy reliance on China purchasing it’s raw materials is a burden in this circumstance. The tariffs in place are hurting Chinese growth which in turn is hurting the Australian economy. The trade war is set to intensify and be prolonged. During times of global economic uncertainty investors flee riskier commodity based currencies such as AUD in search of safe haven investments with higher returns. If I was selling Aussies I would take advantage of current levels or if you have a high risk appetite consider performing a tranche at current levels for safety.

If you have a currency requirement, please do get in touch I will be happy to assist. Yo can drop me a mail at dcj@currencies.co.uk.

Thank you for reading. Daniel Johnson.

 

Chinese GDP falls but Brexit talks may be extended so Pound gains vs the Australian Dollar are limited

Overnight the world’s second largest economy China confirmed that it grew at its slowest quarterly rate in ten years as the problems of the US-China Trade Wars appear to be having an impact on the economy.

According to official sources the previous quarter showed growth of 6.5% compared to the year before and this was short of the forecast figure of 6.6%.

However, although the headline figure is clearly a concern for the country it was still in line with the government’s target for this year of 6.5%.

Typically this would result in Australian Dollar weakness as China is their largest trading partner so any slow down will often result in problems for the Aussie Dollar.  However, as we have seen during the course of this week the Pound has faced some problems owing to the roadblock concerning the latest Brexit talks which appear not to have gone anywhere at this week’s EU summit.

Indeed, the latest news appears to be that the parties involved are looking to extend the current time lines in order to ensure a smoother Brexit. The European Union has offered to extend the amount of time needed for the post-transitional period for the UK.

This has caused the Pound to come to a bit of a brick wall in terms of making further advances against the Australian Dollar and next month’s Brexit summit appears to have been cancelled for the time being.

I have worked for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers for 15 years and I’m confident that with my experience I can help you with both the timing of your transfer of Australian Dollars as well as being able to save you money on exchange rates compared to using your own bank.

Please send me an email with your requirement and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

GBP/AUD hits lowest level in 10-days as Brexit issues weigh on the Pound

The Pound to Aussie Dollar exchange rate has fallen to its lowest levels of the past 10-days. This has happened after GBP/AUD hit an annual high of just over 1.87 last week, which was also the highest level since the major drop in June of 2016 when the Brexit vote outcome was announced.

Sterling had hit such high levels against AUD as hopes of a Brexit deal being agreed shortly were high. These hopes are now fading and GBP exchange rates have softened across the board of major currency pairs as it now look likely that UK and EU negotiators will not be able to agree on the terms of the Brexit deal by the EU’s deadline.

Later this week there will be an EU Summit in Brussels and the main focus is expected to be the Brexit. UK Prime Minister, Theresa May will give a speech to the EU leaders regarding her plans and the progress made so far. There will also be meeting behind closed door’s that she isn’t invited to, and depending on the outcome of the recent negotiations and the EU Summit this week I think there could be movement for the GBP to AUD rate.

The Aussie Dollar hasn’t lost a dramatic amount of value against the Pound as markets will still be holding out for a Brexit deal by November, but seeing GBP/AUD drop over the past few trading days is worth considering for those of our clients planning on making a transfer.

From the Australian side there will be Employment data out of Thursday at 1.30am UK time. If you wish to be updated in the event of a major market movement do feel free to register your interest.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

GBP AUD Breaks 2 Year High (James Lovick)

The pound has made good gains against the Australian dollar this with rates for the GBP AUD pair back over 1.85. Rates for GBP AUD have now broken above a two year high creating a good opportunity for those looking to buy Australian dollars. The pound is receiving some mixed signals on Brexit although the general consensus is that a deal is within sight.

The EU are expected to offer the UK a proposal which should allow for much of the Chequers proposal being championed by Prime Minister Theresa May. It has been reported that something around 30-40% of her proposals will be granted in a deal but the stumbling block of the Irish border appears to remain. A new stumbling block has appeared in the form of the political declaration that will be made with the withdrawal agreement. Theresa May is asking for a precise agreement on frictionless trade, something the EU is reluctant to agree to. Expect considerable market volatility and opportunity as new developments unfold over Brexit.

The Australian dollar has had some of its confidence dented this week as events in China give cause for concern for global growth. The Peoples Bank of China has intervened to try and stimulate growth in China by lowering finance costs which should encourage growth. The markets are taking this as a sign that China is noticeably concerned about the prospect of a slowdown in China which is seeing funds move out of the Australian dollar. There has been a clear flight to safety away from emerging markets back to the safety of the dollar which could see further falls in the Australian dollar if the trend continues.

For more information on Australian dollar exchange rates and for assistance in timing your exchange at the best exchange rates then please feel free to contact me James at jll@currencies.co.uk