Tag Archives: exchange rate

Pound to Aussie Dollar range-bound, but where to next? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Aussie Dollar exchange rate has been trading between 1.66 and 1.68 for a few days now, as the pair appear to have consolidated below 1.70 in the wake of the disappointing election outcome for Sterling bulls.

As of yet there is no official agreement between the Conservatives and the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) although speculation is mounting as to the amount the Conservatives will have to pay for the coalition, with some speculating amounts of up to £2bn.

Moving forward I’m expecting any news of the coalition to have a potential impact on the Pound to Aussie Dollar buying rate, which is where keeping in touch with us can really help as we’re able to act whenever there’s a big short term move.

Brexit negotiations are now also underway, which is another issue for the government to deal with along with the ongoing Grenfell Tower tragedy and the recent terrorist issues.

On the other hand the Aussie Dollar has been under pressure in recent weeks as the Chinese economy appears to be slowing, which is a negative for the value of AUD as the Australian and Chinese economies are key trading partners.

With both currencies coming pressure for different reasons, it could be that the weaker of the two that results in further price movement for the GBP/AUD pair.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

Will the issues surrounding the Australian property market weaken AUD further? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Australian Dollar exchange rate hit 1.7430 at it’s highest point during today’s session, although at the time of writing the Pound appears to have lost all of today’s earlier gains.

It’s difficult to tell which way the rate will move next, although I think that it will be underlying weakness that results in the next big move for the GBP/AUD pair as both currencies are coming under pressure for differing reasons.

China was downgraded by Moody’s (a credit rating agency) for the first time in 30 years due to slowing growth in the region although markets haven’t overreacted as a slowing in growth was inevitable.

This could spell bad news for the Aussie Dollar moving forward due to the interconnected economies (Australia and China) being quite reliant on each other. At the same time further talk of the property markets in Sydney and Melbourne overheating are surfacing again, and with a slowdown in the construction sector down under becoming a talking point as well I think there could be issues for AUD later down the line.

The Pound has also come under pressure due to the terrorist attack earlier this week, and with the election just around the corner we could see further headwinds for the Pound as we get closer to the election date (the 8th of June).

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Australian dollar falls due to China’s credit rating (Dayle Littlejohn)

This morning China’s credit rating has been cut by Moody’s by one level to A1. A1 is the fifth highest credit rating by the well established Moody’s, and indicated that the country can meet debt requirements however are susceptible to change due to economic changes.  The reason why China have been cut is that debt levels are continuing to rise and will continue to rise in a bid to keep the economy growing. Moody’s stated “Rising Debt will erode China’s credit metrics, with robust growth increasingly reliant on policy stimulus.”

The slowdown in China is having a direct impact on Australia’s largest export Iron Ore. Fortescue, on of the largest producers of Iron ore have warned that Iron prices could continue to fall in the upcoming months. Since February Iron ore has dropped from $95 dollars per tonne to $60 dollars. With this in mind I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Australian dollar lose value in the upcoming months. Good news for Aussie buyers bad news for Aussie sellers.

However when buying or selling Australian dollars it is always important to analyse the other currency you will be converting. If you are a regular reader you will know that the brokerage I work for is based in the UK and therefore I write many articles including the pound. In regards to GBPAUD exchange rates the pound is under pressure due to the upcoming UK General Election and Brexit negotiations however I wouldn’t be surprised to see a slight rise in the upcoming weeks.

The problem I have longer term for Australian dollar buyers that will be using sterling is that any point I believe Brexit negotiations could stall due to the €100bn divorce settlement. If this occurs I expect exchange rates to fall back to the levels we become accustom to over the last 6 months (1.60).

If you are buying or selling Australian dollars in the future, I would strongly recommend getting in contact to discuss your situation. The company I work offers a proactive service to offering economic information whilst having the ability to offer award winning exchange rates. Feel free to email me with your requirements along with the timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.

Pound to Aussie Dollar rate continues to fall over UK economic outlook concerns, will the downward trend continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Aussie Dollar exchange rate fell into the 1.73’s earlier today as the downward pressure upon the Pound continued.

Despite still trading in the 1.70’s the GBP/AUD pair has fallen from its 8-month high as the currency is falling against all major currency pairs, with the drop against some currencies being steeper than others with GBP/EUR’s fall down to a 5-week low bring one of the standout movers.

The main reason for the softening to Sterling’s value can be attributed to the Inflation rate within the UK and its knock on effects.

The rate of Inflation has risen to its highest level since September 2013 and this is significant as it’s come at a time when UK wage growth is stagnating. Inflation is growing at a higher rate than wage growth which is likely to negatively impact consumer spending within the UK, which is an important aspect of the UK economy.

This situation looks gloomy for the Pound moving forward as the Bank of England has ruled out a rate hike in the short term future, especially with a general election just around the corner.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see the GBP/AUD rate dip below 1.70 in the short term future, unless there’s a reversal in the steep rise of living costs within the UK.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will the Pound to Australian Dollar rate rise now that Brexit is underway? (Joseph Wright)

With Brexit underway and the UK having up until the 29th of March 2019 to arrange trade agreements, the pressure on the Pound appears to have eased.

The Pound to Australian Dollar rate hit its highest level on Tuesday afternoon which was just below 1.65, and I think if the Pound manages to break above this level and consolidate above 1.65 we could see the GBP/AUD climb back up to the 1.70 level.

While the political uncertainty surrounding the UK has previously weighed on Sterling’s value as is often the case in these times, the invoking of Article 50 has given the Pound a boost against most major currency pairs. Couple this with the limited demand for AUD as the US has recently hiked interest rates and plans to a number of times this year, I’m expecting to see the Pound climb over the medium to long term versus the Aussie Dollar unless trade negotiations hit a standstill.

Later this morning there will be an important economic news release in the form of Services PMI. This offers us an insight into market sentiment within the services sector which is a key driver for the UK economy. Expect any deviations from the expected figure of 53.5 to create movement between GBP exchange rates and feel free to get in touch if you wish to plan around this or any other key data releases.

There are tools available to our clients to help them trade at higher levels than currently available, such as Limit Orders. If you’re planning a currency exchange between the Pound and the Aussie Dollar its worth getting in touch to discuss these types of options as well as our commercial level exchange rates as we may be able to save you a considerable amount of money, especially when compared with the typical bank.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and the Australian Dollar, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Will the Pound fall when the Brexit begins next Wednesday? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound’s value was relatively unchanged in the wake of the UK government announcing the date for the start of the Brexit.

Towards the end of last week it emerged that the 29th of March will be the day Brexit is officially triggered, as UK Prime Minister Theresa May will invoke Article 50 in what Brexit secretary, David Davis has called ‘the most important negotiation for this country in a generation’.

I think the reason the Pounds value remained mostly unchanged is because the financial markets were expecting the announcement, after May made us aware of the governments plans and timescales towards the end of last year.

Personally, I think the Brexit is mostly priced into the Pounds value and I’m actually quite optimistic regarding the Pounds value moving forward. I think the major drops in the wake of the vote have seen the Pound consolidate at its new levels and it appears to see support at the 1.60 level against the Aussie Dollar.

The rising inflation in the UK is also likely to result in an interest rate hike which would likely boost the Pounds value, and there are concerns in Australia that the housing market is overheating, particularly in cities such as Melbourne and Sydney which could impact AUD’s value.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Will the Pound to Aussie Dollar rate fall below 1.60? (Joseph Wright)

A quick look at a GBP/AUD chart over the past 6 months will make it clear that the 1.60 level has acted as a key psychological level for some time now.

Since November of last year the GBP/AUD pair have bounced off of 1.60 around 4 times, and even in October of last year when the Pound came under huge pressure the rate only dipped into the 1.59’s for a short while before recovering back to levels above the key 1.60 mark.

Personally I think that a number of factors could reverse the direction of GBP/AUD, and I think 1.60 could remain a support level for the Pound with the pair likely to approach 1.70 once the Brexit is underway.

At present I think the markets are awaiting the certainty the invocation of Article 50 will give financial markets, which will in turn boost Sterling’s value. I’m also expecting to see the strongly performing Aussie Dollar lose some value should the US Fed Reserve Bank begin hiking interest rates as is planned in the US, as a higher yielding Dollar will likely limit demand for the high yielding Aussie Dollar.

Aussie Dollar sellers are in the fortunate position of being able to convert their currency into Pounds at around 3 year highs. Those planning on selling AUD for GBP are able to improve on their outcome even further as our currency brokerage offers exchange rates that improve on those offered by the high street banks, therefore our clients receive more Pounds for the Aussie Dollars through us.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Will the Pound recover from its multi-month low? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound is currently trading at its lowest level against the Australian Dollar since mid-January.

Whilst Pound Sterling has been losing value against most major currencies in recent weeks as the beginning of the Brexit looms, its losses against the Australian Dollar have been more profound as the Aussie Dollar has been going from strength to strength in recent weeks.

If the Australian economy continues to show signs of growth this year, it will break a new record in terms of successive growth and overtake the Netherlands existing record. Australia is only one month away from entering its 104th consecutive quarter of economic growth without a recession, and the Country also has one of the highest interest rates in the developed world so the demand for the currency is understandable.

Its also worth noting that commodity prices have been strengthening recently which is also a positive for the Aussie Dollar due to the Australian economies reliance on its export driven economy.

With so many positives for the Australian Dollar and the Brexit just around corner, I wouldn’t be surprised to see AUD continue to strengthen and I think GBP/AUD is more likely to dip below 1.60 than exceed 1.70.

One potential downside for the Aussie Dollar though is the possibility of the Reserve Bank of Australia cutting Interest Rates in the hope of the Aussie weakening. If the currency becomes too strong it could weigh on the economy, and this will in the minds of the RBA when they consider interest rate decisions.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

 

 

GBP/AUD declines further, will the pair fall below 1.60? (Joseph Wright)

Sterling is dropping in value once again against the Aussie Dollar, which in contrast to how the currency is performing against other major currencies such as the Euro or the US Dollar.

After some less than impressive US economic data releases so far this week, demand for the high yielding Aussie Dollar is on the rise as the likelihood of the US Fed Reserve Bank raising interest rates 3 times this year is likely to weaken if economic data out of the US doesn’t justify it.

Planning a currency exchange involving the Aussie Dollar can be difficult as it’s performance depends on a number of outside factors. There are fears the Aussie could weaken as the year goes on if the US is to raise interest rates a number of times this year as demand for the US Dollar will then increase, and investors would likely move deposits from the likes of the Aussie Dollar into the US Dollar.

The Australian economy is also reliant on key trading partners such as China so a slowdown in the Chinese economy could also weigh on AUD’s value but as it stands the currency is doing particularly well.

With the Brexit process to begin next month I think there’s a chance the Pound could come under additional pressure, and we may see the mid -market level between GBP/AUD fall below 1.60.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.

Aussie Dollar remains strong despite positive news for the Pound, where to next for the GBP/AUD pair? (Joseph Wright)

Despite a boost to Sterling exchange rates yesterday afternoon the Aussie Dollar has continued to remain strong, bucking the trend which is a good indicator of Aussie Dollar strength right now.

The Pound rallied against most currencies yesterday after the Bank of England’s Kristin Forbes suggested that an interest rate hike in the UK should still be considered due to the reasonable levels of economic growth and the large amounts of ‘easy money’ available to the markets.

Additionally, there were comments from David Jones, a Brexit minister in the House of Commons that helped give the Pound a further boost yesterday afternoon. Jones announced that the House of Commons will be asked to approve the final Brexit deal before it’s put forward and this move leans towards a ‘softer Brexit’ which is why the pound gained value.

The reason for the Aussie Dollars resistance to a surging Pound is the hawkish Reserve Bank of Australia’s comments this week, whilst Chinese economic data has also impressed which is a good indicator for the Aussie Dollar strength in future due to the economies being closely linked.

In the current market conditions it can be comments made by key figures that move markets, and if you wish to be kept up to date with short term market movements feel free to get in touch.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and another foreign currency, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on jxw@currencies.co.uk in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.