Tag Archives: exchange rates

Will GBPAUD continue to rise this month?

The pound made considerable gains against the Australian dollar throughout September due to the Bank of England’s stance surrounding future interest rates and the dovish stance from the Reserve Bank of Australia.

Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney announced that an interest rate hike could occur as early as November and currency speculators have purchased the pound in anticipation.

Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australian Philip Lowe confirmed that an interest rate hike anytime soon is unlikely as they do not want to see household debt rise further.

In other news iron ore prices in Austrian have been taking a tumble in recent weeks. Iron ore is Australia’s largest export and when iron ore prices fall this tends to mean the Austrian dollar follows suit. If iron ore continues to decline I expect buying Austrian dollars will become cheaper in the upcoming weeks.

Another factor that will have a major impact on GBPAUD exchange rates is Brexit developments. Currently Brexit negotiations have stalled once again as UK and EU negotiations cannot come to an agreement in regard to the divorce settlement or EU citizens rights once the UK depart the EU. This could be a story that has a positive or negative impact on the pound.

If you are buying or selling Australian dollar in the upcoming weeks, months or years feel free to email me with the reason for your conversion (company invoice, buying a property) and the timescales you are working to and I will email you with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

How will Australian interest rates impact the Aussie dollar?

Countries around the globe this year have been raising interest rates due to the global outlook improving. The Reserve Bank of Australia are one of the countries that have kept interest rates at record lows and many economists have predicted that a hike could occur sooner rather than later.

However Australian lender Westpac announced this week this think it is unlikely that interest rates will be raised until 2020 which could have major implication for Australian dollar exchange rates, if their predictions come true. Westpac’s theory is that it is unlikely that wages pressure will rise and consequently inflation will remain at current levels.

With most leading nations raising interest rates the Australian economy would be left behind and investment would continue to leave the Australian dollar which means buying currency would become more expensive.

However ANZ have a slightly different view and believe household debt is high, referring to the housing bubble in the major cities therefore they believe the Reserve Bank of Australia are likely to rise twice in 2018.

It just shows trying to predict Australian dollar exchange rates long term is very difficult however I believe the Governor will continue to monitor and if the Australian dollar exchange rates devalue further in the upcoming months the likelihood of an interest rate hike increases.

If you are buying or selling Australian dollar in the upcoming weeks, months or years feel free to email me with the reason for your conversion (company invoice, buying a property) and the timescales you are working to and I will email you with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

GBPAUD reaches 8 week high

The pound has been on the charge of late and GBPAUD exchange rates have reached an 8 week high!

This week UK inflation numbers rose to 2.9% which promoted the Bank of England to release a hawkish statement after the interest rate decision.  Members of the monetary policy committee hinted that an interest rate hike could occur in the upcoming months if inflation continues to rise.

Personally I believe the Bank of England have artifically strengthen sterling in a bid to curb the worrying inflation levels and an interest rate hike this year is extremely unlikely. Nevertheless the Bank of England have provided a window of opportunity for Australian dollar buyers.

This week the Reserve Bank of Australia are set to release their latest minutes Tuesday morning. I don’t expect the minutes to provide any further insight to interest rate decision moving forward as the Governor will not want the Australian dollar strengthening any further in the upcoming months due to speculation.

Later in the week UK Prime Minister Theresa May is set to deliver a speech in Florence outlining life after Brexit. EU Parliament negotiator Guy Verhofstadt has exclaimed the UK Prime Minister will make an “important intervention” and if this is the case GBPAUD could rise or fall dramatically. The problem clients have that are converting GBPAUD is trying to predict Theresa May is impossible.

If you are trading GBPAUD in the upcoming weeks, months or years and want to save money, feel free to email me with the reason for your conversion (company invoice, buying a property) and the timescales you are working to and I will email you with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Will the RBA raise interest rates anytime soon?

Earlier this week the Australian Bureau of statistic released the latest jobs numbers which impressed for the Australian dollar. 54,200 jobs had been created up from 27,900 in July, and the prediction was for a figure below 40,000. Earlier in the month inflation numbers pushed past the Reserve Bank of Australia target rate, therefore pressure is mounting on the Reserve Bank of Australia to provide further information on monetary policy going forward.

Personally I expect the Governor to continue to deflect speculation that an interest rate is on the horizon as further Australian dollar strength could lead to a downturn in the economy and the amount of jobs being created according to the Governor himself.

My opinion is that if economic data continues to impress for the remainder the likelihood is that the RBA will tighten monetary policy early next year. This week HSBC have made similar predictions that an interest rate will occur in quarter one of next year.

If you are buying or selling Australian dollars in the future, I would strongly recommend getting in contact to discuss your situation. The company I work offers a proactive service to offering economic information whilst having the ability to offer award winning exchange rates. Feel free to email me with your requirements along with the timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.

Bank of England to dictate GBPAUD exchange rates tomorrow

Earlier in the week UK inflation numbers gave support for the pound and GPBAUD exchange rates has increased 4 cents in the last couple of weeks. To put this into monetary terms a 200,000 Australian dollar purchase is now £3,000 cheaper.

Tomorrow the Bank of England will release their latest interest rate decision and I expect this decision to dictate exchange rates for the remainder of the week. Even though inflation numbers now sit at 2.9% I don’t expect the Bank of England to hint towards a future interest rate hike and if anything I expect the Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney to talk down the pound.

In recent months Mark Carney has insisted that monetary policy will be dictated by developments coming from Brexit. At present UK and EU negotiators cant find common ground in regards to how much the UK will pay to leave the EU and EU citizens rights therefore this is my reasoning why I dont expect this event to help the pounds value.

Short term Australian dollar buyers may wish to purchase there currency at some point tomorrow morning. 

The currency company I work for has won numerous awards for exchange rates therefore it enables me to trade Australian dollars at rates better than other brokerages and high street banks. I would recommend sending an email with a brief description of your requirements and your timescales (this is very important, the length of time you have will change your options) and I will email you with my strategy and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 0044 1494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

Demand for the Australian dollar

In recent years the Australian dollar has seemed to follow trend with the US dollar. In times of uncertainty currency traders would flock to the US dollar due to its safe haven status and leave commodity currencies such as the Australian dollar. With tensions rising on the Korean Peninsula you would expect the Australian dollar to be losing ground against the major currencies as traders lose appetite however this is far from truth.

A recent report last week from ANZ showed speculative trading hitting the highest levels since 2013, just showing that flocking to the US dollar isn’t the game plan for many traders like years gone by. With the US dollar continue to devalue I expect the Euro and Australian dollar to continue to rise therefore clients holding onto Australian dollars could continue to benefit in the weeks to come.

Earlier in the week Australian dollar interest rates were held at 1.5%, which is another reason for speculators choosing the Australian dollar. If you look globally 1.5% is one of the highest interest rates on offer. The likes of the UK sit at 0.25% and the Eurozone at 0%.

Data releases to look out for moving forward are GDP numbers Wednesday morning, Retail sales Thursday morning and RBA Governor Philip Lowe’s speech Friday morning. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Mr Lowe try and talk down the Aussie as exchange rates continue to run at worrying high levels, levels that the Governor has already eluded to as dangerous for the Australian economy.

If you are buying or selling Australian dollars in the future, I would strongly recommend getting in contact to discuss your situation. The company I work offers a proactive service to offering economic information whilst having the ability to offer award winning exchange rates. Feel free to email me with your requirements along with the timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.

Will GBPAUD rise or fall in September?

I have been suspecting that GBPAUD will be falling fairly soon back under 1.60 as the problems ahead for the UK come further to the surface and investors continue to back the Australian dollar. Markets are bracing themselves for further uncertainty over Brexit and with the UK’s economic data going from worse to worse as the uncertainty continues we will undoubtedly see the pound continue to struggle in the future.

With the pound likely to remain at the mercy of Brexit developments and no concrete news expected until 2018, clients holding sterling awaiting any quick turnaround could be waiting some time. A further deterioration in the outlook could really be on the cards, the one thing markets do not like is uncertainty.

Another factor in the GBPAUD equation that is not helping AUD buyers is the Australian dollar is getting stronger. This is because the economic conditions in Australia are very positive and we have also had the currency finding favour from uncertainty elsewhere. Essentially the Australian dollar is used by investors because it offers a very high interest rate. So investors will buy the Australian dollar to get a higher return on their funds.

Australia offers 1.5% interest from the central bank whereas many other countries are offering much less, some are offering zero interest! Therefore in the absence of any possible rises in interest rates elsewhere the Australian dollar is being used by investors to park their cash to benefit from the rates, therefore it strengthens.

So there is a strong likelihood that the continuations of the current trends will weigh further on the GBPAUD exchange rate, I would not be surprised to see the levels slip below 1.60. If you are considering making a transfer buying the Australian dollar in the future I would suggest making some plans sooner than later is the best way forward.

To discuss the latest trends and themes and get the latest news on the rates please feel free to highlight any possible transfers to us. Please email me Jonathan Watson on jmw@currencies.co.uk to discuss and learn more!

A warning from the RBA

The Australian dollar has been the fourth best performing currency out of the top 10 most traded currencies and is 10.2% stonger on average against all of the major currencies since that start of the year. However Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia announced last week that he believes the Australian dollar is overvalued and it’s only a matter of time until this starts to have a negative impact on the Australian economy. The Governor beleieves  GDP growth, inflation could start to fall and jobs might be at risk.

Friday morning the Reserve Bank of Australia released their latest monetary policy statement and the central bank reacted to the overvalued Australian dollar by cutting growth forecasts up until the end of the year by 0.5%. However the Reserve Bank of Australia announced that they are optimistic that economic growth would recover over the next 12 months as long as the currency did not continue to strengthen further.

For clients that are selling Australian dollars to buy pounds, I don’t believe the RBA are in the position to cut interest rates in a bid to devalue the Australian dollar however I expect at any opportunity the Governor of the RBA will talk down the currency in a bid to devalue it, a common practice known as jawboning. As exchange rates have improved 10 cents since the start of June and with such an uncertain time ahead this spike in the market may be worth taking advantage of.

If you are trading GBPAUD this week, month or year I would recommend emailing me with the the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and your timescales and I will response with the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

GBPAUD breaks through 1.70 (Dayle Littlejohn)

In recent weeks the pound has been losing ground against the Australian dollar and exchange rates have fallen from 1.75 to 1.67. However today Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney has given Australian dollar buyers something to smile about, as UK interest rates could be hiked in the upcoming months, which would provide strength for sterling as investors look for higher returns on their investments.

The Governor announced today that the MPC will be debating interest rates in the upcoming months and a rate rise all depends on business investment, wage growth, Brexit negotiations and costs for labour.

Off the back of the positive news for the pound GBPAUD has now breached 1.70. To put this into monetary terms the 3 cent improvement this week will save clients £10,000 when purchasing 1,000,000 Australian dollars.

Looking further ahead I expect the pound to continue the upward trend for the remainder of the week and into next week as UK Prime Minister Theresa May should be able to put the election behind her when MPs vote on the queens speech later this week.

The leader of the opposition Jeremy Corbyn has stated he will try to make amendments to the Queens speech but in reality I can’t see any conservative MP voting against their own party, therefore this story should be over by this time next week.

If you are buying or selling Australian dollar in the upcoming weeks, months or years feel free to email me with the reason for your conversion (company invoice, buying a property) and the timescales you are working to and I will email you with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

GBPAUD exchange rates fall to a 8 week low! (Dayle Littlejohn)

Pound vs Australian dollar exchange rates have reached an 8 week low this week due to sterling devaluing and the Australian dollar strengthening. To put this into monetary terms over the last 2 weeks exchange rates have dropped 5 1/2 cents which means a 200,000 Australian dollar purchase is now £3,850 more expensive.

Starting with the Australian dollar GDP numbers have remained resilient this month, and positive business sales growth coupled with increased consumer spending has strengthened the Australian dollar. In addition the Philip Lowe (Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia) also commented earlier in the week that the global economy is in better shape than previous years which is helping the commodity currencies. This was a surprise statement as iron ore prices continue to remain under pressure due to a slow down in China.

As for the pound the Governor of the Bank of England gave a dovish statement yesterday and confirmed the UK are not in the position to raise interest rates anytime soon even though three members of the Bank of England voted to hike rates only 6 days ago. Furthermore Brexit negotiations have begun and are putting pressure on sterling as the market is nervous about a deal being struck in regards to the divorce settlement.

In my opinion it is impossible to predict how Brexit negotiations will impact the pound. Positive news will strengthen the pound negative will do the opposite. I am optimistic that deal will be struck eventually however other traders on the floor are not. If you are purchasing pounds with Australian dollars or vice versa I would recommend getting in touch and I will keep you up to date with regular information until you are ready to convert drl@currencies.co.uk.

If you are buying or selling Australian dollars in the upcoming months and want to achieve rates of exchange that are better than your bank, whilst receiving regular economic information feel free to email me with the currency pair (AUDGBP, AUDEUR, AUDUSD) the reason for the transfer (company invoice, property purchase) the timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the process of converting currency. My direct email address is drl@currencies.co.uk and I look forward to receiving your email.