Tag Archives: exchange

Bad news for the Pound pushes it lower, are trade levels in the early 1.60’s on the horizon again? (Joseph Wright)

Despite some negative data being released down under in the early hours this morning, the Pound has still dropped against AUD throughout the day’s trading.

The worst Retail Sales figures in 4 and a half years were published this morning, as it turns out that Australian consumers are beginning to cut back on items such as food, clothing and furniture.

The reading for July was also revised down from the previous reading, meaning that the two drops in sales figures are the biggest back to back drop since 2010.

Despite this this disappointing data release the Pound has still fallen against the Aussie Dollar, whereas the majority of other major currency pairs have risen against the Aussie.

Sentiment surrounding the Pound took a knock today as ratings agency, Standard & Poors questioned whether the UK could withstand an interest rate rise, and it emerged that car sales in the UK are continuing to drop.

There has also been a lot of talk regarding UK Prime Minister, Theresa May’s calamitous speech to the Conservative party conference on Wednesday.

Odd’s are increasing on her resignation and although I don’t expect any changes at number 10, I think any talk surrounding this matter could result in a weaker Pound which could push the GBP/AUD pair down towards the 1.60 mark.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Will the Australian Dollar drop in value in the coming months? (Daniel Wright)

Many clients have been asking me recently where the Australian Dollar may head next, with no interest rate move on the cards in the near term and numerous global problems at present I feel that the Australian Dollar may get a little weaker in the coming months.

A recent article in the Sydney morning herald suggests that many feel the same. Much of the article is based around the U.S Dollar and Australian Dollar flows. The Federal Reserve in the States have hinted at a further three interest rate hikes in 2018 and many analysts still believe we will see very little movement on interest rates throughout 2018.

An interest rate hike is seen as positive for a currency and a cut is seen as negative, as a hike will make that currency more attractive to investors. On top of this, you tend to find that you can see a flow between USD/AUD when there are times of global issues. The Australian Dollar is perceived as a ‘riskier’ currency and the U.S Dollar still held in regard as safer haven currency.

As many regular readers will know, there are a huge amount of problems around the world at present, both in terms of economies around the world and politically too, I don’t see many of these going away anytime soon, so we may see the Australian  Dollar take a few knocks as and when there are further issues that crop up.

My personal opinion is that although the Australian economic data has been ok, the economy still isn’t flying and there is still an issue with house price inflation in many areas and that is a problem that is hard to resolve as the RBA are still not in the position to raise interest rates at present.

Overnight last night we saw extremely poor Retail Sales data for Australia, leading to Australian Dollar weakness overnight.

If you are in the position that you need to exchange Australian Dollars in the near future then I can not only help you with getting the best rate on your exchange but also with the timing of your transfer.

Should you require assistance then I am always happy to provide you a quote against your current choice for exchanging money, along with having a discussion with you to tailor a game plan for how to approach the upcoming exchange.

If you would like me to get in touch with you then feel free to email me directly on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be more than happy to get in touch with you personally.

Is the Aussie Dollars bullish run coming to an end? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound is continuing its recovery against the Aussie Dollar, with the rate rising above the 1.70 mark once again and this time almost hitting 1.72 at its highest point during today’s trading session.

I believe this change in direction for the pair can be put down to both Sterling strength as the pound is also putting in some strong performance against other major currency pairs. This is likely due to Brexit headlines and uncertainties not being in the spotlight which has been a welcome change for those hoping to exchange their Pounds at more competitive levels.

The upward movement for GBP/AUD has also been aided by the weakening Aussie Dollar which had previously been one of the strongest performers of the year.

The drop in the Aussie dollars value can be put down to a slowdown in Chinese growth, falling commodity prices such a iron ore which is key for AUD, and also talk of the Reserve Bank of Australia not planning on hiking interest rates until 2019 which is in start contrast to the Bank of England who have alluded to hike as soon as next month.

Tomorrow morning there will be a key data release out of the UK as UK GDP will be released around 9.30am. If this figure deviates from the expectation we could see further movement, so feel free to get in touch with me if you wish to be kept updated regarding this release.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Australian Dollar exchange rates have a volatile 24 hours – Lowe sees a bright outlook (Daniel Wright)

The Australian Dollar has had a fairly turbulent time over the past 24 hours, with fairly large swings against most major currencies.

Leading up to the Federal Reserve interest rate decision over night the Australian Dollar initially gained ground. Janet Yellen, Chair of the Fed then announced that the U.S will aim to start cutting back its QE (Quantitative Easing)  program and that they still plan on an interest rate rise in the coming months.

This led to a little USD strength and weakness for the antipodean currencies (AUD,NZD and ZAR) as we saw investors shift funds out of riskier currencies and into the Dollar following this slightly more positive news.

Earlier today we then saw Governor of the RBA Philip Lowe comment to the American Chamber of Commerce in a speech he called ‘the next chapter’. Lowe was fairly positive about the economy going forward and this gave the Australian Dollar a minor boost back once again in a volaitle period for those that have Australian Dollars to buy or sell in the coming days, weeks or months ahead.

For anyone with an interest in GBP to AUD or AUD into GBP you should be aware of Prime Minister Theresa May speaking about Brexit tomorrow which may lead to a particularly volatile day for the Pound.

If you have a pending currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then it would be prudent to get in touch with me directly no matter who you were planning to use. I have had thousands of people contact me through this blog over the years that had planned to use their bank or their current broker and the vast majority have ended up using our company instead due to better exchange rates and a smooth and efficient customer service.

If you would like to get a free, no obligation quote to compare against what you are currently being offered then you can email me (Daniel Wright) on djw@currencies.co.uk with a brief description of your needs and I will be more than happy to contact you personally.

A fairly quiet end to the week for Australian economic data – Bank of England interest rate decision is key today on the markets (Daniel Wright)

The Australian Dollar has remained fairly strong over the past few weeks, mainly down to the Australian economy still posting fairly strong GDP, a strong labour market and solid business investment in recent data.

The one thing that has held the Australian Dollar back has been the weakening of commodity prices and the issues with North Korea causing the perceived ‘riskier’ currencies to lose a little strength.

Chief economist at NAB (National Australia Bank) recently commented that he feels the RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) may look to raise interest rates in mid 2018 should this trend of positive news continue.

Today will be key for anyone with an interest in buying Australian Dollars with Sterling or selling Sterling to buy Australian Dollars. At Midday in the U.K we have the Bank of England interest rate decision and monetary policy statement. Recent news this week has shown that inflation in the U.K is rising at a fairly rapid pace and currently is sat at 2.9% whilst average earnings figures are only creeping up at 2.1%.

It is doubtful that we will see any changes to interest rates from the Bank of England but what will be key is any indication that the rates may move sooner than the expectation of 2019 then GBP/AUD exchange rates may well be in for a volatile afternoon, or night if you are based in Australia.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then it would be prudent to get in touch with us directly here as we are experts in this field and can both save you money and ensure your funds arrive where they need to be in a smooth and efficient transaction.

Should you wish to contact me (Daniel Wright) personally then you can get in touch with me by email on djw@currencies.co.uk or by contact our trading floor during U.K trading hours on +44 (01494 725353) quoting Australian Dollar Forecast and asking for me personally.

Will Brexit uncertainty continue to push GBP/AUD lower, and will we see trade levels below 1.60 again this year? (Joseph Wright)

Economists appear to be concerned by the almost daily dropping of the Pound, as uncertainty surrounding the terms of the Brexit deal are putting alot of pressure on the Pounds value.

Many are predicting that the pound will be trading lower into 2018 than current levels, and although this blog is focused predominantly on the GBP/AUD exchange rate I think it’s useful for our readers to know that many major institutions are predicting that the Pound will fall below parity against the Euro for the first time in 2018.

Interestingly earlier this week the National Australian Bank predicted that the Australian Dollar will actually lose value against the Pound between now and the end of the year, although only marginally.

This prediction appears to buck the trend of general negative outlooks surrounding the pound as concerns over the UK economy as we enter Brexit are generally outweighing other factors.

This weekend there could be movement for the Pound to Aussie Dollar exchange rate as a number of key financial figures such as US Fed Chairlady Janet Yellen and European Central Bank president Mario Draghi will be speaking Jackson Hole central banking conference. This will be happening out of hours so expect any major announcements to impact the rates perhaps late tonight or when markets open next week.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Reserve Bank of Australia appear unhappy with ‘overvalued’ Australian Dollar, will they take action? (Joseph Wright)

The Aussie Dollar has not only gained a substantial amount of value against the Pound in recent months, but also against most other major currency pairs.

With the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) already suggesting that there will be no further interest rate changes this year, they now have the issue of an overvalued currency which is a negative for an economy like Australia’s due to it being so heavily export driven.

The reason the RBA is unlikely to amend the interest rate is due to fears of a heavy impact on the already overheating housing market, as making mortgages easier to come by would most likely cause even further issues for house prices down under and especially on the East coast.

The Australian Dollar is now this year’s best-performing major currency so those looking to exchange AUD into another currency should bear this in mind.

Moving forward I think there’s a chance that we could see members of the RBA attempt to jawbone the currency as they will be looking to keep Aussie exports competitive.

The Pound is coming under pressure as Brexit negotiations take place this week in Brussels, and I think there is always the chance of a update on these which could move the markets.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Australian Dollar gains strength after solid trade data overnight (Daniel Wright)

The Australian Dollar gained ground against most major currencies during the Asian session due to seeing Australia’s trade balance rise more than expected during May.

Exports were up, which for a export driven country is seen as a real positive for the Australian economy and indeed the Australian Dollar. We only really saw small gains for the Australian Dollar off the back of this, but it was welcomed by those with Australian Dollars to sell in the near future, after seeing AUD exchange rates drop off earlier in the week following the RBA interest rate decision and monetary policy statement.

The RBA had set a more dovish tone than had been expected, both on the economy going forward and on future fiscal policy changes, this led to Australian Dollar weakness immediately after the release and a little further weakness during trading yesterday.

Rest of the week for AUD exchange rates?

Tomorrow we have a little economic data out from China and also Non-Farm Payroll data out from the U.S.

Chinese data can impact the Australian Dollar quite heavily due to the volume exported over there and the Non-Farm data can affect all major currencies as it will alter global attitude to risk. Currently, the Australian Dollar is perceived as a riskier currency so any slight alterations in risk sentiment worldwide can impact Australian Dollar exchange rates.

With so much going on in the market at present, it is extremely important that if you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then it is imperative that you have an experienced and proactive currency broker on your side. Here at Australian Dollar Forecast we can not only help you with up to the minute market data but we can also work with you to help you time your transfer and to get the best rate when you do carry it out.

Feel free to contact me (Daniel Wright) the creator of this website should you wish to receive more information on our services and I will be more than happy to get back to you as soon as I can. You can email me on djw@currencies.co.uk and I look forward to speaking with you.

Next week to be a busy one for Australian Dollar exchange rates (Daniel Wright)

Next week we have a flurry of economic data which will have an impact on Australian Dollar exchange rates after a fairly quiet end to the trading month.

On Tuesday we have the RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) interest rate decision, shortly followed by the interest rate statement. At the last interest rate decision we saw no changes to rates and on top of this we also had comments that the RBA would more than likely not be looking to cut interest rates in the near future. The reason for this is to avoid adding to the current asset bubble they are witnessing and I would be surprised if that stance has changed.

It will be interesting  to see if the general view going forward has altered at all and should there be any hint towards the RBA leaning towards a cut in interest rates then we may see the Australian Dollar weaken a little.

Later on in the week we have the release of Australian import and export data early on Thursday morning, and this will also have an impact on the value of the Australian Dollar due to exports being so key for the Australian economy.

We had a report released earlier this week suggesting that there actually is a rather high debt burden in Australia at present, with household debt rising extremely rapidly which may be a concern for Australia later down the line.

My personal opinion is that I can see a small period of Australian Dollar weakness coming up as there does appear to be a few different matters out there that may lead to the Australian Dollar getting a little weaker.

If you are in the position where you may need to buy or sell Australian Dollars in the coming days, weeks or months then it is extremely important that you have an experienced currency broker on your side. You are more than welcome to get in touch with me (Daniel Wright) personally and I will be able to help you, both in terms of securing the very best exchange rate and timing your transaction. This can make the difference of thousands of Dollars.

Feel free to email me (Daniel Wright) on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be more than happy to speak with you personally to explain exactly how I can be of assistance.

Pound to Aussie Dollar exchange rate falls again, will the downward trend for the Pound continue? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Aussie Dollar buying rate dropped again throughout today’s trading session, with the exchange rate dropping by 0.65% throughout the day up until the time of writing.

Not only are the financial markets and investors concerned about the political situation in the UK, with the outcome of the election being one of the worse case scenarios for the UK as it resulted in a Hung Parliament, but the rising rate of Inflation and lower wage growth becoming an issue that could rise to the surface very quickly.

If the rate of inflation continues to climb but the rate of wage growth continues to decline (as figures released today showed it happening for the 3rd month in a row), I think the Pound could find itself trading at a much lower rate than we’re currently witnessing.

My reasoning behind this is because the UK consumer has been propping up the UK economy since the Brexit, which has allowed the ship to steady to an extent after all the warnings from market analysts should the UK pubic have voted to leave the EU.

Should the current trend of higher costs of living in the UK continue I think the Pound may fall as I previously mentioned, and if you would like to be kept updated regarding this matter as well as any others that can potential impact GBP to AUD exchange rates, do feel free to get in touch with me.

There’s a plethora of data due out tomorrow for the UK specifically, so feel free to contact me overnight to discuss these events and how they could impact any short term currency exchange plans you may have.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.