Tag Archives: exchange

Australian Dollar waits for Tuesday’s RBA minutes and Chinese GDP

Australian Dollar exchange rates have suffered a little weakness against most major currencies today, as investors and speculators await the Reserve Bank of Australia meeting minutes from their last interest rate decision and Chinese Growth figures all out tomorrow.

The main focal point for the RBA minutes will be any nod to plans for the next interest rate change, at present interest rates in Australia have been kept on hold for a record number of meetings, it does appear that this will still be the case for the foreseeable future too.

Interest rates are key to the value of a currency because a higher interest rate will generally make it more attractive to investors, so the fact that the RBA have not moved to raise interest rates for a long period of time, yet other central banks such as the Federal Reserve have made that move is leading to weakness for the Australian Dollar which I still feel may continue in the coming months.

On the other hand we also have Chinese growth figures due out too, with expectations of a slight drop off in growth expected in China. Chinese data can have a large impact on the value of the Australian Dollar too due the the sheer volume China imports from Australia, helping the Australian economy.

Should Chinese growth figures have slowed a little and the RBA also give no further positive rate news then we may see Australian weakness overnight.

If you have a large currency exchange to make involving Australian Dollars then it is well worth you contacting me directly. You can get in touch with me by emailing me (Daniel Wright) directly on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be more than happy to contact you personally to see how I can help you. We offer highly competitive exchange rates along with help on timing your transaction and would like to think our customer service is way above and beyond elsewhere. I look forward to speaking with you.

 

 

 

Sterling to Australian Dollar rate remains above 1.80, is a move towards 1.90 now a possibility?

The Pound to Australian Dollar exchange rate has managed to hold onto the gains it made recently, which could be a key indicator for future movement between the pair.

The key level of 1.80, which had acted as a resistance for almost two-years was broken easily by the Pound as news broke that the UK and EU negotiators have come to an agreement regarding the transitional Brexit agreement.

This news boosted sentiment surrounding the Pound as it saw a boost across the board of major currency pairs, but the gains against AUD have been exaggerated as AUD has been coming under some pressure of its own.

AUD has lost its status as one of the highest yielding major currencies after the US Fed Reserve bank has begun hiking rates in the US, with plans of further hikes this year on the cards. This in-turn has made the Aussie Dollar less attractive, which has helped the Pound hit these high levels.

Despite some poor data out over the last week in the UK’s construction, manufacturing and services sectors the Pound has manged to hold on to its gains which I believe is a positive sign for the Pound moving forward.

There is quite a quiet week of data scheduled for this week out of the UK, but I do think tomorrow could be the busiest day as UK GDP and Industrial and Manufacturing production figures are set for release all before lunchtime.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Australian Dollar exchange rates look ahead to RBA interest rate for next stages of movement

Australian Dollar exchange rates have weakened against a basket of major currencies this week so far and depending on just what we hear back from the RBA during their interest rate decision and monetary policy statement next week. Expectations are for no change to interest rates either at this particular decision or for the coming months but what will be key for the Australian Dollar will be the comments in the monetary policy statement afterwards, and the tone taken by the RBA.

Recent comments from the RBA have suggested that they are not happy with Australian economic data at present and that this will hold them back from looking to raise rates in the near future. This is slowly dropping Australia behind, investors are pulling their money out of the Australian Dollar to seek higher returns elsewhere, for example moving money into U.S Dollars where the interest rate is now higher and the currency is perceived as a safer option.

One of the key issues for the RBA at present is the fact that average earnings/wage growth is not picking up at the pace they would like it to. This causes an issue as if the general consumer’s earnings are not moving up in line with inflation, then essentially people are going to have less money in their pocket to spend which leads to the economy weakening slightly.

This issue has been quite common around the globe, however many other regions are now starting to find that their average earnings figures are rising which is giving them more room to raise interest rates which is why the Australian Dollar is starting to suffer as a result.

My personal view has been that we will have a weak year for the Australian Dollar this year, and I have been saying that for a number of months now. It does appear at present that these predictions are starting to come true.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months ahead and you would like my assistance both with the timing of your transfer and getting the best rate when you come to book it out, then do feel free to get in touch with me (Daniel Wright) directly on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be happy to speak with you personally about your own situation and how to approach it. We specialise in currency for international property purchases/sales or clients who are emigrating or moving home. I look forward to speaking with you.

Australian Dollar still losing ground against most currencies – Interest rates are key globally

The Australian Dollar is not having a great run of things lately, as numerous economies appear to picking up and the U.S have once again raised interest rates, bring them ahead of the current rate in Australia.

The reason this current movement is important is that U.S interest rates are now higher than interest rates in Australia, so what essentially happens is investors will move their funds out of the Australian Dollar and into the U.S Dollar, as it offers a more attractive return on their money and is seen as a more stable currency.

The outlook for Australian interest rates still does not suggest any hike in the near term, however the Federal Reserve in the States did dampen expectations a little for the year ahead in last nights monetary policy statement.

I still feel there is further room for Australian Dollar weakness in the coming weeks, most notably we have seen a big movement for Sterling against the Australian Dollar over the past week or so, breaking through the key level of 1.80 and not stopping there.

Sterling is on a good run at present, and now that average earnings figures have fallen in line with inflation there is room for interest rates in the U.K to start coming up again too, the Bank of England interest rate decision later this morning will be key and so will the minutes from the meeting, as they may give an indication on future plans.

If you are in the position that you may need to carry out a currency exchange in the coming days, weeks or months ahead then it is well worth getting in contact with me directly, you can email me (Daniel Wright) on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be more than happy to contact you directly with live quotes and to help you develop a strategy as to how to move forward with your transaction.

 

A quiet week for Australian data but that does not mean the Australian Dollar will remain flat

We have not seen any major movements from the Australian Dollar against other major currencies this week, but that does no mean that the rest of the week the volatility will stay away.

Most Australian Dollar movements for the rest of the week will come from other announcements around the globe, including numerous economic data releases and speeches from the U.S.

New Federal reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is currently speaking and is also due to speak again tomorrow, due to the fact that these are his first speeches since taking control, any hint on his personal plans for fiscal policy will be of great interest to investors and speculators alike.

At present it seems that the markets are expecting three interest rate hikes from the U.S in the year ahead and should the new man in charge confirm that he plans to progress along the same lines then this may lead to the Australian Dollar losing value in the coming weeks and months.

As mentioned a number of times before on this site any further hikes in interest rates from the U.S will make their interest rate higher than that of Australia, therefore you would expect investors to shift money from the Australian Dollar into the U.S Dollar, not only to ensure that they get a better return but also due to the USD being seen as a safer haven and less volatile.

Commodity prices will still also be of great importance to those following the Australian Dollar in the year ahead and with projections of a slight drop off in commodity prices as the year progresses this could also weigh on the Australian Dollar too.

For anyone specifically with an interest in AUD/GBP no matter which way you need to move money, Friday morning will also be key for you as Prime Minister Theresa May is due to be speaking to the British public with an update on  Brexit, so this could lead to volatility for Sterling hence moving the AUD/GBP rate.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out involving the Australian Dollar then feel free to get in touch with me directly, I can help you not only achieve the very best rate of exchange but our levels of customer service and speed of transfers are second to none.

Feel free to get in touch with me (Daniel Wright) the creator of this site by emailing djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be more than happy to help you personally.

Australian Dollar has a tough few days – What else lies ahead this week?

The Australian Dollar has not had a great week this week so far following on from the RBA meeting minutes released yesterday morning.

It still appears that the RBA are quite a way from considering raising interest rate this year, due to various concerns about how this will impact consumers over there and the general economic position for the country as it stands.

One of the key issues as it stands for Australia is wage growth, which is similar to many other economies around the world. Wage growth essentially measures how much people’s wages are going up and as it stands for many central Banks around the world the issue is that there is a gap between wage growth and inflation (the rise in the cost of goods or services).

Interest rates have been left on hold since August 2016 which is the longest level of stability since the early 1990’s and it does not look like there may be a change for a good few months yet.

Wage price index figures are due out tomorrow, which is a measure of the cost of labour and even though it does appear the labour market is looking fairly strong, we are yet to see wage growth pick up, this is slowing down consumer spending as consumers are starting to build up more and more debt.

Recent RBA data also shows that the mortgage debt-to-income ratio for Australia has risen from 120 percent in 2012 to 140 percent recently, which is not great news.

All in all I am still of the opinion that the Australian may struggle in the coming weeks and months as issues like this continue to dent economic data, so if I had Australian Dollars to sell i would be tempted to sell them reasonably soon depending on which currency I needed to purchase, if I had Australian Dollars to buy with another major currency then I would watch this market closely for a spike.

If you are in the position that you need to make a currency exchange in the near future then it would make sense to get in touch with me as I can help you both in terms of achivieving the very best rates along with assistance in the timing of your transaction.

Feel free to contact me (Daniel Wright) the creator of this site on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be more than happy to get in touch with you personally.

Australian Dollar liable to global stock market sell off and RBA warning leads to Australian Dollar weakness

The Australian Dollar has had a fairly choppy week so far this week, generally losing ground against most major currencies due to comments from the Reserve Bank of Australia that indicated that any interest rate hikes may be quite far away, and also due to global uncertainty in the stock market, seeing the Dow Jones and other indexes around the world drop considerably over the week.

The issue with the Australian Dollar is that it is perceived as a riskier currency, therefore when you tend to see a volatile global market, and uncertainty politically or with economic data  around the world you tend to see the Australian Dollar weaken, as investors will shy away from riskier currencies and head to safer havens, such as the U.S Dollar and the Swiss Franc.

As I indicated earlier in the week I do feel that the Australian Dollar may have a tough period coming up, with interest rates due to be raised by various central banks around the world this may lead to a further flow out of the Australian Dollar and into more attractive currencies with better returns on investment.

The RBA also released a monetary policy statement last night, and although economic data is still fairly good there are concerns around slowing wage growth and inflation rising too.

Poor wage growth and high inflation is a big issue for an economy, as it means the cost of goods and services is going up yet the amount the general consumer has to spend is not rising in line with it, another potential issue for the Australian Dollar going forward.

Not only do we offer up to date market information for our readers but we can actually help you with any currency exchanges too, with top foreign exchange rates and a smooth and efficient service. With over ten years of experience in foreign exchange I would like to think I could be an excellent addition to your armoury when taking on these volatile markets. Feel free to contact me (Daniel Wright) directly on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be more than happy to help you personally or to get you a live quote.

Employment data will be the main focus for Australian Dollar exchange rates this week (Daniel Wright)

In a reasonably quiet week ahead for Australian Dollar news, the main focus for investors and speculators alike this week will be global attitude to risk and Australian unemployment figures. Global attitude to risk can change at any time, especially with the Trump/North Korean situation still ongoing and the unemployment figures are due out on Friday morning in Australia or overnight on Thursday night for those readers from the U.K.

Expectations are for unemployment levels to remain at 5.4% however with a positive improvement in the rise of jobs last month (which was unexpected) do not rule out movement for Australian Dollar exchange rates early on Friday.

Having just spent three weeks in Australia it does appear that views on the Australian economy are mixed at present. Some people I spoke to were really confident about how things were going and others were less positive, citing that they felt that certain areas were at the top of a housing bubble that was due to burst at any time.

My opinion from being on the ground over there, particularly in Sydney (where this bubble appears to have blown up the most) I do not see it crashing down anytime soon. There is a huge amount of building work going on and a great increase in new retail developments from what I can see, along with an influx of Chinese money I find it hard to see the house prices dropping off unless further restrictions are put in place to try and halt it artificially.

For me this suggests that the Australian Dollar should remain fairly strong in the early part of 2018, I do not expect large gains made by the Australian Dollar but I would be surprised not to see the currency hold its ground against most majors, as long as the banana skin of major global uncertainty comes along to change that.

If you have an Australian Dollar exchange to make in the coming days, weeks or months and you would like assistance not only on the timing of your transfer but also with achieving the very best rate of exchange too then I can help you personally.

Feel free to get in touch with me (Daniel Wright) by emailing me on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be more than happy to get back to you. Having now worked at the same foreign exchange brokerage for over a decade I am well placed to assist you and will be more than happy to help.

Aussie Dollar bull run pauses as data disappoints, but will AUD/GBP continue to climb in the long run? (Joseph Wright)

The strong upward trend for the Aussie Dollar paused today as financial markets were disappointed with data released down under.

The Pound to Aussie Dollar rate climbed back up to 1.73 today after losing value in recent weeks as the Aussie has been strengthening, but the GBP/AUD rate still has a long was to go to recover back to the high 1.70’s it was trading at just a short while ago.

AUD fell in value today though after Australia’s trade balance figures fell short of forecasts and into a deficit, meaning that the Aussie economy isn’t quite as strong as many had expected.

Recently the Aussie Dollar had been strengthening off the back of substantial gains in the value of iron ore, which is a key export of Australia’s.

Moving forward I expect the par to continue to be driven by both the performance of Australia’s economy coupled with Brexit related updates. Sentiment surrounding how smoothly the Brexit will take place and how the UK economy will fair during and after the Brexit have continued to have perhaps more of an impact on the Pound’s value than the performance of the UK economy, especially when we consider that the UK economy outperformed almost every economists predictions yet GBP is still fairly weak.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

Poor wage growth leads to Australian Dollar weakness despite better unemployment figures (Daniel Wright)

This week has been a mixed one for the Australian Dollar so far, with a fairly week start and a flatter past 24 hours.

The reason the Australian Dollar lost strength earlier in the week was due to news of slower wage growth than expected.

Wage growth yesterday came out at 0.5% against analyst’s expectations of 0.7% which is the reason why we saw Australian Dollar weakness.

Wage growth is a really important release in the current climate, if wage growth ( the increase in how much people are earning)  is a lot lower than inflation (the increase in the costs of goods and services) then you can generally expect an economy to drop off a little, as people will have less money in their pocket to spend. Bad economic data can then in turn lead to weakness for a currency, and with markets moving well in advance of an event actually happening this is why we are seeing a good opportunity to buy Australian Dollars at present.

Unemployment figures came out today and despite the fact that they actually showed an improvement, the Australian Dollar failed to make any vast improvements against most major currencies.

The rest of the week is fairly quiet but do not be fooled into thinking that the Australian Dollar will remain flat, being perceived as one of the ‘riskier’ currencies there is always the chance of movement should global attitude to risk alter.

Should you be in the position that you need to buy or sell a large amount of Australian Dollars and you would like my help along with a better exchange rate than your bank or current broker then I would love to hear from you. You can email me (Daniel Wright) personally on djw@currencies.co.uk with a brief description of what you would like to do and I will be more than happy to get in touch with you to explain how I can assist.