Tag Archives: gbpaud exchange rates

FED and EU Summit to drive GBPAUD exchagne rates

This week, events that are not directly involved with Australia and the United Kingdom will dictate GBPAUD exchange rates. 

The Federal Reserve which is the United States central bank, will release there latest interest rate decision Wednesday evening. Speculators are predicting that the FED will raise interest rates from 1.25% to 1.5% which will match the Australian interest rate. Regular readers will be aware that there is a direct correlation between the commodity currencies and the US dollar. As the US dollar is a safe haven and the commodity in some ways is a risk, I expect to see the Australian dollar sold off and the US dollar to be purchased.

The EU summit on the 14th and 15th December, should outline more detail about the Brexit negotiations. UK Prime Minister Theresa May has announced in recent weeks that Brexit negotiations are going well and therefore the UK and EU have agreed to start stage 2 negotiations. If the EU reiterate Theresa May I expect this could provide a further boost for sterling.

Therefore it looks like the Australian dollar could devalue Wednesday evening and the pound could have a finish to the week, therefore my forecast is for GBPAUD to break 1.80 by the close of play on Friday. If you have Australian dollars to sell and need to buy sterling I would recommend getting in touch as soon as possible.

If you are buying or selling Australian dollars in the upcoming weeks, months or years feel free to email me with the reason for your conversion (company invoice, buying a property) and the timescales you are working to and I will email you with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Will the Pound hit 1.80 against the Australian Dollar? (Tom Holian)

The Pound has maintained its strength against the Australian Dollar during the course of the week even though the the political situation in the UK remains uncertain concerning the Brexit talks.

The DUP are rejecting a ‘regulatory alignment’ between Northern Ireland and Ireland which is also being resisted against by a number of other members in government. The DUP are unlikely to allow a border in the middle of the sea as this could cause huge problems politically for Ireland.

Although the Brexit is clearly causing a lot of uncertainty at the moment there appear to be real problems for the economy down under in Australia.

Australian GDP figures released showed a big drop from 0.9% in quarter two to 0.6% in the previous quarter. This is likely to keep interest rates on hold as the RBA clearly will not want to cause a downturn for the economy.

Indeed, consumer spending has also seen a big slowdown in Australia which has slowed at is lowest pace since 2008 which is another reason for GBPAUD exchange rates moving in an upwards direction.

I think the Brexit is the biggest issue to concern anyone with a requirement to either buy or sell Australian Dollars but with things slowing down under this is the reason why I think there is a possibility we’ll see GBPAUD exchange rates move towards 1.80.

If you have a need to make a currency transfer in the coming days, weeks or months then feel free to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency compared to your bank or another currency broker.

Even a small improvement in the exchange rates can make a big difference so feel free to to email me and you may find you could save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will respond to you as soon as I can.

How long will this period of Australian dollar strength against sterling?

My recent article this weekend suggested that there was a possibility that GBPAUD could reach 1.80 in the upcoming weeks and until late yesterday afternoon this prediction looked very likely. However the DUP at the close of business yesterday evening announced they are unhappy that UK Prime Minister could offer a different border control for Northern Ireland compared to the rest of the UK. Off the back of the news the pound lost ground against all of the G10 currencies and the Australian dollar.

Later that evening, the Reserve Bank of Australia held interest rates at 1.5%, which was no surprise, however surprisingly the Reserve Bank of Australia’s commentary was extremely positive which strengthened the Australian dollar further against the pound. With the amount of strength we have seen for the Aussie rumors the Reserve Bank of Australia may appear to be backtracking and actually could raise interest rates early next year. If this is the case, it’s quite clear that the RBA have been jawboning in an attempt

However, I’m still of the opinion that the UK will secure some kind of deal in the upcoming weeks with the EU which will mean trade negotiations will begin in the New Year. If this is the case this period of strength for the Australian dollar against sterling could be short lived therefore I would recommend any client converting Australian dollars into sterling should look to make arrangements sooner rather than later.

If you are converting pounds into Australian dollars as you are emigrating or if you are leaving Australia to move to the UK and need to buy pounds in the upcoming weeks, months or years feel free to email me with the the timescales you are working to and I will email you with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Could GBPAUD break through 1.80 this week? (Dayle Littlejohn)

This week GBPAUD hit a 1 year high. Over the last three months the pound has been making considerable inroads against the Australian dollar. Exchange rates have increased from 1.62 to 1.77 and therefore a £200,000 currency transfer today compared to three months ago will generate our clients an additional AU$30,000.

The pound made further inroads against the Aussie last week when UK Prime Minister Theresa May announced that the UK are willing to pay €50bn to the EU as a divorce settlement and the EU appeared to be happy with the offer.

The UK Prime Minister Theresa May is set to meet President of the European Commision Jean Claude Juncker and President of the European Council Donald Tusk tomorrow to discuss Brexit further. The divorce settlement bill will be discussed further but a hot topic will be the Irish border.

This weekend in particular, The Republic of Ireland have stated a hard border splitting the Republic of Ireland and Northern Island is not an option and Donald Tusk has announced he would back Ireland over the UK as Ireland will remain a member of the EU.

Reports are suggesting that Theresa May’s teem believe it’s impossible to put a deal on the table for Ireland until the UK know the deal they will receive with the EU in regards to trade. Further reports Rumours suggest Mr Tusk actually agrees with Theresa May therefore I expect this topic will be put on hold on to trade discussions have begun. Therefore I expect the pound to continue to rise against that Australian dollar this week and in fact this month.

For people that buy and sell Australian dollars on a regular basis or are looking to make a one off transfer, the currency company I work for can save you money. Feel free to send me the reason for why you are converting currency, the currency pair you are trading (AUDGBP, AUDUSD), and the timescales you are working to and I will send you my forecast and the process of using our brokerage drl@currencies.co.uk.

Will the Pound continue to rise against the Australian Dollar? (Tom Holian)

The Pound has continued its excellent run of late vs the Australian Dollar ending the week trading in the 1.77 territory on the Interbank level.

The next target that many are hoping for is for GBPAUD exchange rates to continue to rise and hit 1.80.

We are certainly heading in that direction and with many of the commodity based currencies we have seen a lot of weakening in recent weeks.

On Tuesday, Australia announces its latest Retail Sales figures as well as Current Account Balance data.

Both have seen a slowdown recently and this is in part another reason for the weakening of the Australian Dollar.

Also out on Tuesday is the latest Reserve Bank of Australia’s interest rate decision. The likelihood is that we’ll see the interest rate kept on hold for again for another month.

The accompanying statement if it suggests that rates will be kept on hold for a long period of time could be the catalyst to send GBAUD rates in an upwards direction and this could possibly tip things again towards 1.80 on the Interbank level.

Part of the recent gains for Sterling is the increasing rumour that a divorce bill is prepared of approximately EUR50bn in order to get the next set of talks heading in the right direction. With the next EU summit due in a fortnight if the talks go well again this could help the Pound make further improvements.

However, one clear sticking point is the Irish border issue and as yet this has not been decided. Clearly both countries do not want a physical divide so if this subject does not get resolved this could cause real problems for Sterling.

If you need to make a currency transfer over the next few days or weeks and would like further information or a free quote when buying or selling currency then feel free to get in touch.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 I am confident of not only being able to offer you bank beating exchange rates but also help you with the timing

To find out more contact me directly Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

Pound hits best rate to buy Australian Dollars in 2017 (Tom Holian)

The Pound has now hit its best rate to buy Australian Dollars all year as it looks as though we could be seeing some positive movement behind the scenes with the ongoing Brexit negotiations.

The Pound has finally broken through the resistance barrier of 1.75 and has touched 1.78 earlier this morning but has started to slip back as we see a little bit of short term profit taking.

The figures that have been suggested are approx €50bn as part of the divorce bill although this figure will probably be more like €100bn as the UK may have to pay for its liabilities that it has committed to previously.

The good news for anyone holding Sterling is that the talks appear to be going in the right direction at the moment and this has really helped to improve the outlook for Sterling exchange rates particularly against the commodity based currencies including the Australian Dollar.

Tomorrow morning brings with it the latest RBA Commodity Index which is an early indicator of export price changes. We have seen this fall in recent months so any further slowdown could see GBPAUD exchange rates go in an upwards direction towards the end of the week.

The rate to buy Australian Dollars will clearly be impacted by what is happening with the Brexit and if the discussions continue to go in the right direction we could see the market continue to improve in Sterling’s favour.

With the next EU summit due to take place in mid-December this could be the critical event that will impact GBPAUD exchange rates so expect to see a lot of volatility.

With GBPAUD exchange rates already rather volatile in the last few weeks it may be worth removing the risk of what may happen to rates by buying a forward contract which allows you to fix an exchange rate for a future date for a small deposit.

If you have a need to make a currency transfer in the coming days, weeks or months then feel free to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency compared to your bank or another currency broker.

Even a small improvement in the exchange rates can make a big difference so feel free to to email me and you may find you could save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will respond to you as soon as I can.

 

Pound spikes to a 1-year high after Brexit Bill breakthrough! (Joseph Wright)

The Pound has spiked in the early hours of this morning, hitting a new 1-year high against the Aussie Dollar as the Pound gains across the board of major currency pairs.

The reason for the spike is due to the much speculated Brexit Bill figure apparently being agreed between UK and European counterparts, with the figure reportedly being around £50bn. The cost is to cover accrued European debts and liabilities over the past 44 years of EU membership, and despite being such a high figure the market reaction has been a boost to Sterling’s value.

The market belief is that this Brexit Bill agreement is now likely to pave the way for trade negotiations to begin between the UK and the EU, therefore reducing the likelihood of a disorderly Brexit or Hard Brexit as many have labelled it.

With regards to the GBP to AUD rate, I would now expect to see the rate hit 1.80 as opposed to 1.70 next as should Brexit negotiations progress I expect to see the Pound continue to climb as confidence returns to the markets.

Economic data out of the UK is quiet for the remainder of the week, which means the GBP/AUD pair may continue to be driven by sentiment which favours the Pound after this latest Brexit update.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

Could the Pound make further gains against the Australian Dollar before the end of the year? (Tom Holian)

The Pound has remained strong against the Australian Dollar during the course of the week and I think we could see some further gains coming for the Pound.

The recent US economic data has showed a couple of lower than expected data releases including Services and Durable Goods orders and this has provided evidence that the US economy may be slowing down a little.

The releases in my opinion are not really a big cause for concern but it does show that things are not going as well as expected.

The US Federal Reserve have almost guaranteed that they will be raising interest rates at next month’s meeting but with this week’s data this could see a slowdown of policy during 2018.

Whenever the US displays signs of a slowdown it tends to weaken commodity based currencies including the Australian Dollar and this is one of the reasons for the Pound making gains vs the Australian Dollar in recent times.

Turning the focus back down under the Reserve Bank of Australia has recently stated they will be keeping monetary policy the same for a long time to come as wage pressures have come onto the agenda.

With only a few weeks before the end of the year the Pound is now trading at its best rate to buy Australian Dollars since May and I think depending on how the Brexit talks go in the next fortnight I think we could see further gains for GBPAUD exchange rates.

If you have a need to make a currency transfer in the coming days, weeks or months then feel free to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency compared to your bank or another currency broker.

Even a small improvement in the exchange rates can make a big difference so feel free to to email me and you may find you could save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will respond to you as soon as I can.

Will the Pound continue to rise against the Australian Dollar? (Tom Holian)

The Pound has continued its recent positive run against the Australian Dollar and overnight it has been suggested that some senior ministers in the UK are putting pressure on the government to increase its offer to the EU to leave.

The next meeting is due to be held in December and if this happens this could take the discussions forward which is clearly a positive for the UK.

Downing Street itself has dismissed the rumours that it is looking to double the ‘divorce bill’ payment but I think we could see an offer from the UK coming fairly soon.

The next Brexit summit is due to take place on 14th-15th December and the main topic for discussion will be the Irish border which has still not yet been sorted.

The RBA released its minutes overnight and this has caused GBPAUD exchange rates to move in an upwards direction as the central bank sees ‘considerable uncertainty’ around wage pressures and therefore any interest rate change is very unlikely which has caused the Australian Dollar to weaken against Sterling.

With tomorrow’s UK Autumn Statement due for release I think we could some volatility coming in the morning so make sure you’re prepared for any market movement.

This could be rather difficult for Chancellor Philip Hammond after he was forced to scrap his previous plan of attempting to raise the level of National Insurance.

The likelihood is that he’ll aim the budget towards younger voters as this was the demographic that the Tories appear to have lost at this year’s election and this could include a big push on housing.

I think we could see some uncertainty during the announcement tomorrow but once we get past this issue I think the Pound could gain even further.

If you have a need to make a currency transfer in the coming days, weeks or months then feel free to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency compared to your bank or another currency broker.

Even a small improvement in the exchange rates can make a big difference so feel free to to email me and you may find you could save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will respond to you as soon as I can.

6 month high to buy Australian dollars with pounds!

Overnight disappointing wage growth data has seen the Australian dollar lower and taken it to a 6 month low against the pound. This is presenting the best time in 6 months to buy Australian dollars with pounds, some good news for Australian buyers. Overall the outlook for sterling remains very shaky but we could potentially see some improvements in the coming weeks if we get some clarity on the UK’s Brexit position.

If we look at the state of the pound and its more recent performance against the Australian dollar it has mainly been subject to the whims of the Brexit which has only seen the market lower. If you have a transfer to make in the coming weeks then I would suggest you look to capitalise on this improvement or to certainly be making some plans around these latest developments.

Much has been made of the status of the pound and growing concerns that the UK will ultimately raise interest rates further down the line, this has all supported the pound but sentiments can very quickly change! There is now also a belief that the UK would also get a good deal from the Brexit, personally I would be surprised to see this happen but we will have to see how things develop.

If you are looking to buy or sell the pound against the Australian dollar then making some plans in advance is a crucial part of maximising the transaction, understanding the future events that would drive exchange rates will ultimately be crucial to getting the most for your money. As well as getting the very best rates of exchange we also help with forecasting and alerts of certain market moving events and exchange rates.

For more information please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.