Tag Archives: gbpaud exchange rates

Will the Pound fall this month against the Australian Dollar? (Tom Holian)

We have seen a relatively stable period this month for GBPAUD exchange rates but could this change going into next month?

At the moment the markets have been quiet whilst many political leaders take their summer break but when things get started in September it is likely that the Brexit negotiations will once again begin to dominate the headlines.

When the snap general election was called back in Easter Sterling vs the Australian Dollar was trading above 1.70 but since then we have experienced both a hung parliament as well as the beginning of the Brexit talks.

Both have caused big falls in Sterling against all major currencices including against the Australian Dollar.

Growth forecasts for the UK have been downgraded both for this year and next year and this week’s Trade Balance figures for the UK have showed a huge fall in investment by businesses who are stalling their projects owing to the uncertainty as to what may happen with Brexit.

Longer term I expect the Pound to struggle and although in the short term I expect to see some small periods of gains I think they will be limited.

Therefore, if you’re considering sending money to Australia it may be worth doing it during this month.

If you have a currency exchange to make whether it be buying or selling Australian Dollars and want to save money on exchange rates compared to using your own bank then feel free to make contact with me directly via email.

Having worked in the foreign exchange industry since 2003 for one of the UK’s leading currency brokers I am confident of being able to offer you both better rates as well as keeping you updated with various market movements.

For a free quote email me directly Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

Aussie slightly lower on RBA comments, where next for GBPAUD exchange rates?

The Australian dollar is a little lower this morning as the Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Philip Lowe reiterated that Unemployment was a key factor in any decision to raise interest rates and that for now rates would ‘remain steady’ at 1.5%. The raising and lowering of interest rates is a huge factor driving exchange rates and these comments alongside global events have seen the Aussie a little softer. If you are buying or selling Australian dollars then making some plans around future trends is key to securing the best rates.

Global events are always something to bear in mind with the Australian dollar but more so at present. With the Australian dollar benefiting and suffering as global sentiments on markets rise and fall the latest developments with North Korea and the US dollar are key. Essentially the US dollar is rising because investors are concerned about the prospect of a nuclear war. As the Australian dollar is used by investors because of its high yield (higher interest rates) in times of uncertainty likes this investors will pull their funds and look to invest in ‘safer’ shores, eg the US dollar.

At present this is not overly pronounced, we are only talking a couple of cents off the more recent levels. However any deterioration in the North Korean situation could easily the AUD lose value sharply. There is some important US economic data due at 13.30 UK time today which might lead to some swings on USD/AUD which would in turn influence GBPAUD exchange rates.

All in all I expect the pound to continue to struggle but in the absence of any new fresh bad news and a slightly more dovish RBA, we could see GBPAUD gently drift higher. Next week’s UK Inflation data, Retail Sales, Unemployment and then Australia’s Unemployment data could all be market movers. If you have a transfer now or in 6 months, making some plans around up coming events is key to getting the most for your money.

Whether on amounts of 10,000 GBP or multi-millions, if you have a transfer we can secure preferential commercial rates of exchange and offer practical assistance with the timing of when to lock in a rate.

Thank you for reading and for more information please contact me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Will GBP/AUD return to its March lows and trade in the 1.50’s once again? (Joseph Wright)

Unfortunately for those planning on exchanging Pounds into Australian Dollars in the short term future, the Pound appears to be on track to return to it’s post-Brexit vote lows.

It was back in March when GBP/AUD broke below 1.60 before recovering. The Pound is coming under pressure against most major currency pairs at the moment with just a few exceptions such as the Swiss Franc.

For those with a need to exchange the Pound into Aussie Dollars its worth noting that the Pound hit fresh lows against the Euro during today’s trading session, so if the Pound to Aussie Dollar rate is to follow suite the pair have another 5 or so cents before that happens.

At 11am tomorrow there could be movement between the GBP/AUD pair as an Inflation Report Hearing in the UK will take place, and due to the inflation levels in the UK currently under the microscope due to the fall in the value of the Pound I expect investors to listen closely for hints at future monetary policy in the UK. I wouldn’t completely rule out an interest rate hike this year if need be and talk of one could provide the Pound with a much needed boost.

On Thursday afternoon there will be a GDP estimate figure for the past 3-months to July, and this release comes after a bout of data on Instruction and Manufacturing which could also impact Sterling/Aussie exchange rates should the outcomes deviate greatly from expectations.

If you have an upcoming currency requirement involving the Pound and Aussie Dollar, do feel free to get in touch as I’ll be happy to discuss our commercial exchange rates with you, along with my opinion on potential future price fluctuations. You can email me an outline of your plans to jxw@currencies.co.uk or even provide with a telephone number if you wish to discuss it as soon as possible. 

A warning from the RBA

The Australian dollar has been the fourth best performing currency out of the top 10 most traded currencies and is 10.2% stonger on average against all of the major currencies since that start of the year. However Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia announced last week that he believes the Australian dollar is overvalued and it’s only a matter of time until this starts to have a negative impact on the Australian economy. The Governor beleieves  GDP growth, inflation could start to fall and jobs might be at risk.

Friday morning the Reserve Bank of Australia released their latest monetary policy statement and the central bank reacted to the overvalued Australian dollar by cutting growth forecasts up until the end of the year by 0.5%. However the Reserve Bank of Australia announced that they are optimistic that economic growth would recover over the next 12 months as long as the currency did not continue to strengthen further.

For clients that are selling Australian dollars to buy pounds, I don’t believe the RBA are in the position to cut interest rates in a bid to devalue the Australian dollar however I expect at any opportunity the Governor of the RBA will talk down the currency in a bid to devalue it, a common practice known as jawboning. As exchange rates have improved 10 cents since the start of June and with such an uncertain time ahead this spike in the market may be worth taking advantage of.

If you are trading GBPAUD this week, month or year I would recommend emailing me with the the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and your timescales and I will response with the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Will pressure on Sterling result in further falls for GBP/AUD, even if the RBA doesn’t want a stronger Aussie Dollar? (Joseph Wright)

There has been a lot of talk recently from both economists as well as the Reserve Bank of Australia that the Aussie Dollar is an overvalued currency.

Of all the major currencies the Aussie Dollar is the 4th best performer so far in 2017, and whilst this sounds like a positive thing to many the reality is an overvalued currency isn’t great news for export driven currencies due to the fact that it makes purchasing goods from Aussie more expensive, and therefore negatively impacts the economy.

The issue the RBA have is that cutting interest rates again in order to stem demand for the currency isn’t easy, as the likely market reaction within the property market would be negative. This is why I don’t think there will be a rate cut, as the property market is already overheating and if they make mortgages even more affordable that problem could spiral, especially in the East-cost of the country where property prices are already very high and unaffordable in many cases.

The Pound is coming under increasing pressure due to the Bank of England’s decision not to raise interest rates, and also just yesterday it emerged that the BoE’s forecast for the UK economy in 2017 isn’t going to grow at the rate they had previously expected.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

Where can we expect GBPAUD rates to go in August?

I would be very surprised to see GBPAUD slip below 1.60 but equally surprised to see it rise above 1.70. Current levels in and around the 1.65 represent a fairly mid range price from what we have been used to for most of 2017. The pound has of course been the big loser with uncertainty over the Brexit but trends on the Australian dollar have also been really important. If you have a transfer buying or selling Australian dollars understanding the market and all of your options is key to maximising the opportunity for your transfer.

Yesterday was the big news for the GBPAUD exchange rate, the UK’s Super Thursday of data releases including the Bank of England and the Quarterly Inflation Report. The pound could easily drift lower in the coming weeks but the move yesterday was definitely something for both buyers and sellers of Australian dollars to take note of. Basically the lack of any interest rate hike for the UK makes it very difficult to expect the pound to rise sharply this month. What can we learn from this?

If you have a transfer to make buying the Australian dollar with pounds the outlook for sterling remains uncertain and expecting big improvements could be very risky as many clients have found out recently. Conversely clients looking to sell AUD for GBP are in a very good position because of the weakness of the pound which is representing a very good opportunity for them to sell.

I expect GBPAUD to trade in a range of between 1.62 and 1.67 for the rest of August. If you have a transfer to make in the coming weeks and wish for a better level please let me know by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading and please let me know if there is anything I can help with.

Could the Pound fall further against the Australian Dollar? (Tom Holian)

The Pound has been really struggling to make gains vs the Australian Dollar over the last few weeks and since the election when GBPAUD exchange rates were close to 1.70 we have seen a huge drop in the value of Sterling exchange rates.

The Pound is finding it hard against all major currencies recently and the Pound has dropped by over 6% against the Australian Dollar in the last 2 months which is the difference of £6,000 on a transfer of £100,000 highlighting the importance of following the currency market or at least letting a currency broker do that for you.

Economic data in the UK has started to show signs of a slowdown as investor confidence in the UK economy as well as Sterling has started to fall.

UK GDP published on Wednesday showed a fall to 1.7% for the second quarter. This was in line with the expectation but the real problem is that the Brexit fears are slowly started to become realised.

The US and Chinese economy continue to post strong results which in turn in helping the strength of the Australian Dollar vs the Pound.

With the RBA unsure when to raise interest rates the meeting on Thursday by the Bank of England could be crucial as to the short term trend for GBPAUD exchange rates.

The likelihood is that we’ll see a change in the vote from last month which showed 5-3 in favour of a rate hike. If we see a fall in the appetite then I think this will send the Pound lower vs the Australian Dollar so keep a close eye out on the announcement later in the week.

 

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

What will happen to the Pound vs the Australian Dollar this week? (Tom Holian)

Over the last two months the Australian Dollar has strengthened against the Pound by as much as 7% or the difference of £10,000 on a currency transfer of AUD$200,000 making a big difference as to when to move to or from Australia.

However, overnight we have seen some small gains for the Pound vs the Australian Dollar when RBA governor Philip Lowe suggested that any interest rate hikes may be some time off.

This led to the Pound briefly hitting 1.65 vs the Australian Dollar providing some brief respite to anyone looking to send money to Australia.

Today’s UK GDP data came out exactly as expected for the second quarter so this did little to affect GBPAUD exchange rates so the next catalyst for movement could come overnight with the release of the latest interest rate decision for the US when the Federal Reserve meets to decide its latest monetary policy.

I still think if there are any gains for the Pound vs the Australian Dollar they will be limited as the Pound continues to struggle owing to the Brexit uncertainty and that is unlikely to go away in the near future.

If you have a currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency.

A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Tom Holian) on teh@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

Could the Aussie make further gains vs the Pound? (Tom Holian)

The Australian Dollar has gone from strength to strength recently vs the Pound as the economic and political uncertainty caused by the Brexit continues to put the Pound under pressure.

Next week there are a number of data releases that could have a big impact on GBPAUD exchange rates. The biggest day of the week will come on Wednesday when the Reserve Bank of Australia publishes Australian inflation data.

Inflation is a key factor in a central bank’s decision when it comes to moving interest rates so this could be a big influence as to what direction the RBA moves in when it comes to moving interest rates in the future.

After inflation data the UK releases second quarter GDP data. This will cover the period of the general election as well as when the Brexit talks were officially started so I think this data will be lower than the expectation of 1.7% year on year which in my opinion could lead to the Pound falling against the Australian Dollar.

We end the day with arguably one of the biggest events of the month when the US Federal Reserve publish their latest interest rate decision. The US economy has been very strong recently and typically when the US performs well this encourages global investors to increase their attitude to risk.

The value of the Australian Dollar is often improved when the data is positive in the US so we could see a very positive day for the Australian Dollar vs the Pound during Wednesday so make sure you’re prepared if you want to take advantage of the movements for GBPAUD exchange rates.

I work for one of the UK’s longest established currency brokers and I’m able to offer you bank beating exchange rates so if you would like further information or a free quote when buying or selling Australian Dollars then contact me directly and I look forward to hearing from you.

Tom Holian teh@currencies.co.uk

 

Will next week bring further movement for the GBP/AUD pair? (Joseph Wright)

Next week there are a number of key data releases out of both the UK and Australia, which could result in a move away from the current exchange rates available.

The Pound has been weakening in recent weeks after some disappointing data releases in a number of sectors within the UK, which is why I think those following the Pounds value against the Aussie Dollar as well as other major currency pairs should be aware of next weeks releases.

An already under pressure Pound could be put under additional pressure in the early hours of Tuesday morning at the Reserve Bank of Australia’s Meeting Minutes. A bullish RBA could result in further gains for the Aussie Dollar against Sterling which could push the AUD/GBP pair above the key physiological level of 0.60.

Then at 9.30am on Tuesday morning there will be an inflation reading in the UK, which is a key reading at the moment as the rate of inflation within the UK is currently above the Bank of England’s current target of 2%. I expect a low reading to result in Sterling weakness as it will decrease the likelihood of an interest rate hike in the UK in the short term future.

The is also an Inflation Report Hearing next week within the UK which could impact Sterling exchange rates for the aforementioned reasons.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.