Tag Archives: GBPAUD

FED and EU Summit to drive GBPAUD exchagne rates

This week, events that are not directly involved with Australia and the United Kingdom will dictate GBPAUD exchange rates. 

The Federal Reserve which is the United States central bank, will release there latest interest rate decision Wednesday evening. Speculators are predicting that the FED will raise interest rates from 1.25% to 1.5% which will match the Australian interest rate. Regular readers will be aware that there is a direct correlation between the commodity currencies and the US dollar. As the US dollar is a safe haven and the commodity in some ways is a risk, I expect to see the Australian dollar sold off and the US dollar to be purchased.

The EU summit on the 14th and 15th December, should outline more detail about the Brexit negotiations. UK Prime Minister Theresa May has announced in recent weeks that Brexit negotiations are going well and therefore the UK and EU have agreed to start stage 2 negotiations. If the EU reiterate Theresa May I expect this could provide a further boost for sterling.

Therefore it looks like the Australian dollar could devalue Wednesday evening and the pound could have a finish to the week, therefore my forecast is for GBPAUD to break 1.80 by the close of play on Friday. If you have Australian dollars to sell and need to buy sterling I would recommend getting in touch as soon as possible.

If you are buying or selling Australian dollars in the upcoming weeks, months or years feel free to email me with the reason for your conversion (company invoice, buying a property) and the timescales you are working to and I will email you with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Factors influencing GBPAUD exchange rates

In recent weeks the pound has been making considerable gains against the Australian dollar for a few reasons. The Reserve Bank of Australia more often than not have been giving dovish statements in regards to future interest rate hikes. The Governor has said that it’s likely the next decision will be to hike however this may be at the end of 2018 or even 2019.

The US federal reserve have been hinting towards raising interest rates in December which would mean US and Australian interest rate would be the same. Speculators have and will flock to the US dollar instead of the Aussie as its seen as a safer currency and therefore less risk. Less demand for the Australian dollar means it becomes cheaper to buy.

Deadline day is getting closer for the UK Prime Minister Theresa May. The EU Commission will meet on the 14th and 15th December to discuss whether trade negotiations can begin between the UK and EU. Reports are suggesting that the divorce bill and EU citizens rights could be agreed but the sticking point could still be the Irish border.

Personally I expect the Australian dollar could have a tough end to the year and major sell offs of Australian dollars into US dollars. Couple that with positive news from the Brexit negotiations, I expect GBPAUD exchange rates could push towards the 1.80 mark.

If you are trading GBPAUD this week, month or year I would recommend emailing me with the the reason for the transfer (company goods, property purchase) and your timescales and I will response with the options available to you drl@currencies.co.uk. Alternatively if you would like to discuss your requirements over the phone call 01494-787478 and ask to be put through to Dayle Littlejohn.

** If you are already using a brokerage, I would strongly recommend you compare rates as I am confident I will be able to offer you additional savings with your transfer. All you need to do is email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you a few minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

 

Pound to Australian Dollar rate hits a 5-month high, will the upward trend continue? (Joseph Wright)

Those following the GBP/AUD rate will be aware of the positive moves for the Pound recently, and within the past 24 hours the rate has hit a 5-month high making it a good time for Sterling sellers.

The rate has traded within just 2 and a half cents of the best levels in the last year, so the questions are now being asked as to whether the pair can reach a new 1-year high.

Those with a currency requirement involving the pair should be aware that the Pound isn’t trading in such a strong fashion against many other major currency pairs, and that in my opinion there is potential for the Pound to fall for a number of reasons.

The UK Prime Minister, Theresa May is currently under pressure as rumours build that there a a number of members of her party prepared to sign a vote of no-confidence regarding her position. Should this issue surface I would personally expect to see the Pound fall quite dramatically against the Aussie Dollar amongst other major currencies.

At the same time inflation hasn’t quite hit the high levels the Bank of England was expecting to see so the chances of future rate hikes have diminished somewhat, certainty regarding the short term future.

If you’re following the GBP/AUD rate and would like to be kept updated to any major swings in the rate, do feel free to register your interest with me.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

6 month high to buy Australian dollars with pounds!

Overnight disappointing wage growth data has seen the Australian dollar lower and taken it to a 6 month low against the pound. This is presenting the best time in 6 months to buy Australian dollars with pounds, some good news for Australian buyers. Overall the outlook for sterling remains very shaky but we could potentially see some improvements in the coming weeks if we get some clarity on the UK’s Brexit position.

If we look at the state of the pound and its more recent performance against the Australian dollar it has mainly been subject to the whims of the Brexit which has only seen the market lower. If you have a transfer to make in the coming weeks then I would suggest you look to capitalise on this improvement or to certainly be making some plans around these latest developments.

Much has been made of the status of the pound and growing concerns that the UK will ultimately raise interest rates further down the line, this has all supported the pound but sentiments can very quickly change! There is now also a belief that the UK would also get a good deal from the Brexit, personally I would be surprised to see this happen but we will have to see how things develop.

If you are looking to buy or sell the pound against the Australian dollar then making some plans in advance is a crucial part of maximising the transaction, understanding the future events that would drive exchange rates will ultimately be crucial to getting the most for your money. As well as getting the very best rates of exchange we also help with forecasting and alerts of certain market moving events and exchange rates.

For more information please speak to me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading and I look forward to hearing from you.

Iron prices continue to put pressure on the Australian dollar

GBPAUD exchange rates have increased in value by 8 cents since September as the Australian dollar has been under pressure and sterling has rallied off the back of an interest rate hike and Brexit developments. To put this into monetary value a £200,000 conversion into Australian dollars now generates our clients an additional 16,000 Australian dollars.

The Australian economy relies heavily on iron ore, as iron ore makes up 16.3% of Australian exports. When iron ore prices fall this tends to have a direct impact on Australian dollar exchange rates. China is Australia main trading partner and as construction activity has been slowing in the 2nd largest economy the need for the commodity iron ore falls. Forecasters are suggesting that in the upcoming months iron ore prices will continue to fall and the price per tonne could plummet to $50.

The Australian dollar has also lost value in recent weeks as the Reserve Bank of Australia continue to give a dovish outlook in regards to interest rates. Governor Philip Lowe has insisted that monetary policy will not be changed in the foreseeable future and this was supported by the poor inflation numbers last month.

A data release to keep a close eye on for the remainder of the year is the US interest rate hike in December. If the US hike interest rates (87% chance according to forecasters) I expect a major sell off of Australian dollars which would make the Aussie cheaper to buy.

If you are buying or selling Australian dollars in the future, I would strongly recommend getting in contact to discuss your situation. The company I work offers a proactive service to offering economic information whilst having the ability to offer award winning exchange rates. Feel free to email me with your requirements along with the timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.

GBPAUD crashes below 1.70 (Dayle Littlejohn)

At the end of last week the eagerly anticipated Bank of England interest rate decision provided a huge shock for clients buying Australian dollars. The Bank of England hiked interest rates to 0.5% and forecasters were predicting the pound would continue to climb against the Australian dollar and potential reach the mid 1.70s.

However as the hike was seen as ‘dovish’ because two of the members of the Bank of England voted to keep interest rates on hold and growth forecasts for next year were cut, the pound plummeted against the Australian dollar. The next question is will the pound recover and break through 1.70 once more or have Australian dollars buyers missed their opportunity.

Inflation numbers down under remain under pressure which means the likelihood that the Reserve Bank of Australia will change their tune in regards to interest rates is unlikely. Therefore I expect the Australian dollar to remain under pressure.

Brexit headlines will continue to drive GBPAUD exchange rates. Negotiators have announced that there will be three more rounds before the turn of the year and UK Prime Minister Theresa May will be hoping that stage 2 negotiations would have begun. If this is the case I expect the pound would have broken through the 1.70 barrier and actually progressed closer to 1.75. Therefore if I were selling Australian dollars to buy pounds I would take advantage of the recent movement and look to make the conversion sooner rather than later.

If you are buying or selling Australian dollar in the upcoming weeks, months or years feel free to email me with the reason for your conversion (company invoice, buying a property) and the timescales you are working to and I will email you with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

Will GBPAUD keep rising?

GBPAUD has broken through fresh highs touching the best rates since May to buy Australian dollars with pounds. This is presenting an excellent opportunity that could shift dramatically in the next 24 hours as the UK sees its latest UK interest rate decision. The decision tomorrow is going to be the biggest short term driver on GBPAUD rates and any clients looking to buy or sell should be preparing for movement.

The rates have been rising as the pound strengthens on the back of expectations the Bank of England will raise interest rates tomorrow. The Aussie dollar too has been weaker on the basis of a much longer time before the Reserve Bank of Australia raise their interest rate. Investors had previously been anticipating the interest rates would be hiked sooner by the RBA, perhaps in 2018.

This has seen the Australian dollar weaker as investors who had previously taken up positions believing the Aussie will strengthen now seek higher returns elsewhere. The Australian economy is one of the worlds strongest having remained fairly immune from the concerns and fears that have blighted other global leaders.

The outlook remains positive for the Australian dollar which could well see the currency stronger for longer, overall I would not be looking for a much weaker AUD longer term, I therefore feel if you need to buy Australian dollars with pounds, that locking in something on this spike is very sensible. Otherwise tomorrow’s UK Bank of England decision is the key news for the pound that would see rates changing.

If you have a transfer buying or selling Australian dollars making plans around crucial events is key. I would expect the GBPAUD rate could rise as high as 1.75 but drop as low as 1.68 if the Bank of England fail to meet with expectations.

If there is anything you wish to run through or discuss please don’t hesitate to let me know by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

Sterling – Australian Dollar rate flies through 1.70 – Australian Dollar weakness and Sterling strength (Daniel Wright)

For a few weeks now I have had many clients waiting to be able to achieve the 1.70 mark for their exchange of Pounds into Australian Dollars and finally I have been able to give some of them the rate they have been waiting for.

Overnight on Tuesday, or Wednesday morning for those in Australia we had news that Australian inflation levels had dropped off to 1.8% from a predicted 2%, leading to the Australian Dollar weakening a little against most major currencies.

The reason a lower inflation figure usually leads to a currency dropping off is due to the fact that lower inflation figures decreases the chance of an interest rate hike. An interest rate hike is generally seen as positive for the currency concerned so if the chance of that happening decreases then usually so does the value of the currency involved.

For those that are tracking GBP/AUD exchange rates, you received a second piece of good news on Wednesday morning (or evening for those in Australia) as we had U.K growth figures released and they too, were a little better than expected year on year.

We have seen GBP/AUD exchange rates creep up because of these two factors and they are now almost at the best exchange rate they have been at this year, as an example a £150,000 exchange into AUD now compared to a few months back will net you almost AUD 15,000 more!!

If you are in the position where you may wish to purchase or sell Australian Dollars in the coming days, weeks of months then this can be seen as a fantastic opportunity for you, with brexit still hanging over the head of the Pound there is always that chance it may drop back again at any time.

If you would like to check  that your current provider or bank  is getting you the most for your money then why not take advantage of a currency audit which I will be more than happy to do for you. Email me the price you have been quoted, the volume involved and what time you got this and I will get back to you and let you know if you are getting a good deal or if there is a great deal of money to be saved.

We are very transparent here, if your deal is great I will be honest with you and let you know just that, if it isn’t then I will let you know how much more you can get and how I can help you.

Should you wish to take advantage of this then you are welcome to email me (Daniel Wright) on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be more than happy to get in touch personally.

Australian inflation and UK GDP push GBPAUD above 1.70

GBPAUD exchange rates have strengthened by 3 and 1/2 cents today off the back of Australian and UK economic data  releases. To put this into monetary value a £200,000 transfer at the high of the day compared to the low would have achieved our clients an additional 7,000 Australian dollars.

In the early hours of the morning Australia released their latest Consumer Price Index (inflation) numbers. Forecasters were predicting 2% however the inflation numbers disappointing and fell to 1.8%, leading to a sell off of the Australian dollar. The reason for the Australian dollar being heavily sold off is because now inflation has fallen the Reserve Bank of Australia will continue to give dovish statements in regards to interest rates.

Later in the morning the third revision of UK GDP was released. GDP exceeded expectation and was released at 0.4% from 0.3%. This doesn’t seem much, however it shows growth and something that many economists have not foreseen. The pound strengthened dramatically against all of the major currencies as this data release could be the final nail in the coffin and the Bank of England will be forced to raise interest rates on November 2nd.

For clients buying Australian dollars using sterling, central levels have now broken through 1.70 and for many clients this has been there target over the last 6 months. People need to remember that central levels were in the 1.50s not long ago. For clients trading short term, you need to decide whether to cash in now or wait for the Bank of England’s interest rate decision.

If you are buying or selling Australian dollars in the future, I would strongly recommend getting in contact to discuss your situation. The company I work offers a proactive service to offering economic information whilst having the ability to offer award winning exchange rates. Feel free to email me with your requirements along with the timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.

 

Brexit to dictate GBPAUD exchange rates

Last week GBPAUD exchange rates were heavily influenced by Brexit developments. There were a few key head lines.Firstly Brexit negotiations had hit deadlock according to head EU negotiator Michel Barniner however European Council President Donald Tusk believes the deadlock comments had been exaggerated. In addition UK Prime Minister Theresa May gave a speech at the EU summit late Friday and confirmed the UK and EU had made key progress and a deal on EU citizens rights is nearly secured and reports are suggesting that she could offer another €20bn for the divorce settlement fee.

It appears that Brexit negotiations are heating up, and if EU citizens rights and the divorce settlement bill are agreed, I expect that the pound will make considerable in roads against the Australian dollar. 

In other news there are a few key economic data releases to look our for in the weeks to come. On Wednesday morning Australia will release their latest inflation numbers. This data releases can have a major influence on future monetary policy decisions. Furthermore forecasters are still suggesting there is over 50% chance that the Bank of England will raise interest rates on November 2nd. If this occures GBPAUD exchange rates could break through the 1.70 barrier.

If you are buying or selling Australian dollars in the future, I would strongly recommend getting in contact to discuss your situation. The company I work offers a proactive service to offering economic information whilst having the ability to offer award winning exchange rates. Feel free to email me with your requirements along with the timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.