Tag Archives: pound

Pound to Australian Dollar rate trading at annual high, will the pair now climb higher? (Joseph Wright)

The exchange rate for changing Pounds into Aussie Dollars has traded within half-a-cent from its annual high today, as the almost hit 1.85 again during today’s trading session.

As many of our regular readers will be aware, sentiment surrounding the Pound has improved quite considerably recently after roughly a month ago the UK and EU Brexit negotiators came to an agreement regarding the Brexit transitional deal. This was a topic that limited the Pound’s value prior tot he agreement, as there were concerns that there would be a Hard Brexit which most likely would’ve resulted in a weaker Pound due to the shock to the UK economy.

Now that there is likely to be an interest rate hike from the Bank of England next month, sentiment is improving as the UK economy is showing signs of picking up, even if the Brexit has slowed the economy somewhat.

Moving forward, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Pound climb from its current levels as I think AUD will continue to lose value throughout the year. Now that the Fed Reserve has begun hiking interest rates in the US, AUD is likely to lose some of its attractiveness as it will no longer be offering one of the highest interest rates within the developed world. At the same time trade tensions between the US and China are likely to limit upside for AUD in my opinion.

There are expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia will increase interest rates to 1.75% at the end of this year, although up until this stage the RBA has been skeptical due to the overheating property market down under, particularly on the East coast. With the RBA being weary of the effects this could have on the Australian economy, I think they will leave it late before making an amendment.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

 

Will GBPAUD rates remain above 1.80?

The pound to Australian dollar exchange rate has been above 1.80 comfortably now for a period and the outlook is now much more positive for the future. The Australian dollar has been losing its shine as investors look for more profitable avenues overseas which include the US dollar. A key driver of late on GBPAUD has been theĀ interest rate changes in the US and the UK, with them hiking, as in the US, or on the way to hiking – the UK.

This difference in outlook compared to the RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) who are currently refraining from hiking has allowed big movements on the pound and US dollar against the Aussie. The RBA has been monitored very closely over its performance and attitudes to raising interest rates and this will likely continue to be a feature in the coming months.

Generally speaking, I would imagine the RBA will continue to be soft in its assessments moving forwards and this will keep the Australian dollar on the weaker side. Despite this, the Aussie may well find some favour if there are any unexpected twists and turns or bumps in the road on the US and UK path to raising interest rates.

Another factor which will likely weigh on the GBPAUD rate will be the progress on Brexit which could see the pound to Australian dollar rate fall below 1.80 if there are further troubles over the Irish border or concerns over what type of trade deal the UK will get. Any surprisingly strong data from down under might see the Australian dollar fight back against sterling too.

In April I expect a range between 1.78-1.85 as the conditions that have seen us hit the current rates of exchange continue to act as a driver on the pair. Thank you for reading and if you have any upcoming transactions and wish for some insight and informationĀ on achieving the best rates of exchange, please do get in touch with me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk directly.

Major banks expect further AUD weakness following RBA interest rate decision and statement

Today’s RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) interest rate decision and press conference has added further fuel to the fire for Australian Dollar weakness in the coming months.

With the view that dropping commodity prices and the fact that the RBA have now held interest rates for a record breaking 18th monetary policy meeting in a row, it does appear that there may be a fightback from other major currencies against the Australian Dollar.

As mentioned in previous posts an interest rate is of great importance to a currency as it makes it more or less attractive to investors, what we are seeing in other areas around the globe is other economies starting to raise interest rates, most notably America and the U.K and this is in turn leading to a flow of money out of the Australian Dollar and into the perceived safer currencies, thus making the Australian Dollar weaker and more expensive to buy.

Expectations are currently for the RBA to potentially make their next interest rate move in November of this year, if this is the case then we are likely to have seen one further rate hike from the U.K and potentially two more from the U.S before that happens, which may lead to further weakness as the year progresses.

We are at the start of a new month so be sure to keep a keen eye on Australian economic data this month as this may impact on what the RBA decide to do.

If you have the need to buy a large sum of Australian Dollars in the near future, or you need to exchange a large sum of Australian Dollars into another major currency then I can help you personally. Not only do we offer up to date market information but we can also help you achieve the best exchange rate when you do come to lock in your currency, along with assistance with the timing of your transfer.

You are more than welcome to get in contact with me (Daniel Wright) personally if you feel that our service will be beneficial to you, you can email me on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be more than happy to get in touch with you to help you put together a game plan for your specific situation.

Australian Dollar still losing ground against most currencies – Interest rates are key globally

The Australian Dollar is not having a great run of things lately, as numerous economies appear to picking up and the U.S have once again raised interest rates, bring them ahead of the current rate in Australia.

The reason this current movement is important is that U.S interest rates are now higher than interest rates in Australia, so what essentially happens is investors will move their funds out of the Australian Dollar and into the U.S Dollar, as it offers a more attractive return on their money and is seen as a more stable currency.

The outlook for Australian interest rates still does not suggest any hike in the near term, however the Federal Reserve in the States did dampen expectations a little for the year ahead in last nights monetary policy statement.

I still feel there is further room for Australian Dollar weakness in the coming weeks, most notably we have seen a big movement for Sterling against the Australian Dollar over the past week or so, breaking through the key level of 1.80 and not stopping there.

Sterling is on a good run at present, and now that average earnings figures have fallen in line with inflation there is room for interest rates in the U.K to start coming up again too, the Bank of England interest rate decision later this morning will be key and so will the minutes from the meeting, as they may give an indication on future plans.

If you are in the position that you may need to carry out a currency exchange in the coming days, weeks or months ahead then it is well worth getting in contact with me directly, you can email me (Daniel Wright) on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be more than happy to contact you directly with live quotes and to help you develop a strategy as to how to move forward with your transaction.

 

Best rates to buy AUD with GBP in 21 months!

The pound to Australian dollar exchange rate has risen to fresh highs, largely owing to a stronger pound. The outlook for the pound against the Australian dollar is now much better as progress on Brexit and confirmation of a transitional deal helps the pound to rise. The Australian dollar could come under further pressure this week as central banks in the UK and US are in focus.

Overnight the Reserve Bank of Australia Minutes have been released which has seen the Australian dollar relatively unchanged, if you need to buy or sell Australian dollars against pounds the markets appears that it will be favouring the pound for this week anyway. Another major factor this week will be what happens with the US interest rate decision on Wednesday evening, this is when the US dollar might rise.

The relationship of the US dollar to the Australian dollar is very important and one that will see the big movements on GBPAUD and EURAUD too. When the US dollar rises it will often lead to the Australian dollar weakening too which gives the better opportunities to buy AUD with sterling.

There is a real belief that we could see further improvements for AUD buyers this week if the US Federal Reserve are positive in their outlook on interest rates. The pound is now at some of the best levels to buy Australian dollars since the Referendum 2016, this might well see the pound stronger further if more Brexit progress is announced.

For more information at no cost or obligation on the best ratesand timing to buy Australian dollars with pounds, please contact me Jonathan Watson by emailing jmw@currencies.co.uk.

What factors could push the Pound to Aussie Dollar rate above 1.80 this year? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Aussie Dollar rate has been hovering just below the 1.80 mark for some time now, and although the GBP/AUD pair appear to have consolidated between 1.75 and 1.80 the pair are yet to properly test the 1.80 threshold.

AUD has been boosted in the early hours of this morning after the Reserve Bank of Australia’s minutes from their latest interest rate decision were announced. The RBA remains positive focusing on wage growth and a pick-up in the global economy moving forward which could lead to a rate hike from the RBA later in the year.

The topic of a rate hike in Australia is likely to be key moving forward as a number of other major economies have begun hiking rates now. AUD had previously benefited from having some of the highest interest rates available in the developed world but as other currencies now offer similar returns AUD has lost its appeal somewhat, and this issue is what could give the Pound a chance of gaining on AUD pushing the GBP/AUD above 1.80.

JP Morgan recently offered their opinion on the Aussie Dollars prospects and suggested the currency could fall as weaker commodity prices and monetary policy divergence put pressure on the AUD’s value.

There is an important data release out this morning from the UK in the form of Average Earnings data. This is key because the figure has disappointed recently and struggled to keep up with inflation levels which had previously made the BoE hesitant to hike interest rates. Should wages have increased over the past 3-months the chances of a rate hike are improved so I would expect to see a jump in the Pound’s value should this be the case.

Planning around events such as these can prove beneficial, so do feel to get in touch to discuss any upcoming transfers you plan on making.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

GBP/AUD remains at 1.77 after RBA opts to hold interest rates (Joseph Wright)

The Reserve Bank of Australia last night chose to keep interest rates unchanged, which was the expected outcome from economists leaving the currency markets unchanged at 1.5%.

This was the first chance the RBA had to make a change this year, and the base rate has remained at 1.5% for around a year and a half now. Many central banks have opted to hike interest rates in recent months, and should this continue it will result in the Australian interest rates being uncompetitive and therefore AUD weakness in my opinion.

Last year AUD benefited from offering one of the highest interest rates in the developed world. Investors are keen to hold funds in a high yielding currency but should AUD lose its competitive edge, it’s likely that money will be taken out of the Aussie Dollar and we’ll see it fall.

Politics also have the potential to move the GBP/AUD pair, especially at the moment as the European Union’s chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier is in London to discuss the UK’s plans and proposals for Brexit this week.

Those following the Pounds value should be aware of this and the potential it has to impact GBP exchange rates should any key comments be made, and do feel free to register your interest with me if you wish to be updated in the event of a major rate spike.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.

RBA interest rate decision and press conference overnight, along with retail sales, import and export figures too

We have plenty of market data for the market to get stuck into this week, with the Australian Dollar struggling a little recently this may also lead to further weakness for the Australian Dollar unless we hear some positive news.

There have been numerous analysts commenting recently that they felt we may see a slight period of turbulence for the Australian Dollar and one of the reasons behind this had been expectations of very little interest rate movement throughout 2018.

A higher interest rate is generally good for the currency concerned as it makes it more attractive to investors. The Australian interest rate spent quite some time being much more beneficial than that of most other majors which is why the Australian Dollar has remained so strong over the past few years.

What we are seeing now is that other major economies (such as the U.S and U.K) are starting to raise their interest rates, most notably the U.S and this is leading to investors moving their money out of the Australian Dollar and into the U.S Dollar, thus weakening the Australian Dollar and making it cheaper to buy.

Expectations are for three further interest rate hikes from the U.S this year and with both the U.S and Australian interest rate sat at 1.5% a further move from the states may lead to this flow of money out of AUD as explained above.

This is why focus is on the RBA and their Tuesday interest rate decision, no changes to rates are expected but it will be comments in their following statement that will be watched very closely, as any hint in future rate changes (or that they plan not to make any changes this year) may lead to sharp Australian Dollar movements.

The other economic data will also be important, but I feel that the star of the show will be any news on the next move from the RBA.

If you have a currency exchange to make in the coming days, weeks or months ahead and you would like assistance then I can help you. Having working at my current brokerage for over ten years I am in a good position to not only help you with the timing of your transfer but also getting the best rate of exchange when you do come to book it.

For more information or simply to get a quote on the rates that we can offer feel free to email me (Daniel Wright) personally on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be more than happy to get back in touch with you.

Employment data will be the main focus for Australian Dollar exchange rates this week (Daniel Wright)

In a reasonably quiet week ahead for Australian Dollar news, the main focus for investors and speculators alike this week will be global attitude to risk and Australian unemployment figures. Global attitude to risk can change at any time, especially with the Trump/North Korean situation still ongoing and the unemployment figures are due out on Friday morning in Australia or overnight on Thursday night for those readers from the U.K.

Expectations are for unemployment levels to remain at 5.4% however with a positive improvement in the rise of jobs last month (which was unexpected) do not rule out movement for Australian Dollar exchange rates early on Friday.

Having just spent three weeks in Australia it does appear that views on the Australian economy are mixed at present. Some people I spoke to were really confident about how things were going and others were less positive, citing that they felt that certain areas were at the top of a housing bubble that was due to burst at any time.

My opinion from being on the ground over there, particularly in Sydney (where this bubble appears to have blown up the most) I do not see it crashing down anytime soon. There is a huge amount of building work going on and a great increase in new retail developments from what I can see, along with an influx of Chinese money I find it hard to see the house prices dropping off unless further restrictions are put in place to try and halt it artificially.

For me this suggests that the Australian Dollar should remain fairly strong in the early part of 2018, I do not expect large gains made by the Australian Dollar but I would be surprised not to see the currency hold its ground against most majors, as long as the banana skin of major global uncertainty comes along to change that.

If you have an Australian Dollar exchange to make in the coming days, weeks or months and you would like assistance not only on the timing of your transfer but also with achieving the very best rate of exchange too then I can help you personally.

Feel free to get in touch with me (Daniel Wright) by emailing me on djw@currencies.co.uk and I will be more than happy to get back to you. Having now worked at the same foreign exchange brokerage for over a decade I am well placed to assist you and will be more than happy to help.

Will GBP/AUD break out of its current trading range? (Joseph Wright)

The Pound to Australian Dollar exchange rate has remained in the early 1.70’s for a few weeks now, with Sterling sellers basing the best trades off of mid-market levels of 1.73.

Since spiking up to just under 1.80 the GBP/AUD pair has corrected and I think that trade levels just over 1.70 are a fairer value for the pair, so it will be interesting to see whether any data or news will have the capacity to push the pair out of the current range.

Sterling has been boosted in recent days as UK Prime Minister, Theresa May has reshuffled her cabinet in order to create one that better reflects the society that she serves. There haven’t been any major shocks and the main members such as Philip Hammond, Boris Johnson and David Davies have kept their high profile positions.

The next step for Brexit negotiations will be trade talks, of course an important stage which may have a big impact on the Pounds value so it will certainly be worth following the talks. The transitional deal and how the UK is expected to perform during and after this period is likely to impact Sterling exchange rates.

The UK economy overperformed last year when we consider the forecasts from the majority of financial institutions, and I think if the UK puts in another strong performance we can expect to see the Pound push over 1.80 at some stage during the year.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.