Tag Archives: sell australian dollars

Australian Dollar Poised for Volatility after US Tariffs are Enforced (James Lovick)

The Australian dollar is now set for a volatile period after US trade tariffs on Chinese goods kicked in this morning as planned. The Australian dollar as a commodity currency is likely to be sensitive to any further escalations in these trade wars and the dollar could come under considerable pressure. $34 billion worth of tariffs have been imposed as of today and China has already reciprocated. US President Donald Trump has signalled his intent to increase these tariffs to as much as a staggering $450 billion on Chinese products if China retaliated.

It will now be interesting to see the response from the US after this retaliation and where this heads next. The EU has also been embroiled into these trade disputes highlighting how big an issue this all is. If global economic growth falls in the future then the Australian dollar is likely to be one of the hardest hit.

GBP AUD

Today marks a hugely important today for those clients looking to buy or sell Australian dollars with pounds. British Prime Minister Theresa’s May will be holding a cabinet meeting at Chequers to finalise the detail on Brexit and how close Britain will be aligned to the EU. There has been much disagreement within her cabinet and today should give guidance as to whether Britain will pursue a soft or a hard Brexit. The pound is likely to react accordingly and this meeting does have the potential to cause some fireworks.

No details have yet been released but the outcome of today’s meeting will form the basis for a white paper on Brexit. A softer Brexit that maintains trade and one that is likely to be agreed by the EU is likely to see the pound rally. However any resignations or objections from within government could create even more uncertainty for sterling exchange rates. Clients would be wise to plan around this event as we could finally be at the tipping point.

For more information on the Australian dollar and for assistance in making transfers at the opportune time then please get in touch with me James at jll@currencies.co.uk

Australian Dollar Weakens on Trade War Escalations (James Lovick)

The Australian dollar has come under a recent wave of pressure losing ground across most of the major currencies this week. The Aussie has lost more than 4% over the last month with a noticeable fall against the US dollar. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) are keeping all option open with regards to interest rate policy and the wording of whether or not interest rates will rise or fall in due course. However the RBA Governor Philip Lowe has indicated that he expects rates to rise and this was made clear when he last spoke.

The reason for the Australian dollars weakness is most likely due to the trade war escalations between the US and China. Whilst I have previously commentated that trade links between Australia and China are very strong and that Australia could be shielded by protectionist behaviour the recent escalation in tariffs is now having a detrimental effect on some of the other commodity currencies such as the Aussie. There is currently a better opportunity to buy Australian dollars.

The concern is that if global growth slows due to a trade war then the riskier currencies likes the Aussie are likely to feel the full force of slower growth and should see their respective currencies weaken. For the moment it’s all eyes on these developments and Trump had really signalled that he would seek to impose another $100 billion of tariffs on Chinese exports if there was like for like retaliation. Expect more developments form this story and potentially additional losses for the Aussie.

GBP AUD

Brexit continues to be the main driver for GBP AUD exchange rates and should see a volatile period ahead with the EU summit next week. British proposals on the future relationship should be made public very shortly and are likely to appear after the EU summit. The response form the EU as to progress so far will be very important for the pound and any escalation in tensions or the
potential for a no deal scenario is likely to result in sterling weakness. There is still an excellent opportunity for clients looking to sell Australian dollars. In my view once a deal thrashed out then the pound should strengthen materially. Although there is a risk of a no deal scenario which would be sterling negative, in my view this does not seem the most likely outcome and I am bullish for the pound in the medium term.

To discuss how these events will directly impact on your own currency requirement and how to achieve the best rates of exchange then please get in touch with me James at jll@currencies.co.uk

Australian Dollar Outlook Improves (James Lovick)

The Australian dollar could be set for a stronger period ahead following a series of better economic data helping support the Aussie. Unemployment data released this week arrived better than expected at 5.4% against consensus of 5.5% proving beneficial for the dollar. There is hope that the improvement in the labour market should start to feed through into higher wage growth which is something the Reserve Bank of Australian have been waiting for. The Aussie was also boosted on the back of higher consumer inflation expectations which are pointing to higher prices down under going forward. The data suggests that Australians expect prices for goods and services to climb higher and this is yet another key criteria the RBA are monitoring before any decision is made on potentially raising interest rates. Looking forward the dollar could see a better period ahead and clients looking to sell Australian dollars may see a good window to convert within the next couple of months.

Next week sees the RBA minutes for the meeting earlier this month and may offer clues as to the central banks thinking. Any suggesting the conversation is moving towards raising rates would be seen as good for the Aussie.

The US are widely tipped to impose more trade tariffs on China imminently and this could happen as soon as today. Australia for the moment appear to be relatively protected for this action due to the strong trade ties it has with China.

GBP AUD

There are two major drivers for the GBP AUD pair at present. Clients looking to buy or sell Australian dollars should be aware of the Bank of England meeting next week as any change of tact from Governor Mark Carney could see the pound react. Any suggestion a rate hike could happen in August is likely to see rates for GBP AUD rally. Perhaps more importantly the Brexit withdrawal bill goes back to the House of Lords on Monday after there has been some disagreement in government as to the final wording of the text. This could prove tricky for the Prime Minister and any political tensions here could see the pound come under pressure. My long term view of GBP AUD is for considerable strength so sellers may wish to strike whilst the opportunity is still there.

For more information and guidance on Australian dollar exchange rates and for assistance in making transfers at the right time then please feel free to contact me at jll@currencies.co.uk

Australian Dollar Strength – Economic Outlook Positive

The Australian dollar is in a much better place at present finding considerable support including having made gains in excess of 3% against the pound in the last month. Australian Gross Domestic Product has performed very well climbing to 3.1% in the first quarter of 2018 which has restored some confidence in the Aussie. A small boost in global growth and specifically in the Chinese economy seems to be paying dividends for the Australian dollar and this rally may have further to go. Chinese retails sales data next week could create some market reaction and a strong number could prove beneficial for the Aussie.

As things stand the dollar has not been as adversely affected from the trade tariffs imposed between China and the US. The advantage for Australia is that it shares very close trade ties with China so unless a global trade war escalates that drags Australia in too then this relationship could in fact boost the dollar further. Clients looking to sell Australian dollars for pounds are seeing a much better opportunity to convert and may wish to consider taking the risk out of the volatile currency markets. Rates for AUD GBP are sitting at 1.7680 and are considerably better than the 1.85 highs seen in recent months.

Those clients looking to buy Australian dollars with pounds should pay very close attention to developments in British politics next week. The Brexit withdrawal bill is finally going to go through the House of Commons and will be voted on. If UK Prime Minister Theresa May is unable to push through her vision of Brexit should Conservative rebels vote against what was in the manifesto then this could spell danger For the Prime Minister and the government. Any vote of no confidence pushed by Labour could see major volatility for sterling exchange rates and major market reaction.

For assistance in making transfer when either buying or selling Australian dollars then please get in touch with me at jll@currencies.co.uk

Australian Dollar Wobbles on Geopolitical Concerns – US / North Korea (James Lovick)

The Australian dollar has seen another wobble after that has been a good performance from the Aussie over the last month. The Aussie has slipped lower on the back of developments stemming from both China and North Korea. The trade war between the US and China appeared to be cooling off which was working in the commodity currency’s favour although Trump was reported to have said that “There is no deal” signalling that there might not be an agreement on how to reduce the size of the US deficit with China.

There are mixed signals coming out of the US on this important matter and there did appear to be progress up until recently. The Australian dollar is directly impacted by these events as China is Australia’s largest export market and a slowdown in the global economy is generally seen as bad for the Aussie.

It’s not just the US China trade battle to consider though, US President Donald Trump has indicated the summit with North Korea may not happen with a strong chance that it won’t work out. These geopolitical concerns continue to have a negative impact on the Aussie so expect more volatility for AUD exchange rates in the coming weeks.

Selling Australian Dollars for Pounds?

Those clients with pending requirements should monitor developments in Britain over these coming weeks. I have posted previously that the House of Commons will shortly vote on the Brexit withdrawal bill that has been put forward by the House of Lords with a series of amendments. UK Prime Minster Theresa may does not have a sufficient majority to push through her vision of Brexit and if the amendments are defeated in the Commons then there could be a vote of no confidence in the Prime Minister. This could create considerable volatility for the pound on the back of political uncertainty. It could also end up in a general election.

Clients looking to sell Australian dollars could see some better opportunities around the corner although it is my view the Prime Minister may have a shot at putting pressure on other politicians who represent Leave backing areas of the country. If she is able to win votes from Labour politicians then she could sail through with her Brexit which could see the pound rally on renewed confidence. Clients would be wise to plan around this event in these coming weeks as there is a huge amount at stake on how this ends up for GBP AUD.

To discuss your currency requirement and for assistance to achieve the best rates of exchange then please get in touch with me James at jll@currencies.co.uk

Australian Dollar Boosted on Employment Data (James Lovick)

The Australian dollar has been boosted following employment data which rebounded in April with another 22.6 k jobs added. Unemployment actually rose slightly to 5.6% from 5.5% although this was more to do with a higher participation rate and the markets appear not too concerned over this aspect. Australian consumer inflation expectations data also rose which is helping to support the Australian dollar. A higher level of inflation in reality would be one of the first triggers for the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise interest rates which lends support to the Aussie.

Rates for GBP AUD have fallen to below 1.80 creating a good opportunity to sell Australian dollars for pounds. Clients looking to convert from AUD into GBP may wish to consider taking advantage of the sudden improvement as the Australian dollar could find itself in deeper water depending on how events unfold with the trade tariff war between the US and China as well as more recent geo political risks in the Middle East. US President Donald Trump has only just pulled out of the Iran nuclear deal and there is likely to me a lot more mileage from this change.

Brexit is about to become hugely political and volatile for the pound in these coming weeks ahead of a vote in the House of Commons on a series of amendments put forward in the House of Lords. As of now a total of 14 amendments have been made in the Lords which will deliberately seek to keep Britain in a customs union. The risk for the pound is that there could be more political uncertainty that comes out of this if Theresa May is unable to get through her vision of Brexit in the House of Commons.

Should she lose the vote then we could be moving into general election territory or the prospect of a new Prime Minister. There could be some bumps in the road In the next few weeks which could create some better opportunities for those clients looking to sell AUD if political tensions escalate in the UK.

For more information on the Australian dollar and assistance in making transfers at the best rates of exchange then please get in touch with me at jll@currencies.co.uk

Australian Dollar Exchange Rates Slide on Weaker Global Economic Outlook (James Lovick)

The Australian dollar is under further pressure at present after the growth outlook for Australia is starting to be cut. Commonwealth Bank for one has lowered its growth forecast based on a slowing global economy. We have already seen the Aussie come under pressure since the introduction of trade tariffs imposed by the US and China. These decisions by these nations are now starting to feed through into the forecasts which should weigh heavy for the Australian dollar which generally performs well when the global economy is growing at a healthy pace.

Clients looking to sell Australian dollars don’t see a bright future in the short term although any positive noises and downplaying tariffs could see some relief for the Aussie. US President Donald Trump is keeping the markets guessing and does not appear ready to start putting the brakes on the tariffs just yet. Until this happens the Australian dollar could have further to fall.

The Aussie has made some small inroads against the pound this week although this is more to do with weakness in the pound following weaker UK economic data and uncertainty in the Brexit negotiations. UK Prime Minister Theresa May is in for a battle later this month when the House of Commons will vote on various amendments that the House of Lords have put forward which are aimed at keeping Britain within the single market and in some cases even with a view to keeping Britain in the EU altogether. What this all means is political uncertainty and it is politics which can be a major driver for exchange rates. Rates for GBP AUD could fall materially lower on Brexit uncertainty.

Only yesterday following a Brexit cabinet meeting the Prime Minister faced strong calls to ditch the customs partnership model that had been put forward and certainly keep Britain out of any customs union. A harder Brexit or no deal scenario cannot be ruled out and any heightening of tensions could see the pound tumble quickly. In my view there will be more twists and turns to come and this could present those clients looking to sell Australian dollars for pounds with some good opportunities to convert.

For more information on the Australian dollar and when to convert then please get in touch with me James at jll@currencies.co.uk

Best Rates for Buying Australian Dollars – GBP AUD 1.84 (James Lovick)

The Australian dollar remains under pressure as events on the global stage continue to drive the dollar lower. The uncertainty over the potential trade war between the US and China has implications for the Australian dollar too. China is Australia’s largest export market so any slowdown in economic growth in China results in an immediate reduction to Australian exports. The other issue that stems from this is that a global trade war would potentially see a slowdown in economic growth causing some currencies to include the commodity currencies to weaken of which the Australian dollar is one of them.

Rates for GBP AUD are currently sitting above 1.84 which has presented a great opportunity for those clients looking to buy Australian dollars. The pound has been boosted considerably of late on the back of a brighter outlook on Brexit and the prospect of an imminent interest rate increase in the UK. The Bank of England next meet in May and there is a high chance that the central bank will raise interest rates. This seems particularly likely now that wage growth numbers released yesterday increased for the first time in a year. The Bank of England have been paying very close attention to this data set and the boost is proving very positive for sterling.

Those clients looking to sell Australian dollars could see an improvement assuming the rhetoric on trade tariffs begins to die down. The US is currently renegotiating the NAFTA agreement with Canada and Mexico. You may ask what this has to do with the Australian dollar – In my view any progress on this agreement could signal a turning point for US President Donald Trump with new terms agreed and may start to calm those nerves in the financial markets. As such the Australian dollar could be a beneficiary on any positive developments in the world arena.

To discuss your own requirement and how these events have a direct impact on personal currency transfers then please get in touch with me at jll@currencies.co.uk

Buying Australian Dollars? GBP AUD Supported (James Lovick)

The Australian dollar remains under a fair amount of pressure amidst global economic and political changes. Rates for GBP AUD remain over 1.80 for the pair although a move higher to 1.90 may prove difficult in the short term. Those clients looking to buy Australian dollars with pounds may wish to consider locking in at today’s rates and take advantage of these higher levels which have only recently become available.

The pound has been boosted following slightly better manufacturing numbers released yesterday as per the Purchasing Managers Index. Tomorrows services sector data for the UK could prove particularly volatile for the pound and a strong number could see a rally in the GBP AUD pair.

The Australian dollar could also come under added pressure in the short term as a result of some of the trade barriers which are being erected by China and the US at present. If trade barriers and tariffs continue to go up then the Australian dollar could be one to suffer although the markets are hopeful this behaviour will not turn into a fully blown trade war.

Those clients who are looking to sell Australian dollars for pounds should continue to see more volatility in the coming weeks and months as result of the ongoing Brexit negotiations between Britain and the EU. One of the reasons the pound has rallied is due to the fact that the second round of negotiations has just been completed with talks now progressing on to future trade. Once the thorny issues of the Irish border and also whether financial services can be included in and trade deal have been resolved this could prove beneficial for sterling exchange rates.

For more information on the Australian dollar and how to maximise on the rates of exchange when there is sudden movement then please feel free to get in touch with me at jll@currencies.co.uk

Buying Australian Dollars with Pounds? (James Lovick)

Those clients looking to buy Australian dollars have seen a great spike this week for the GBP AUD pair. Rates for GBP AUD have broken over 1.83 although the recent rally appears to be running out of steam. The pound has been given an excellent boost after agreement was reached between Britain and the EU on a transitional deal in the Brexit negotiations. The pound has benefitted from this as a degree of confidence for British business has been restored and this is seen as welcome news for the British economy.

Clients looking to buy Australian dollars would be wise to consider taking advantage of the current highs as spikes likes these in recent months have so far proved very short lived. There are a number of thorny issues which will resurface in the coming weeks and revolve around the Irish border and financial services.

If no agreement is reached over the Irish border and if a deal cannot be found which includes financial services for the city of London then the prospect of a no deal scenario suddenly starts to look considerably more likely. It is for this reason that any gains beyond these levels seem unlikely in the short term at least.

Clients looking to sell Australian dollars should see some spikes in the coming weeks and months although my view is that a deal on Brexit will be reached and this could see the pound perform very well. A move towards 1.90 for GBP AUD cannot be ruled out in these markets especially as the Brexit appears to have finally turned a corner with an apparent accord and will to move forward from all sides.

For more information on Australian dollar exchange rates and how to make the most of these opportunities in this volatile period then please get in touch with me at jll@currencies.co.uk