Tag Archives: westpac

How will Australian interest rates impact the Aussie dollar?

Countries around the globe this year have been raising interest rates due to the global outlook improving. The Reserve Bank of Australia are one of the countries that have kept interest rates at record lows and many economists have predicted that a hike could occur sooner rather than later.

However Australian lender Westpac announced this week this think it is unlikely that interest rates will be raised until 2020 which could have major implication for Australian dollar exchange rates, if their predictions come true. Westpac’s theory is that it is unlikely that wages pressure will rise and consequently inflation will remain at current levels.

With most leading nations raising interest rates the Australian economy would be left behind and investment would continue to leave the Australian dollar which means buying currency would become more expensive.

However ANZ have a slightly different view and believe household debt is high, referring to the housing bubble in the major cities therefore they believe the Reserve Bank of Australia are likely to rise twice in 2018.

It just shows trying to predict Australian dollar exchange rates long term is very difficult however I believe the Governor will continue to monitor and if the Australian dollar exchange rates devalue further in the upcoming months the likelihood of an interest rate hike increases.

If you are buying or selling Australian dollar in the upcoming weeks, months or years feel free to email me with the reason for your conversion (company invoice, buying a property) and the timescales you are working to and I will email you with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **

GBP/AUD back close to 1.82 (Mike Vaughan)

Sterling has pushed back above 1.82 the highest against the Aussie on nearly three weeks. The move has come about following the RBA minutes out overnight that indicated interest rates in Australia were unlikely to change any time soon. The board judged it was prudent to leave rates on hold while they continued to have the “expected effects” on economic activity.Advertisement “A sustained increase in dwelling investment was in prospect, consumption had strengthened a little and business conditions were around average levels,” the RBA said.

This current market volatility surrounding the Aussie is very much continuing with a near four cent shift in less than a week, a trend for me that is likely to continue.

Looking for the rest of the week and consumer confidence figures overnight from Westpac will make for interesting viewing and this will be followed by the Bank of England minutes and retail sales figures at 09:30 tomorrow morning. A busy week for the pound will also see the official UK GDP figures at 09:30 on Thursday.

Are yo getting the best deal on your foreign exchange? Through utilising a broker such as ourselves and giving yourself as much information as possible will help you make the most informed decision when timing your transfer. To get more information about the currency service we provide contact the office on 01494 725353 or email Mike a mgv@currencies.co.uk

UK Industrial and manufacturing figures softer than forecast (Mike Vaughan)

UK Industrial and manufacturing figures this morning were slightly softer than expected and the pound is again positing losses against the Australian Dollar. Later today we will see the UK’s NIESR GDP forecasts, something that can have an impact on GBP exchange rates. The NIESR (National Institute for Economic and Social Research) are a well respected think tank and their figures are often close to the official published data. They are forecasting 0.8%, any deviation from this and the pound is likely to react accordingly.

Looking at data for the AUD, later today will see Westpac release consumer confidence figures and on Thursday look out for employment change.  Also worth keeping an eye on Chinese Industrial production data and retails sales figures early Thursday.

Should you have an upcoming bank to bank money exchange to arrange and you would like to discuss the current market trends and the timing of your transfer then please get in touch. As a specialist foreign exchange broker we have multiple contracts to help our clients maximize their exchange. To find out more information on the full currency service we provide please email Mike at mgv@currencies.co.uk

 

 

Whats in store for the AUD today? How to get the best from your money exchange…..

As we start what is almost certain to be another busy and volatile day on the money markets what factors should you be watching out for today should you have an interest in the Australian Dollar? Overnight Westpac released its latest consumer confidence figures which were  substantially down. Normally I would expect AUD weakness as a result, however we have actually seen some small gains against both the Pound and Euro indicating how out of favour these two currencies are currently. For me any gains from the pounds point of view will depend on whether the UK can avoid the triple dip recession. Indications from the NIESR (National Institute for Economic and Social Research) a well respected think tank, were certainly positive and suggest that the UK may just avoid recession by forecasting 0.1% growth for Q1 of 2013. It is certainly very finely balanced, however I am confident recession can be avoided and we may see a much needed boost for the pound as a result. Anyone with an interest in GBP/AUD should keep a keen eye on GDP released on the 25th April, a key day in my view.

Shorter term look out for Australian employment data overnight tonight, forecast to stay at 5.4% month on month, any deviation form the expected could cause volatility overnight. Also watch out for the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) equivalent of the MPC in the US, as they will release their minutes from the Federal Reserves last interest rate meeting. This can influence investors risk appetite depending on the rhetoric from the minutes and with the AUD a favourite for currency investors it may cause market fluctuation for the AUD following its release at 19:00 BST.

To discuss the market trends and current data that might affect your particular currency transfer then please contact the office on 01494 725353. I work for one of the UK’s longest standing independent brokers I am very confident I can undercut any price you have been offered. Should you wish to test the service or discuss the contracts we have available then please email me with a brief description of your current trade and I will happily provide you with a live quote. I can be reached by email on mgv@currencies.co.uk