GBP/AUD back through 1.82 a 10 cent swing in 10 days (Mike Vaughan)

AUDGBP Makes Back Some Lost Ground From Last Week

Sterling has continued its strong rally against the Australian dollar having shifted 10 cents in last 10 days (5.8%). This makes a difference of AUD 20,000 on a £200k transfer.

Data from Australia has been relatively light this week highlighting how dominant sterling has been and just how the Scottish independence vote is influencing the value of the pound. With voting having started this morning and the results scheduled for 07:30 tomorrow morning, the next 24 hours are likely to be extremely volatile. I for one believe the ‘no’ camp will prevail and this is bound to lend further support to sterling and I would look for a shift towards 1.85.

Overnight the RBA bulletin gave little insight as to future monetary policy but I still believe the RBA will be uncomfortable with the value of the dollar and this 10 cent shift will have been a welcome move.

Looking at today’s data, and away from the Scottish independence vote, look out for UK retail sales data at 09:30. Figures expected to improve from 0.1% to 0.4% month on month and should boost sterling.

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