Sterling Strength from Shock Retail Sales Figures (Ben Fletcher)

Will Sterling Weakness Continue to Help the AUD to GBP Rate Improve?

This morning the UK released Retail sales figures for July which were substantially better than expected showing a major improvement from a wet June. Sterling this week has had good inflation data along with a reduction in the unemployed figures. The good news today boosted the GBP/AUD rate back into the 1.71’s for the first time in 10 days.

Australian Unemployment Down

This morning the unemployment rate for Australia dropped by 0.1% and there was a further 26,000 jobs created well over double what was expected. Off the back of this data the Aussie managed to gain a cent through the night, however when the UK data was released it was lost.

 Moody’s Rating Suggests Britain to Avoid Recession

The well-respected ratings Agency Moody this morning has released a report suggesting the UK is resilient enough to avoid recession and that the global slowdown will start to pick up. There has been plenty of uncertainty for Sterling in the short term and building confidence will be the key to get strength in the Pound.

Moody’s went on to suggest that the biggest threat to the global economy was the US. The US Presidential election has brought concerns due to some candidates involved. However they pointed to an interest rate hike in the US having a major effect on emerging markets and Europe. Investors would be inclined to move their funds back to the US if there was a hike.

What is clear in this volatile market is being informed could save you thousands. Sterling and the Aussie have both got external and internal factors causing major market swings. In the short term I believe Sterling could find further strength, but I don’t think the Pound is by any stretch in the clear.

Working for an established brokerage allows me to achieve the best rates of exchange for my clients. I am also able to assist with the timing of a transaction to make sure you get the most for your money. If you would like some information with regards to my currency forecast please email me at [email protected].  

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