RBA left scratching their heads on the problem of the high value Australian Dollar (Daniel Johnson)

Australian Dollar Forecast: AUD Holds Firm Against US Dollar

GBP/AUD Forecast

The Australian Dollar has been rising in value consistently and is causing a problem for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). The new governor of the RBA, Philip Lowe recently made it clear that interest rate cuts were off the cards for the time being, interest rate cuts are the best method at weakening a currency. Current data shows the Australian economy is currently looking strong.

The housing market is booming with people attracted to areas offering high wages such as Melbourne and Sydney. An interest rate cut would act as a catalyst to the emerging housing bubble conundrum.

Australia requires a weaker currency to keep the price of it’s raw materials down in order to continue their appeal to their biggest importer, China. The RBA seem reluctant to make any monetary policy changes to weaken the Aussie, especially considering the last rate cut had little impact on Australian Dollar value.

Add into the equation the small matter of Brexit and the pound could have further room to fall. The market never moves in one direction however and there will be opportunities to but AUD short term although they will be difficult to take advantage of.

What could cause movement on GBP/AUD short term?

Keep an eye on Australian unemployment data coming in through the early hours of Thursday. If data comes in against the grain we could see an opportunity for Aussie buyers.

UK Retail sales are in at 09.30am tomorrow and could well cause swings as these will be a key indicator as to the health of the UK economy following the vote to leave the EU.

Theresa May will also be speaking at the European summit tomorrow and Friday where she will be grilled on her EU exit strategy which could cause major volatility for the pound.

If  you have a currency rtrade it is crucial to be in touch with an experienced broker. The timing of your trade is vital , If you have an experienced broker on board he/she can keep you up to date with what is happening in the market to help you make an informed decision. If you would like me to assist with your trade I will be happy to help you personally. If you inform me of the the currency pair you are trading, volume and time scale and I will provide a free trading strategy to suit your needs. I work for one of the top brokerages in the country and as such I am in a position to better virtually every competitors rate of exchange. You would also be looking at saving anything up to 4% in comparison to high street banks. Please do get in touch by contacting me at dcj@currencies.co.uk. Thank you for reading my blog.