GBP/AUD gains in the lead up to Brexit’s official start, where to next for GBP/AUD? (Joseph Wright)

AUD GBP Lower Ahead of PMI Data for the UK Economy

Investor fears surrounding the UK economy appear to have waned over the past week or so, as the Pound has once again gained across the board of major currency pairs during today’s trading session.

Those converting Aussie Dollars into Pounds are seeing the exchange rates offered weaken on almost a daily basis at the moment. At the beginning of last week the mid-market rate sat at 0.6250 whereas it’s currently trading at 0.6066, losing almost 2 cents in a short period of time.

Personally, I’m not expecting to see the Pound sold off heavily once the UK makes its intentions to leave the EU official. The Brexit is now arguably priced into the Pound’s value and I think the reason GBP/AUD has risen quite substantially is due to both the certainty the deadline date of the 29th of March has given the markets, as well as the likelihood of future interest rate  changes from both the Bank of England and Reserve Bank of Australia.

The rise in US interest rates has also limited demand for the Aussie Dollar as investors switch funds from the high yielding Aussie Dollar and into the safe haven currency of the US Dollar.

The BoE’s next interest rate change is looking like it will be a rise to counter rising inflation, so moving forward I’m expecting to see the GBP/AUD rate test 1.70 as opposed to 1.60. I think the potential downside for Sterling’s value could come from a breakdown in trade negotiations as the Brexit begins so those hoping the Pound climbs further from here should close attention to this topic.

If you are planning to make a currency exchange involving the Pound and the Aussie Dollar, it’s well worth your time getting in contact with me on [email protected] in order to ensure you make a well informed decision on when to make that particular transfer, as well as benefiting from highly competitive exchange rates from one of the UK’s leading foreign currency brokerages. Just provide me with a basic outline of your currency requirement and I will be back in touch with you as soon as possible.