Will GBPAUD have a sustained period in the 1.50s? (Dayle Littlejohn)

Australian Dollar Forecast: AUD Holds Firm Against US Dollar

This week for a period GBPAUD exchange broke the 1.60 barrier and fell into the 1.59s. The reason for the fall was an event not from Australia or the UK and actually from the US. The Federal Reserve (US central bank) raised interest rates Wednesday evening however Chairlady Janet Yellen gave a dovish speech shortly after which led to a surprisingly sell off of dollars and commodity currencies including the Australian dollar benefited.

However the gains for the Australian dollar vs sterling were short lived. Kristin Forbes surprised the currency market Thursday afternoon by voting in favour of raising interest rates.The fight back for the pound began and GBPAUD increased 2 cents.

In other news for the UK the Queen gave Theresa May Royal approval to trigger Article 50 and begin the negotiations of leaving the European Union. With Theresa May set to trigger Article 50 this week or next I wouldn’t be surprised to see GBPAUD exchange rates fall into the 1.50s for a sustained period in the weeks to come. Therefore if you need to purchase Australian dollars short term trading sooner rather than later may be the best option. However the UK are set to release their latest inflation numbers Tuesday morning and the consensus is for the numbers to meet the Bank of England’s target of 2%. This could provide another spike in the market that Australian dollar buyers are looking for.

The major economic data release to look out for this week for the Australian dollar is the Reserve Bank of Australia’s minutes. The minutes are released two weeks after the actual interest rate decision and gives good indication to future Monetary Policy decisions. For more information on the release once we know more feel free to email me directly on drl@currencies.co.uk.

If you are converting pounds into Australian dollars as you are emmigrating or if you are leaving Australia to move to the UK and need to buy pounds in the upcoming weeks, months or years feel free to email me with the the timescales you are working to and I will email you with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.

** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **