The overall impression for GBPAUD rates is now much more positive with sterling rising and the Australian dollar on the back foot following a series of releases which have unsettled investors attitudes to the Aussie. The general impression for the markets is that GBPAUD rates could now rise higher as the trends that have contributed to the rise from 1.59 to 1.76 continue further. I would not be ruling out rates of 1.80 in the coming weeks, it appears clients looking to sell AUD for sterling should be making plans around what could be a very volatile and choppy period.
Let us look at the situation from the perspective of clients buying Australian dollars, the rates are very good. We are at the very best rates we have seen since September of last year. The pound has been on the very weak side at the risk of falling further owing to uncertainty surrounding the Brexit. On a £200,000 transfer between the highs and lows you are today looking at an extra 33,000 AUD compared to the lower points. With the market appearing to favour if not further sterling strength then a much stronger and supported pound the general impression is that clients selling AUD to buy pounds will suffer.
Sterling could struggle in the run-up to the UK election but will for sure strengthen once Theresa May is confirmed Prime Minister. The overall viewpoint stemming from the previous elections is the pound weakens before and rise after. However this time it is a little different since the result is largely expected and will therefore be priced in to the value of sterling.
All in all I would be very concerned if I was selling Aussie dollars to buy pounds as it looks like the market has now shifted and to claw back and see rates that were on offer not so long ago come back we will need to see a big change in sentiment and the market forecasts. If you have a transfer to make then this week is vital as we have the latest news from the Bank of England which is likely to create some volatility on the market.
If you are considering any transfer involving buying or selling the pound and Australian dollar then making some plans in advance is sensible to avoid any potential surprises in the market. For more information and assistance in achieving the best rates in the market please speak to me Jonathan by emailing [email protected].