In recent times major central banks including the European central bank, Bank of England, Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve have been taking a hawkish approach and indicating that they could be raising interest rates in the near future. When a central bank raises interest rates we tend to see the currency strengthen as investors flock to the currency.
However the tone from the Reserve Bank of Australia was far from hawkish when they released their latest monetary policy decisions over a week ago. The National Australian Bank believe that the Australia dollar is overpriced at present and if the RBA gave a hawkish statement the dollar would be purchased further and therefore increase in value.
Looking further ahead the NAB believe the Federal reserve will continue to raise interest rates which will mean investment will leave the Australian dollar and strengthen the US dollar, and I have to agree with the predictions.
In relation to GBPAUD exchange rates I expect the Australian dollar to devalue slightly however the golden question is whether this will outweigh Brexit? I fear at any point Brexit negotiations could reach a stumbling block and therefore the pound would weaken dramatically.
If you are buying or selling Australian dollar in the upcoming weeks, months or years feel free to email me with the reason for your conversion (company invoice, buying a property) and the timescales you are working to and I will email you with my forecast and the process of using our company firstname.lastname@example.org.
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