In recent years the Australian dollar has seemed to follow trend with the US dollar. In times of uncertainty currency traders would flock to the US dollar due to its safe haven status and leave commodity currencies such as the Australian dollar. With tensions rising on the Korean Peninsula you would expect the Australian dollar to be losing ground against the major currencies as traders lose appetite however this is far from truth.
A recent report last week from ANZ showed speculative trading hitting the highest levels since 2013, just showing that flocking to the US dollar isn’t the game plan for many traders like years gone by. With the US dollar continue to devalue I expect the Euro and Australian dollar to continue to rise therefore clients holding onto Australian dollars could continue to benefit in the weeks to come.
Earlier in the week Australian dollar interest rates were held at 1.5%, which is another reason for speculators choosing the Australian dollar. If you look globally 1.5% is one of the highest interest rates on offer. The likes of the UK sit at 0.25% and the Eurozone at 0%.
Data releases to look out for moving forward are GDP numbers Wednesday morning, Retail sales Thursday morning and RBA Governor Philip Lowe’s speech Friday morning. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Mr Lowe try and talk down the Aussie as exchange rates continue to run at worrying high levels, levels that the Governor has already eluded to as dangerous for the Australian economy.
If you are buying or selling Australian dollars in the future, I would strongly recommend getting in contact to discuss your situation. The company I work offers a proactive service to offering economic information whilst having the ability to offer award winning exchange rates. Feel free to email me with your requirements along with the timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the process of using our company email@example.com.