Countries around the globe this year have been raising interest rates due to the global outlook improving. The Reserve Bank of Australia are one of the countries that have kept interest rates at record lows and many economists have predicted that a hike could occur sooner rather than later.
However Australian lender Westpac announced this week this think it is unlikely that interest rates will be raised until 2020 which could have major implication for Australian dollar exchange rates, if their predictions come true. Westpac’s theory is that it is unlikely that wages pressure will rise and consequently inflation will remain at current levels.
With most leading nations raising interest rates the Australian economy would be left behind and investment would continue to leave the Australian dollar which means buying currency would become more expensive.
However ANZ have a slightly different view and believe household debt is high, referring to the housing bubble in the major cities therefore they believe the Reserve Bank of Australia are likely to rise twice in 2018.
It just shows trying to predict Australian dollar exchange rates long term is very difficult however I believe the Governor will continue to monitor and if the Australian dollar exchange rates devalue further in the upcoming months the likelihood of an interest rate hike increases.
If you are buying or selling Australian dollar in the upcoming weeks, months or years feel free to email me with the reason for your conversion (company invoice, buying a property) and the timescales you are working to and I will email you with my forecast and the process of using our company firstname.lastname@example.org.
** If you are already using a brokerage and would like to know if you are receiving the best rates possible email me with the exact figures and I will reply with our live price. This will take you minutes and in the past I have saved clients thousands! **