Australian Dollar makes gains overnight against most major currencies following positive unemployment data and data from China (Daniel Wright)

Australian Dollar Forecast Set for Bleak End to 2020

The Australian Dollar has made solid gains overnight against most major currencies, following positive unemployment figures released a few hours ago in Australia.

The main unemployment rate moved from 5.6% to 5.5% which was slightly better than expectations and showed a small improvement in the Australian jobs market.

On top of this a short while after we had Chinese Retail Sales and industrial production figures which were both slightly better than expectations too. Economic data from China can have a fairly large impact on the value of the Australian Dollar as Australia does rely on China for many of its exports so positive news from China generally gives the Australian Dollar a boost whilst negative data can lead to Australian Dollar weakness.

We have very little economic data left to come out from both Australia and China for the rest of the week so focus for the Australian Dollar will more likely be on global attitude to risk and any hints on interest rate change from the few members of the federal reserve that are due to speak this week in the U.S.

Next week heads will turn towards Australian inflation data, released on Wednesday morning in Australia or Tuesday late at night if you are following from the U.K.

It does appear that inflation is still outweighing wage growth in Australia, just like we are witnessing in the U.K too at present which is a slight concern for the economy and may be one of the reasons why the RBA are more than likely to hold off on any interest rate change in the coming months.

Personally I still feel that the Australian Dollar is a little stronger than it should be and that it may weaken off in the coming weeks but with economic data giving it a backbone this week then it may continue to gain over the next few days.

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