Australian inflation and UK GDP push GBPAUD above 1.70

Australian Dollar to Pound Forecast: Risk Sensitive AUD Likely to Remain Under Pressure

GBPAUD exchange rates have strengthened by 3 and 1/2 cents today off the back of Australian and UK economic data  releases. To put this into monetary value a £200,000 transfer at the high of the day compared to the low would have achieved our clients an additional 7,000 Australian dollars.

In the early hours of the morning Australia released their latest Consumer Price Index (inflation) numbers. Forecasters were predicting 2% however the inflation numbers disappointing and fell to 1.8%, leading to a sell off of the Australian dollar. The reason for the Australian dollar being heavily sold off is because now inflation has fallen the Reserve Bank of Australia will continue to give dovish statements in regards to interest rates.

Later in the morning the third revision of UK GDP was released. GDP exceeded expectation and was released at 0.4% from 0.3%. This doesn’t seem much, however it shows growth and something that many economists have not foreseen. The pound strengthened dramatically against all of the major currencies as this data release could be the final nail in the coffin and the Bank of England will be forced to raise interest rates on November 2nd.

For clients buying Australian dollars using sterling, central levels have now broken through 1.70 and for many clients this has been there target over the last 6 months. People need to remember that central levels were in the 1.50s not long ago. For clients trading short term, you need to decide whether to cash in now or wait for the Bank of England’s interest rate decision.

If you are buying or selling Australian dollars in the future, I would strongly recommend getting in contact to discuss your situation. The company I work offers a proactive service to offering economic information whilst having the ability to offer award winning exchange rates. Feel free to email me with your requirements along with the timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the process of using our company drl@currencies.co.uk.