GBP/AUD – In Depth
Sterling has struggled against the Aussie following the decision to hold a referendum to leave the EU. GBP/AUD sat above 2.20 pre referendum and of late has been mired in the 1.70s. We have seen a recent spike for Sterling which can be atributed to several contributing factors.
Although there was a recent surge in retail sales figures from down under the spike for the Australain Dollar did not last long, as predicted it was an an anomamly that could be put down to Black Friday sales and the release of the iphone X.
Since then the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) have indicated that they will keep interest rates on hold for the considerable future the Aussie has lost value. This can be justified due to the infalted property prices in high wage growth areas. Foreign investors are willing to pay these prices as investments but it is causing the locals to struggle spending the majority of their funds on neccesities rather than luxury goods. This does not bode well for the Aussie.
The recent surge to 1.79 was caused by hints from the Bank of England (BOE) there could be a rate hike as early as May 2018. The market moves on rumour as well as fact and investors bit.
It is important not to have too high expectations if you are an AUD buyer however, the uncertainty surrounding phase two of Brexit talks has the potential to hurt the pound. Davis and Barnier are far from being on the same hymn sheet.
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