In a recent report by Westpac have warned their Australian clients that further falls could be on the horizon for the Australian dollar. Commodity prices including iron ore and coaking coal (used for making steel) have dropped 15-20% since February and this trend could continue if there is a slowdown in china like many forecasters are predicting. One of the reasons why people believe there will be a slowdown is because China appear to be entering a trade war with the US.
In other news Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia Philip Lowe will address the public Wednesday morning and give another overview of how the Australian economy is performing. The recent commentary from the Reserve Bank of Australia is that interest rates will remain on hold for the time being. This is another reason why forecasters are suggesting the Australian dollar could lose further value as carry traders sell off their positions and look to purchase US dollars due to the higher returns now on offer.
When buying or selling Australian dollars it’s important to analyse the other currency that you will be converting as it can have an impact on the exchange rate you receive. The key data releases to look out for around the globe are ECB Mario Draghi’s speech, US Consumer Price Index, US FOMC minutes all Wednesday afternoon and Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney’s speech Thursday afternoon.
If you are buying or selling Australian dollars in the future, I would strongly recommend getting in contact to discuss your situation. The company I work offers a proactive service to offering economic information whilst having the ability to offer award winning exchange rates. Feel free to email me with your requirements along with the timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the process of using our company [email protected].