Will GBPAUD remain above 1.80?

Increase in Risk Appetite Helps Support the Australian Dollar

For clients buying Australian dollars with pounds, over the last couple of weeks opportunities have presented themselves. Arguably this is because the Australian PM was ousted and trade wars between China and the US is putting pressure on the commodity currencies.

However short term, Australian dollar buyers could be running out of time. After this weekend the Conservative Conference will start and we should find out the more about the Conservative party’s stance in regards to Brexit.

UK Prime Minister Theresa May has reinforced in recent weeks that her Chequers plan is the only option. However MPs such as Boris Johnson have called for the Prime Minister to forget her chequers plan and to adopt a similar approach to the Canadian free trade agreement.

Personally I expect the PM to come under further pressure and there will be further commentary in regards to a vote of no confidence. If this materialises and therefore there is any chance of a general election GPBAUD could be back trading in the 1.60s before long.

Any other news Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney is set to deliver a speech in Salzburg tomorrow. Interest rates are set to remain on hold for the time being and I expect him to be cautious knowing that the conservative conference is fast approaching. It was only last week he stated 35% of the housing market could be wiped if there is a no deal, therefore this could be another sterling negative release.

If you are buying or selling Australian dollars in the future, I would strongly recommend getting in contact to discuss your requirements. The company I work offers a proactive service to offering economic information whilst having the ability to offer award winning exchange rates. Feel free to email me with your requirements along with the timescales you are working to and I will respond with my forecast and the process of using our company [email protected].