GBP/AUD continues to trade towards the lower end of its recent ranges, where to next for the pair and what’s influencing it?

AUDGBP: China Cuts Interest Rates

The Pound to Australian Dollar rate continues to trade in the mid 1.70’s just over 1.75, which is around the bottom of its current trend when you look at both a 3-month and a 6-month chart. There has been a steep decline in the Pound’s value from around the middle of October and much of this market movement can be attributed to Sterling weakness as the Brexit uncertainties ramp up with the Brexit date just around the corner now.

Yesterday it was announced that the ‘meaningful’ vote on UK Prime Minister Theresa May’s Brexit deal will take place. It has previously been outlined for last Tuesday but she postponed it the day before owing to fears that she would receive very little support for it. May has since won a vote of no-confidence although there were around of a 3rd of her Conservative Party MP’s that voted against her leadership which shows the discontent with her deal.

The Pound has also lost value against most other major currency pairs recently as time to agree on a deal is running out. There appears to be little scope for amendments to the deal which may be the Prime Ministers downfall as the Northern Irish backstop arrangement is the main sticking point for the deal and the reason for the DUP Party not supporting the deal which has added pressure to May and also the Pound’s value.

Although economic data is not the main driver of GBP’s value at the moment, it’s worth being aware that this Thursday there will be a Bank of England Interest Rate decision and although no changes are expected, any comments to future monetary policy plans could influence the Pound’s value.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on jxw@currencies.co.uk and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.