Will further interest rate cuts result in a drop for the Australian Dollar this year?

AUD GBP Trades Above 0.5300 Ahead of Consumer Confidence

The Australian Dollar has continued to come under pressure recently which has helped the Pound recoup some of its recent losses against the currency. One of the reasons for the downturn for AUD is due to the interest rate cut that took place earlier this month, which has pushed Australian interest rates down to record lows. There are now predictions of further rate cuts from the Reserve Bank of Australia with some financial institutions predicting two further cuts this year, which would push the rate down to 0.75% and likely have a negative impact on the Aussie Dollars value.

Aside from these forecasts of rate cuts due to the slowing economy, another reason for Aussie Dollar weakness is due to the ongoing US-China trade war saga, which has caused concerns for the Australian economy moving forward. I would expect to see AUD exchange rates continue to struggle whilst this continues, owing to the fact that China is the countries main trading partner.

From the UK side the Conservative leadership contest is likely to remain the key driver, with Boris Johnson remaining the front runner. This leadership contest along with any Brexit related updates remain the key driver for GBP exchange rates so do keep on top of this if you’re following the Pound’s value due to an upcoming currency requirement.

If you have a large currency exchange to carry out in the coming days, weeks or months then you are more than welcome to speak with me directly as I will be more than happy to help you both with trying to time a transaction and getting you the top market rate when you do come to buy your currency. A small improvement in a rate of exchange can make a huge difference so for the sake of taking two minutes to email me you may find you save yourself hundreds if not thousands of Pounds. You can email me (Joseph Wright) on [email protected] and I will endeavour to get back to you as soon as I can.