A new week spells a new opportunity for both the Australian Dollar and the Pound Sterling to attain a boost to their current standings. But with AUD’s recent poor performance and reliance on the US-China trade war deal being completed, a boost is looking unlikely. For GBP, the heavy reliance on its general election outcome next month. A Tory majority appears to be a reassurance that Brexit will be delivered, that is what investors are banking on.
GBP/AUD Rate Edged Higher Yesterday
The GBP/AUD exchange rate edged higher yesterday by 0.4%. The pairing was trending at around AU$1.897, the Conservatives continued to maintain their lead in the polls following the much anticipated release of their manifesto on Sunday.
The deputy director-general of the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) mentioned that a pro-enterprise vision will gain businesses attention, whilst looking to build upon more ambition on areas like access to skills, infrastructure and reaching net zero. The Conservative party are currently in favour with the markets due to their pro-business approach with their policies. GBP/AUD edged yesterday as the response to the new manifesto did not upset the Tory lead over the Labour Party in the opinion polls.
AUD/GBP Rate Sinks, Us-China Trade Deal Becomes Urgent for Australian Economy but Shows Signs of Promise
For AUD, trading has not been positive over the past few weeks. Being in a constant stranglehold for the outcome of the US-China trade war deal, their progress has been limited in the markets. However, the deal once again looks more hopeful, President Trump mentioned that a deal between the two largest economies of the world was ‘potentially very close’. This gave much needed optimism to the trade talks. The RBA’s Assistant Governor gave a speech yesterday and the minutes are eagerly awaited to observe whether a dovish approach has been taken to the economy of Australia. Should this be the case, it is likely that the Aussie Dollar will take a hit.
AUD Could Rise Following Hawkish RBA Commentary
Philip Lowe, governor of the RBA is set to give a speech later today, investors will be hoping that he produces a hawkish tone which will likely buoy AUD on hopes of a recovering economy. Alongside this, any progress being made in the US-China talks will undoubtedly boost AUD/GBP standing. GBP will be looking towards the October BBA mortgage approvals which are set to be released later today, should positive figures be announce GBP will likely favour over AUD in the day’s trading efforts.
Feel free to email me, Dayle Littlejohn if you would like to know more on the factors affecting the AUD/GBP pairing or have an upcoming currency transfer [email protected].